nvck Posted Sunday at 04:57 AM Share Posted Sunday at 04:57 AM Anyone have any opinions on the WPC experimental winter precip probability maps? Am wanting to include them more in my forecast process as they seem like a good super-blend, but didn't know what the thinking was around them Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted Sunday at 12:35 PM Share Posted Sunday at 12:35 PM Hrr/rap has Manhattan to just north topeka as ground zero 15+. Hopefully soon we can all get under some dark greens/deformation band. Rgem has continuously looked unimpressive once system starts to move east. Hope our S ind/ohio friends can get in on the goods. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted Sunday at 12:53 PM Share Posted Sunday at 12:53 PM On 1/3/2025 at 12:26 PM, Stebo said: Dude the GHD blizzard was a panhandle storm, so was the Blizzard of 99 and 78. What are we even doing here.. The first ghd blizzard that went west of us and gave us sleet instead of 20+? The 78 storm that tracked pretty much over my house and gave areas to our west the goods? What are we even doing here, we want sleet and lows to track overhead? Sure panhandle storms can deliver some snow if there's some blocking, but we need lows to come out of the gulf/mexico/ S 4 corners/at worst SE texas for the best chance at a big dog. The storm the models are portraying for next weekend for example. Unfortunately with gulf lows, you gotta worry about miller b/transfer of energy. Of course this is for our backyards. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted Sunday at 01:21 PM Share Posted Sunday at 01:21 PM On 1/3/2025 at 2:38 PM, michsnowfreak said: 2020-21 and 2021-22 were fine. Both had excellent stretches. And 2022-23 had 2 storms with thundersnow and an ice storm. IMO, only last winter truly sucked. The whole thing is getting tiresome. Sometimes liking what you like OR stating facts, doesnt matter, damned if you do and damned if you dont. Bottom line - here are the facts. The last 5 winters (2019-20 thru 2023-24) BOTH Detroit and Flint each saw 6 storms of 6"+ and both saw peak snow depths in those 5 years of 14". Avg snowfall the past 5 winters was 39.3" at Detroit and 48.3" at Flint. Great winters? No. As bad as some act like? NO. It all comes down to person preference. 12 hours to get 5 inches doesnt excite me anymore. Also this furthers my point that all areas have seen some respectable events the past 5 and not just nw of the city as dmc stated. Also there's no way detroit had a snow depth of 14 at all the past 5 years. Maybe after that veterans day storm in 19 for some areas. We go through this every winter. I guess I should accept others are happy with average and dont mind other areas getting big dogs. I should lower my expectations and realize this area doesn't get the storms I want. Sure this should go in the banter thread but it's a pretty dead thread. I think people will be able to sift through our discussion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chambana Posted Sunday at 01:25 PM Share Posted Sunday at 01:25 PM Light snow has commenced here, ahead of schedule. HRRR still showing extremely heavy snowfall, overachiever? We shall see. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chambana Posted Sunday at 01:41 PM Share Posted Sunday at 01:41 PM Ripping good right now, definitely overcoming the dry air that was a concern early on. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Ole Bucket Posted Sunday at 01:46 PM Share Posted Sunday at 01:46 PM Very heavy sleet here in SEMO, just north of the ice storm area. Just hammering the house. Glad to have our FRZA forecast lighten up. Wish this was all snow though. Gutting to have it ripping snow just 50-70 miles north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheNiño Posted Sunday at 01:48 PM Share Posted Sunday at 01:48 PM 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIllinoisSnow Posted Sunday at 01:53 PM Share Posted Sunday at 01:53 PM 11 minutes ago, Chambana said: Ripping good right now, definitely overcoming the dry air that was a concern early on. That’s good to hear! Hopefully the northern edge can get just north enough for me here in a couple hours, going to be very very close 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skiier04 Posted Sunday at 02:17 PM Share Posted Sunday at 02:17 PM Woke up to light snow underway in Chalreston, coating on all surfaces Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chambana Posted Sunday at 02:33 PM Share Posted Sunday at 02:33 PM 15 minutes ago, skiier04 said: Woke up to light snow underway in Chalreston, coating on all surfaces You’re locked and loaded for a 8-12” storm, enjoy 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nvck Posted Sunday at 02:48 PM Share Posted Sunday at 02:48 PM Radar shows snow, but a hefty wedge of dry air in the lower bit of the atmosphere - just waiting for that to get eroded and then we're off, hopefully! