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January Banter 2025


George BM
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1 minute ago, T. August said:

lol me too. I am in one of the worst spots in MD for this storm. We all know a little max will appear in the NW burbs despite the large shift south today. But me? I’m SOL. Too far north AND east. I’m back to hoping for 2-3”.

You are gonna do better than that. I would almost guarantee it. Plus you will get way better ratio's up there. Also keep in mind that this snow is going nowhere anytime soon. 

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1 minute ago, aldie 22 said:

These model runs are some of the most torturous reads on this site that I can remember. There's always been an IMBY thing but some of these new youngens are pretty f'ing annoying 

The PA posters are ridiculous. "Yeah but its mostly south". Well no shit buddy the entire subforum is south of you....

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1 minute ago, clskinsfan said:

The PA posters are ridiculous. "Yeah but its mostly south". Well no shit buddy the entire subforum is south of you....

Long time lurker here. Moved to PA from the southern MD 4 years ago. I have to agree that some of the Southern PA crew have been obnoxious… even though I’m out of the sub technically, I’m only 2.5 miles above the Mason Dixon and this will always be home. 
 

back to lurking…

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17 minutes ago, MN Transplant said:

The 3km NAM gives Indy 16” of Kuchera snow.  The RGEM is 4”.  It is 42 hours from snow onset out there.  

I banned myself from the Jan 6 thread but it would do people a service to remember this come Sunday - will probably be able to forecast quite a bit depending on the axis of stuff out west and the reality of the situation there. This is a storm we’ll be able to “see coming” - it’s not entirely forming out of the blue. 
 

someone with more time on their hands could probably make a line chart with forecasted snow in KC and corresponding totals in DC to see if it ends up predictive… If I wasn’t tired and sick I’d do it

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1 minute ago, wawarriors4 said:

I’ve definitely had to put a few on the ignore list, it gets unreadable. Maps get posted and discussed when stuff is Norther, but radio silence if it’s otherwise….

You don’t deserve snow, you’re south of Baltimore! ;) 

But yeah, partly due to where most of the active posters live but I definitely hear you.

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Just now, Warm Nose said:

This forum needs intensive therapy for insecurity ...

Honestly? I think it's more so therapy for perspective. We spend so much time focusing on snow particularly when a storm is imminent. All that mental energy spent on it can create a false appearance in the mind of a storm total being a bigger deal than it actually is. 

At least...that's what I observe in my own psychology.

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13 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

I banned myself from the Jan 6 thread but it would do people a service to remember this come Sunday - will probably be able to forecast quite a bit depending on the axis of stuff out west and the reality of the situation there. This is a storm we’ll be able to “see coming” - it’s not entirely forming out of the blue. 
 

someone with more time on their hands could probably make a line chart with forecasted snow in KC and corresponding totals in DC to see if it ends up predictive… If I wasn’t tired and sick I’d do it

Doing a live test of this theory… GFS has KC at 8.7” Kuchera. Would thus expect a run somewhere in the middle of RGEM/3k

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3 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

We did but there was an area in between here and DC that got fringed by all 3 significant storms in 2022 and none were warning. The Baltimore area has had it the worst, within a region that’s been in their worst stretch ever. 
 

Im not justifying the freak outs but I get it. 

Exactly why we in the area are a little uh...on tilt at even the possibility of another northern fringe. It's just been a bit of bad luck with banding (like that time a WAA thump in 2021 snowed west and east of me), and for once ya just want it to work out.

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1 minute ago, jaydreb said:

Where are you?  Charlottesville?

I live in DC now, but tend to camp out for snowstorms in Arlington at my parent’s still since the elevation matters. 
 

On vacay for this one though. Did set up a house cam for some pretty low-qual video footage just to check in. But if you happen to be jebwalking in that corner of the hood, would always appreciate a much better quality shot lol

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Just now, NorthArlington101 said:

I live in DC now, but tend to camp out for snowstorms in Arlington still since the elevation matters. 
 

On vacay for this one though. Did set up a house cam for posterity shots. 

Cool.  Cautiously optimistic we’ll get a warning event.  We’re smack in the middle of the northern and southern models.   If so, I’ll get some photos on Monday. 

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Just now, jaydreb said:

Cool.  Cautiously optimistic we’ll get a warning event.  We’re smack in the middle of the northern and southern models.   If so, I’ll get some photos on Monday. 

I’d just about guarantee a warning-level event. Like @Deck Pic’s 5-8”+ call. Been telling friends 7” but wouldn’t be shocked if it’d 10”. North shift, south shift, don’t think A-Town can go too wrong. 

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2 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

I’d just about guarantee a warning-level event. Like @Deck Pic’s 5-8”+ call. Been telling friends 7” but wouldn’t be shocked if it’d 10”. North shift, south shift, don’t think A-Town can go too wrong. 

I go into hibernation during the off season and only show up on the forum when we’re tracking winter weather.  

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