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January Banter 2025


George BM
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3 hours ago, nj2va said:

Go bills go (sorry @ravensrule). I just want to see Josh Allen win a Super Bowl. The team is super fun to watch as a neutral football fan. 
 

But the most important thing is - go Rams, beat Philly!

Why don't you want to see Lamar Jackson win one? Every bit as scintillating to watch, if not more, and just as likeable a person. Ravens are a more talented team top to bottom, and pretty fun to watch. That said, I respect your decision as a neutral fan, wrong as it may be.

:hurrbear:

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36 minutes ago, CAPE said:

Why don't you want to see Lamar Jackson win one? Every bit as scintillating to watch, if not more, and just as likeable a person. Ravens are a more talented team top to bottom, and pretty fun to watch. That said, I respect your decision as a neutral fan, wrong as it may be.

:hurrbear:

Just like Ovechkin may be the same as Lamar and the Capitals the same as the Ravens, I don't want to see then win a Cup (again, sigh).

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59 minutes ago, CAPE said:

Why don't you want to see Lamar Jackson win one? Every bit as scintillating to watch, if not more, and just as likeable a person. Ravens are a more talented team top to bottom, and pretty fun to watch. That said, I respect your decision as a neutral fan, wrong as it may be.

:hurrbear:

I wouldn’t be mad if Ravens win, but hard to root for Maryland and their bad drivers. :scooter::hurrbear:

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22 minutes ago, Deck Pic said:

thanks y'all.  Sorry bout your friend bob.  

Funeral was moved inside at the widow's house.  10 am Sunday in Burke.  We're not going to linger so should be out of there by noon at the latest.  Could be ripping but it is mostly beltway back to my moms. 

They keep things pretty well cleared on the secondary roads around here, so you all should be OK.

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I am releasing my official WMATA Route 33 forecast:
Union Station - 4"
Mt Vernon Sq - 3"
14th and I - 3"
Washington Circle - 4"
25th and Pennsylvania - 4"
Wisconsin and M - 0.6" of rain
Social Safeway (34th and Wisconsin) - 4.5"
National Cathedral - 5"
Macomb and Wisconsin - 5"
Wegmans - 6"
Van Ness and Wisconsin - 6"
Tenleytown (Albemarle and Wisconsin) - 17"
Fessenden and Wisconsin - 6"
Friendship Heights - 5.5"

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Can somebody who knows explain to me what the difference would be with euro AI and regular the European model? Don't you have to put information into both in order to get whatever output? Does AI supply its own information and where do the weather balloons come in?

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1 hour ago, wasnow215 said:

Can somebody who knows explain to me what the difference would be with euro AI and regular the European model? Don't you have to put information into both in order to get whatever output? Does AI supply its own information and where do the weather balloons come in?

I'm far from an expert on AI or anything like that, but here's my understanding:  The "regular" ECMWF model is based upon dynamic and thermodynamic equations (speaking very simply here), with a set of initial conditions and observations to start from.  Those equations are evaluated through time to obtain forecasts.  The AI version is based upon some collection of past "training data" (such as previous atmospheric conditions and observations, and perhaps analogues), which are sort of "regressed" or "correlated" against an independent set of observed data (think of it as a highly sophisticated multi-linear regression, in a way).  Others can chime in, I hope this is reasonably accurate of a description albeit kind of simple.

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10 hours ago, pazzo83 said:

I am releasing my official WMATA Route 33 forecast:
Union Station - 4"
Mt Vernon Sq - 3"
14th and I - 3"
Washington Circle - 4"
25th and Pennsylvania - 4"
Wisconsin and M - 0.6" of rain
Social Safeway (34th and Wisconsin) - 4.5"
National Cathedral - 5"
Macomb and Wisconsin - 5"
Wegmans - 6"
Van Ness and Wisconsin - 6"
Tenleytown (Albemarle and Wisconsin) - 17"
Fessenden and Wisconsin - 6"
Friendship Heights - 5.5"

I love how this is a thing.

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I've been thinking, this is a very interesting period coming up starting tomorrow through next week.  To me, it's kind of reminiscent of mid-February 2015.  The event tomorrow reminds me of the burst of snow and squalls we got late in the day of Feb. 14, a quick 2" within an hour or so where I'm at.  That was along the leading edge of an Arctic blast, it got very cold  and windy in a big hurry that evening.  It was really cool!  That was followed by some extremely cold air the following week.  That's the last time I remember it being so cold around here like that, and next week looks to be similar.  Maybe the event tomorrow will be a bit more than the one in 2015 here in the metro DC area, if we're lucky!

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31 minutes ago, Scarlet Pimpernel said:

I'm far from an expert on AI or anything like that, but here's my understanding:  The "regular" ECMWF model is based upon dynamic and thermodynamic equations (speaking very simply here), with a set of initial conditions and observations to start from.  Those equations are evaluated through time to obtain forecasts.  The AI version is based upon some collection of past "training data" (such as previous atmospheric conditions and observations, and perhaps analogues), which are sort of "regressed" or "correlated" against an independent set of observed data (think of it as a highly sophisticated multi-linear regression, in a way).  Others can chime in, I hope this is reasonably accurate of a description albeit kind of simple.

Very helpful Ty!!

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17 minutes ago, T. August said:

@North Balti Zen I think you break the verified warning streak with this one. @mappy too.

 

7 minutes ago, North Balti Zen said:

Genuinely think so. Fingers crossed. Hoping for you too. 

I think we will do just fine. Maybe not PSU level, but warning level snow at the very least 

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I like the profile pic change, @stormtracker. As the dude responsible for social media at my small org, I struggle to come up with new and exciting ways to engage folks on MLK's birthday on those platforms. Biggest challenge at times is to find/utilize a pic of the man that hasn't been OVER-used before...so, semi-stealing your pic to squirrel away for next year's posts.

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1 hour ago, vastateofmind said:

I like the profile pic change, @stormtracker. As the dude responsible for social media at my small org, I struggle to come up with new and exciting ways to engage folks on MLK's birthday on those platforms. Biggest challenge at times is to find/utilize a pic of the man that hasn't been OVER-used before...so, semi-stealing your pic to squirrel away for next year's posts.

Same here.  Always like @stormtracker's annual tribute to Dr. King.  And the one he uses is a bit different than the photos of him that you usually see.  He looks pretty young in that one?  Wonder where/when that was taken.

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18 minutes ago, ThePhotoGuy said:

Went to an icy Blackwater National Wildlife Refuge (near Cambridge) yesterday on the Eastern Shore. It was a beautiful day with the warm temps. I was surprised how much snow was still on the shore. 

09999.png

Great shot! Looks like the eagles may have just enjoyed some lunch.

Always amazed how tough waterfowl are in the winter. I know they're built for it but still. Just casually swimming around in ice water.

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2 hours ago, vastateofmind said:

I like the profile pic change, @stormtracker. As the dude responsible for social media at my small org, I struggle to come up with new and exciting ways to engage folks on MLK's birthday on those platforms. Biggest challenge at times is to find/utilize a pic of the man that hasn't been OVER-used before...so, semi-stealing your pic to squirrel away for next year's posts.

Go for it dude!  I tend to use the same one each time, but I switch up every know and then.

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