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted Sunday at 02:59 PM Share Posted Sunday at 02:59 PM The lightning on radar coming out of KS/MO is insane 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chambana Posted Sunday at 03:03 PM Share Posted Sunday at 03:03 PM Cantore had Thundersnow live on camera earlier just west of Topeka. It’s also fun to see this storm hit during the day. Looks like a band of heavy snow just off to my west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted Sunday at 03:09 PM Share Posted Sunday at 03:09 PM Impressive looking storm system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Ole Bucket Posted Sunday at 03:11 PM Share Posted Sunday at 03:11 PM Definitely seems a touch colder than modeled IMBY anyway. Was looking at a forecast just hours ago that had no snow during the day. Just sleet and FRZA. Currently light snow and 25F at my location. No mixing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nvck Posted Sunday at 03:22 PM Share Posted Sunday at 03:22 PM Are mping reports not working on radarscope/ any other outside service for anyone else? I can see them on the https://mping.ou.edu/display/ site, but not anywhere else. edit: actually, looks like the certificate for that site expired at 12z this morning... wonder if that impacts other apps ability to access the reports? Hell of a time for that to happen... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Ole Bucket Posted Sunday at 03:35 PM Share Posted Sunday at 03:35 PM 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted Sunday at 03:37 PM Share Posted Sunday at 03:37 PM 2 hours ago, Stevo6899 said: The first ghd blizzard that went west of us and gave us sleet instead of 20+? The 78 storm that tracked pretty much over my house and gave areas to our west the goods? What are we even doing here, we want sleet and lows to track overhead? Sure panhandle storms can deliver some snow if there's some blocking, but we need lows to come out of the gulf/mexico/ S 4 corners/at worst SE texas for the best chance at a big dog. The storm the models are portraying for next weekend for example. Unfortunately with gulf lows, you gotta worry about miller b/transfer of energy. Of course this is for our backyards. Okay you are just irrational and also this isn't the thread to keep the complaining going, move it elsewhere. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted Sunday at 03:38 PM Share Posted Sunday at 03:38 PM Tons of thundersnow reports in KS and starting to show up in Missouri. Good luck to those who are cashing in today. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bdgwx Posted Sunday at 04:41 PM Share Posted Sunday at 04:41 PM St. Louis just experienced a very robust band of conditional symmetric instability induced snow. The flakes were were huge and visibilities crashed. This band is moving generally along I-70 in IL right now. Snowfall rates were probably 2-3"/hr. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IMADreamer Posted Sunday at 04:41 PM Share Posted Sunday at 04:41 PM Little more sleet and a little less snow that expected over night, but starting to pickup now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jackstraw Posted Sunday at 04:59 PM Share Posted Sunday at 04:59 PM If I hadn't had 2 heart attacks in the last 2 years I could probably walk south a couple hours and go from a couple of inches to 10 lol. Famous North I70 sucker lane strikes again. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted Sunday at 05:02 PM Share Posted Sunday at 05:02 PM Dry air very much winning here. Going to take a long time to saturate. Hrrr showing little to no snow now. Rap/gfs still show some. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KokomoWX Posted Sunday at 05:18 PM Share Posted Sunday at 05:18 PM 12 minutes ago, Jackstraw said: If I hadn't had 2 heart attacks in the last 2 years I could probably walk south a couple hours and go from a couple of inches to 10 lol. Famous North I70 sucker lane strikes again. I hope your health is better. I was surprised to find Kokomo upgraded from the advisory to a warning. The snow totals remain anemic and dry air is still kicking butt. Maybe we can cash in next time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIllinoisSnow Posted Sunday at 05:29 PM Share Posted Sunday at 05:29 PM 25 minutes ago, Radtechwxman said: Dry air very much winning here. Going to take a long time to saturate. Hrrr showing little to no snow now. Rap/gfs still show some. Yeah this dry air is BRUTAL, checked in on a friend who lives in Champaign and he says it’s snowing like crazy there 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chambana Posted Sunday at 05:55 PM Share Posted Sunday at 05:55 PM 27 minutes ago, CIllinoisSnow said: Yeah this dry air is BRUTAL, checked in on a friend who lives in Champaign and he says it’s snowing like crazy there I’m south of Champaign in between Savoy and Tolono, and yes it’s ripping good here. Local met said heavy bands coming this afternoon. temps are also cooler than anticipated, currently 21 and mod snow. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted Sunday at 06:01 PM Share Posted Sunday at 06:01 PM 31 minutes ago, CIllinoisSnow said: Yeah this dry air is BRUTAL, checked in on a friend who lives in Champaign and he says it’s snowing like crazy there Not looking to snow here till tonight now. 1-2in is probably being optimistic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nvck Posted Sunday at 06:13 PM Share Posted Sunday at 06:13 PM Mostly light since about 11 here, maybe 0.5-1" on the ground but roads are getting covered. Stronger band moving in now 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted Sunday at 06:14 PM Share Posted Sunday at 06:14 PM Got +brown grass with some moderate overcast 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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