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Mid to long range discussion- 2025


wncsnow
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8 minutes ago, SnowDawg said:

 Taller ridge also makes the northern stream energy dig harder, making a phase more likely. Normally I would say this could quickly trend to too much of a good thing and it could end up wanting to cut, but the blocking and 50/50 confluence over the top should largely prevent that.

Yeah I don't think anything is cutting with this one. It will either be a big storm or suppressed.

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50 minutes ago, BooneWX said:

9958411ca75de17afb975aef8b32fddd.jpg

A thing of beauty


.

The 18z Euro AI based on 850s (mainly near +2C), 1000/500 mb thicknesses (mainly ~550 dm during bulk), and a lot of qpf (~1”) appears to give ATL mainly IP and ZR (~0.95” liquid equivalent) assuming it remains <32F along with some snow near the end (~1/2”). Model says Atl-AHN will be close to 32 with 34 max.

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