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January Banter 2025


George BM
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I feel like I’m taking crazy pills.  I think the radar looks good for the up upcoming 12-6 time period for snow.  Yes we are a degree or two warmer but this has always been a 2-4” storm for most outside the M/D line folks.

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1 hour ago, psuhoffman said:

The panic in the obs thread is funny... I could go in there and really blow it up by pointing out "we could really use those 2-3 degrees we've lost in the boundary layer due to warming right about now" 

While I oughta know better than to argue with ya on this, I'll bite: I still remain skeptical that EVERY close miss on temps would been different 40+ years ago (although I agree that in bad patterns warming dies indeed make things worse). So like...you can say with 100% certainty that the temperature spike last night would've only been to 37 degrees and not 40? I don't know man I guess for each example that happens now I'd like to see an identical setup that snowed and what the temp is...and I know you've provided many other examples from the past tho. I guess it just feels like a bit of a "blame every last meteorological event on warming" thing, even if it is generally true.

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@Maestrobjwa - Posting here just some additional thoughts. Didn't want to clog the main thread up. 

You've definitely come a long way since you joined us on the forums! You just have to remember - unlike getting a Christmas or birthday gift that sucks (where maybe you deserved better) - the weather and climate doesn't "owe" you anything. Literally not a penny, not a single snowflake. You flip a coin 10 times and you might easily get heads 8 times. You flip that coin a trillion times, and it's going to be closer to 50/50. 

But yeah - unfortunately, our location (perhaps worse for you) is in an urban corridor. The odds of us getting shellacked are lower now than in the 1800s for sure. But now we have UHI, etc. I know we throw around the "you'll just have to move" idea a lot jokingly (and sometimes seriously) on the forums - but unfortunately...if your well being is fused this closely to snow - you really will have no choice but to move to a place like Davis, WV!

Just remember - weather doesn't pay out like a slot machine that is "due" pays out. It's truly chaotic and "random" 

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