aldie 22 Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 23.4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 7 hours ago, CAPE said: So you think that means everyday will be above "normal" from tomorrow through the 21st then? There will be ups and downs but that will be an average according to the CPC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 7 hours ago, stormy said: The latest CPC package keeps us firmly above normal temperatures through Feb. 21. How often have they actually been right 2-3 weeks out this winter? Seem to remember them predicting an AN January at first, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 26.6 degrees this morning, MUCH warmer than previous mornings. A bit of snow melted yesterday, should be some more occurring later today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 Looks like 60's are showing up on my point and click. Looks like a break in winter is coming. If anyone is interested in having a commercial or residential building cleaned, the rates are their lowest of the year. Do you have an old, ugly patio or deck? Don't replace it, restore it. We have 25 years of experience and are licensed and insured. Already 32. Today feels like a spring morning compared to what we've had. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 27 this morning here's what's left of my snow heading into the great melt. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 21 hours ago, katabatic said: That's a good question. I went to the DCL State Park boat ramp and just walked out on the lake. A lot of people took their snowmobiles out on the lake via that ramp as well. There was nothing there about the ice - but there has to be something, somewhere because in this day, you can't just have trial and error as people fall through and sink to the bottom and go oopsie, not thick enough yet. After I asked, I googled it and the best I could find was a dnr page on ice fishing, but it was just general information and not a source for current status. There must be a local source somewhere up there. Maybe that tackle shop on the lake, Johnnys? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 MRB is at a -7.3° departure for the month. Based on the forecast, should finish around -4.5 to -4.8°. Other sites: BWI -6.3° IAD -6.0° DCA -5.7° 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 22 for a low but rising temps after 3am. It’s odd that I’m 39 now and cloudy And no wet spots. Night after night of terns and singles must have the surface really cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdhokie Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 2 hours ago, nw baltimore wx said: After I asked, I googled it and the best I could find was a dnr page on ice fishing, but it was just general information and not a source for current status. There must be a local source somewhere up there. Maybe that tackle shop on the lake, Johnnys? I don't think there really is a source. Its trial and error. I don't walk out there unless I see tents and snowmobiles. The ice fishers will normally drill holes while they walk further out to get a read on how thick the ice is. This guy explains it pretty well: The ice isn't uniform either, so any sort of "report" would have to be very specific and updated. With the snow it makes it even worse because the snow actually insulates and there is a layer of slush under the snow and over the ice. Edit to add another video that shows different tools and explains the whole snow/ice/slush/ice layering: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
katabatic Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 3 hours ago, nw baltimore wx said: After I asked, I googled it and the best I could find was a dnr page on ice fishing, but it was just general information and not a source for current status. There must be a local source somewhere up there. Maybe that tackle shop on the lake, Johnnys? I did the same thing and didn't come up with anything 'official' either. I'm really surprised there was nothing at the boat ramp given it is a state park. There are some Garrett County Facebook pages I follow and a few posters here and there comment on ice thickness but that's little more than one casual observer's take on the situation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 45. Been a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 13 hours ago, Maestrobjwa said: How often have they actually been right 2-3 weeks out this winter? Seem to remember them predicting an AN January at first, lol We will all do well to remember that no human and no model is consistently right 2 - 3 weeks out. Once in a while somebody scores by guessing but that is the luck of the draw. I am on record believing that February will not be anomalously as cold as January and March will probably trend colder. Mother Nature likes to get cold in the eastern states this winter. This CPC thing is only an educated guess on Jan. 25. If I had to nit pick, I would doubt the precipitation maps more than the temperature maps. Unfortunately, we are having another dry winter and I doubt a wet pattern the first 3 weeks of February. If the CPC or models had been consistently correct with precipitation predictions for the past 6 months, Severe Drought would not be on D.C.'s southern doorsteps right now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 Smells like vomit in the DC area for some reason 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 January thaw has arrived. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 High of 45 but ice still not ready to be shoveled up. Very little melting shaded area. Temp fallen very quickly from 45 at 2:50 to 39 at 5:20 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 2 hours ago, WEATHER53 said: High of 45 but ice still not ready to be shoveled up. Very little melting shaded area. Temp fallen very quickly from 45 at 2:50 to 39 at 5:20 The shade/sun difference is more exaggerated than usual. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 Down to 34.5 at 8 pm a 5 degree drop from 6pm. Snowpack and frigid nights effect Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 28.2 hard to believe on this day last year we hit 80 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThePhotoGuy Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 Even after a high of 48, my front yard is still 95% snow covered. Ready for the warmer temps to melt more of this snow/ice! It was nice for a while but sick of it by now. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThePhotoGuy Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 Sunset reflecting on an icy Patapsco River last night. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 17.6 another frosty morning before we melt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 20.1 another cold morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 Another night when the low was reached around midnight then temps climbed. Currently 31.5/25.2 at 8 am after hitting 25.8 around 11:30 pm. I could break thru the snowpack when I walked out to get CoCoRaHS this morning, first time that has happened in weeks. About 1/3 bare to 2/3 snowcover here, running bare to 3 inches in shaded/north facing areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hstorm Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 22.2 for the low. A bit of a Spring-like feel in the air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GramaxRefugee Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 Update to the ice on bay discussion: https://www.chesapeakebaymagazine.com/cd-canal-under-ice-restrictions-as-upper-bay-potomac-hit-90-ice-cover/ Interesting quote I never knew: "Under Port Condition Two, “only steel hull vessels with 1,500 minimum shaft horsepower and a main engine cooling system design that prevents blockage from ice” may transit the area, " That's a significant sized (and priced) vessel. The map : My low this morning 21f. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 Looks like some sneaky wind might be accompanying the thaw at times this week. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 2 minutes ago, 87storms said: Looks like some sneaky wind might be accompanying the thaw at times this week. Some heavy rainers would be nice. I appreciate any kind of weather. If winter is on break then let's get some good rain. We need it. I've had about an inch of precip the entire month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 49 minutes ago, dailylurker said: Some heavy rainers would be nice. I appreciate any kind of weather. If winter is on break then let's get some good rain. We need it. I've had about an inch of precip the entire month. Yea, I'm kinda open to some milder days for a bit. Not sure how much I want another 3-4" snowfall, which is about the most I've seen from each storm. Mby has had a bunch of minor events and some entertaining squalls, but at this point I think I want a 6-10"+ event. Actually, the most I've seen here since I moved here in 2021 is about 6" in Jan '22. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 rare morning where I stayed warmer than DCA (28 vs 27) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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