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January Banter 2025


George BM
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Man I'm tired of trying to will that purple line north enough to Baltimore...a game I've played too many times since 2016. Have no clue why it's been so hard for southern stuff to get up to at least here. I mean I'll still enjoy this because it could be 3 steps above dcenery snow, but I am kinda disappointed just because of recent history. It's just hard to get it up here lately, smh

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2 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said:

Man I'm tired of trying to will that purple line north enough to Baltimore...a game I've played too many times since 2016. Have no clue why it's been so hard for southern stuff to get up to at least here. I mean I'll still enjoy this because it could be 3 steps above dcenery snow, but I am kinda disappointed just because of recent history. It's just hard to get it up here, smh

Relatively, we are cooked. We have to fight for 3-4”.

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8 minutes ago, T. August said:

Relatively, we are cooked. We have to fight for 3-4”.

Yep. And I've had too many "Winter Weather Warnings" on systems like this that end up falling short or barely getting to 5", while to our south, as much as folks complain down there, in recent years they haved cashed in way more often than we do (it used to be the other way around so I guess that's the balance). I am so done with these slider-type systems.

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9 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said:

I just thought the "north trend" would've started today. I mean I guess it's still possible...but again, how often has thar worked out the last 6 years?

Happy to eat snowy crow though!!!

There’s no trend at all tho lol. Gfs, nam, and euro are all different solutions. I don’t pay attention to icon or ukie.  

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1 hour ago, vastateofmind said:

First time I've seen one of these issued by LWX...two never-before-seen advisories for me in past 24 hours, including yesterday afternoon's snow squall warning. Wish I'd gotten a screencap of that one, too. Good times.

image.png.ba3c71684020a5498051bad722423f38.png

Never seen this!  Regarding the snow squall warning, try the link below, you should be able to pull it up.
 

https://alerts.weather.gov/search?history=1&point=38.7191,-77.0488

 

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5 minutes ago, paxpatriot said:

Hoo boy, that’s a bit disheartening for us M/D folks. Still hoping the GFS/NAM combo has the right idea—and in a storm like this, I would expect them to be a lot closer than what the Ukie is showing.

 

2 minutes ago, Chris78 said:

I thought the same thing. Pretty much no chance at 6" +

Take a little solace that those are 10:1 ratios - you’ll do a little better, south does a little worse

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Some north crew people always do this.   We all know DC isn't going to jack.  They worry about precip and meanwhile not only usually get the surprise beat down band parked over them, but with sick ratios and zero worries of sleet.   I'd take that over 4 inches, sleet and a backside inch.  ijs

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20 minutes ago, TSSN+ said:

North crew where we at?

 

IMG_8614.jpeg

I've had a "hopefully 3-4 inches min with def upside potential" attitude for days. I try not to become unmoored by sightings of WB pink :lol:  I am really looking forward to a good, cold snow that sticks around. Big snow pack person!

Generally speaking I'm sorta 'north crew' bc of latitude but sorta..not bc of being east, low, close to bay

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6 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

Some north crew people always do this.   We all know DC isn't going to jack.  They worry about precip and meanwhile not only usually get the surprise beat down band parked over them, but with sick ratios and zero worries of sleet.   I'd take that over 4 inches, sleet and a backside inch.  ijs

To be fair, I’ve been telling you and Andy for days y’all will get more than me this storm. Will it be warning level up here? I think so, low end. But y’all will do just fine even if you mix 

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23 minutes ago, Terpeast said:

I think the euro and ukie are underestimating the dual banding, with one on the north side with good ratios, fully believe that band drops over 6”. If the gfs and euro were to split the difference, that north band will be across north-central MD

So what's in my mind that would be an annoying scenario? Where Baltimore gets squeezed between the two bands (i.e the claw)

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1 minute ago, clskinsfan said:

I honestly dont know how anyone can panic about 4 inches of cold powder that will be on the ground for weeks. Also with another threat just days away after this one. We have a chance at a historic January here. 

Tbh For me this is more about what's happened in my yard the last 6 years. I'm still gonna enjoy what falls (so long as I stay off of here during the storm), but it's just the "again" part of this that's frustrating.

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1 minute ago, Maestrobjwa said:

Tbh For me this is more about what's happened in my yard the last 6 years. I'm still gonna enjoy what falls (so long as I stay off of here during the storm), but it's just the "again" part of this that's frustrating.

I feel like you need some context. This is the best medium/long range look this entire area has had since Feb 2015

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9 minutes ago, clskinsfan said:

I honestly dont know how anyone can panic about 4 inches of cold powder that will be on the ground for weeks. Also with another threat just days away after this one. We have a chance at a historic January here. 

To be entirely clear, there are a few globals showing an inch up my way. It’s not panic, it’s noting that is in the envelope. 

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1 minute ago, mappy said:

To be fair, I’ve been telling you and Andy for days y’all will get more than me this storm. Will it be warning level up here? I think so, low end. But y’all will do just fine even if you mix 

I think thats why he said "some" north crew. :P  You've been practical with this storm and what modeling has shown.  Been a couple north hits and south and while the big dog models have been south, you, me and randy know climo.  Its easy for N MD to start piling it up just like the NW crew out near Winchester and further.  Y'all can do more with less if that makes sense.  I think when the storm hits the south areas(mine) have to bank on the initial WAA.  And when things wait for the coastal is when y'all can still wring out some snow from the confluence.  

All I know is that snow is coming and I'm too jaded to think I'm in a better spot than the north crew because of past storms.  If it happens then yay.  If not then I'll take what i get and hope it can at least make things look nice.  Will root for good snow for you all the while.  

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3 minutes ago, H2O said:

I think thats why he said "some" north crew. :P  You've been practical with this storm and what modeling has shown.  Been a couple north hits and south and while the big dog models have been south, you, me and randy know climo.  Its easy for N MD to start piling it up just like the NW crew out near Winchester and further.  Y'all can do more with less if that makes sense.  I think when the storm hits the south areas(mine) have to bank on the initial WAA.  And when things wait for the coastal is when y'all can still wring out some snow from the confluence.  

All I know is that snow is coming and I'm too jaded to think I'm in a better spot than the north crew because of past storms.  If it happens then yay.  If not then I'll take what i get and hope it can at least make things look nice.  Will root for good snow for you all the while.  

It’s gonna snow! 

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14 minutes ago, mappy said:

To be fair, I’ve been telling you and Andy for days y’all will get more than me this storm. Will it be warning level up here? I think so, low end. But y’all will do just fine even if you mix 

We’ll do ok true, but I’d rather be you than me rn. Yall always get that mega death band.  I just wanna be under it. lol. 

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