Eaglesrck63 Posted Thursday at 04:00 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:00 PM 2 minutes ago, Frog Town said: Welcome, but you and I are currently in a tug of war. Want this thing to come North a big. I am also an Eagles fan so that probably puts me at odds with the northern portion of this forum also lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted Thursday at 04:00 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:00 PM I would be very content with 12z gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gino27 Posted Thursday at 04:03 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:03 PM Feels like another one slipping away Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eaglesrck63 Posted Thursday at 04:04 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:04 PM Looks drier but 6z to 12z stays relatively the same to my eye. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IMADreamer Posted Thursday at 04:06 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:06 PM Just now, Eaglesrck63 said: Looks drier but 6z to 12z stays relatively the same to my eye. Yes please. That would be one of the biggest snow storms ever for my town if it verifies. Which it won't but it's nice to dream. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChiTownSnow Posted Thursday at 04:14 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:14 PM 29 minutes ago, Eaglesrck63 said: Definitely shift north from Icon Trajectory is much different.. but kinda feel we are grasping at this point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted Thursday at 04:17 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:17 PM Everything went north this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frog Town Posted Thursday at 04:18 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:18 PM Just now, Stebo said: Everything went north this run. You think this is just noise, or the starting of something for the southern lakes?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted Thursday at 04:20 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:20 PM Just now, Frog Town said: You think this is just noise, or the starting of something for the southern lakes?? It has all to do with the location of the vort lobe over James Bay and the confluence in the east, the lobe was slower and further NE this run, and the confluence was weaker. It opened up the opportunity for it to move further north before sliding east. It is something that will need to be watched for further trends or regression. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fluoronium Posted Thursday at 04:24 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:24 PM Nail biter for me in the peoria area, especially if the northern cuttoff ends up as sharp as the euro is showing. NAM being in south camp has me worried as well as it has sniffed out local snow busts pretty well in recent years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
talaub Posted Thursday at 04:26 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:26 PM 3 hours ago, King James said: It’s a weather forum. You all have made this forum a tough read the last couple years Weather is fun. No one wants to listen to any of you dorks correct one another Thank You! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted Thursday at 04:44 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:44 PM 4 hours ago, A-L-E-K said: going to dust, sad happy for kc i and some other rarely hit areas Word. Soak it in, friends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nvck Posted Thursday at 04:44 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:44 PM 51 minutes ago, Eaglesrck63 said: I should introduce myself. Long time lurker for the Mid Atlantic forum )lived in MD) but just moved to Cincinnati so excited to track some storms with everyone out here! Maybe the more southwest Ohio people on here, the more we can pull this thing back south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
King James Posted Thursday at 04:44 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:44 PM Thank You!I got you bud. The water boils because of complex chemical reactions but it also boils because somebody wanted tea Sometimes the data will suggest the weather has been contrary to what we experience. Both can exist in harmony After all, not all 6 inch snow storms feel the same but the spreadsheet is indifferent 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nvck Posted Thursday at 04:47 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:47 PM Neat visualization from the 12z GFS, really would like to see more snow in the more intense precip bands than freezing rain, but maybe it'll come back around Also, freezing rain at 24° ground temps means that there's got to be one hell of a warm nose at like 850mb, right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted Thursday at 05:12 PM Share Posted Thursday at 05:12 PM 43 minutes ago, fluoronium said: Nail biter for me in the peoria area, especially if the northern cuttoff ends up as sharp as the euro is showing. NAM being in south camp has me worried as well as it has sniffed out local snow busts pretty well in recent years. In Peoria here as well! I share your same concerns. We are sitting uncomfortably close to that northern gradient. Any south shift and we may see little to no accumulation. Nam seems to be an outlier for now on south placement and it's also its long range so I wouldn't fully trust it. However, it can sniff things out sometimes so definitely uneasy. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted Thursday at 05:39 PM Share Posted Thursday at 05:39 PM Euro is going to tick back south a bit. I-72 special Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Crispus Posted Thursday at 05:46 PM Share Posted Thursday at 05:46 PM 33 minutes ago, Radtechwxman said: In Peoria here as well! I share your same concerns. We are sitting uncomfortably close to that northern gradient. Any south shift and we may see little to no accumulation. Nam seems to be an outlier for now on south placement and it's also its long range so I wouldn't fully trust it. However, it can sniff things out sometimes so definitely uneasy. I'm by Peoria too, and I feel like I'd be ok with either extreme. Big snow is memorable, missed snow means a LOT less shoveling (I don't have a snowblower). So with my luck, I expect we'll get neither and end up with a forgettable-but-annoying 3-4". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted Thursday at 05:46 PM Share Posted Thursday at 05:46 PM 6 minutes ago, SchaumburgStormer said: Euro is going to tick back south a bit. I-72 special Nah it definitely ticked north, Kankakee went from 3 to 6" this run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted Thursday at 06:17 PM Share Posted Thursday at 06:17 PM going 3 even final call 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChiTownSnow Posted Thursday at 06:22 PM Share Posted Thursday at 06:22 PM 5 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: going 3 even final call Yesterday i would have taken 3 and run with it.. all LE? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted Thursday at 06:59 PM Share Posted Thursday at 06:59 PM 1 hour ago, Crispus said: I'm by Peoria too, and I feel like I'd be ok with either extreme. Big snow is memorable, missed snow means a LOT less shoveling (I don't have a snowblower). So with my luck, I expect we'll get neither and end up with a forgettable-but-annoying 3-4". This winter has been so lame. I'm ready for a good snowstorm so full send. Ha. But thinking heaviest swath will be near or south of I72. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted Thursday at 07:00 PM Share Posted Thursday at 07:00 PM 2 hours ago, Eaglesrck63 said: I am also an Eagles fan so that probably puts me at odds with the northern portion of this forum also lol I'm sure both Lions and Vikings fans appreciate y'all losing to the Commanders though... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted Thursday at 07:08 PM Share Posted Thursday at 07:08 PM i like where i sit at this point 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted Thursday at 07:18 PM Share Posted Thursday at 07:18 PM Still not in play even with northward ticks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted Thursday at 07:20 PM Share Posted Thursday at 07:20 PM 1 minute ago, Cary67 said: Still not in play even with northward ticks. Dab+ stones throw away 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted Thursday at 07:44 PM Share Posted Thursday at 07:44 PM 1 hour ago, Stebo said: Nah it definitely ticked north, Kankakee went from 3 to 6" this run. Yup, the low is over Central KY now and not the KY/TN border. It's still hard to think based on climatology that the main swath won't be more north towards the US 30/224 corridor Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DocATL Posted Thursday at 07:49 PM Share Posted Thursday at 07:49 PM going 3 even final callWow that’s optimistic but maybe right for the lakeshore. Calling 0.9 for Naperville.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted Thursday at 08:20 PM Share Posted Thursday at 08:20 PM Circa-2007 wagons north trend incoming. @cyclone77 to me jackpot. You heard it here first. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted Thursday at 08:42 PM Share Posted Thursday at 08:42 PM 22 minutes ago, SchaumburgStormer said: Circa-2007 wagons north trend incoming. @cyclone77 to me jackpot. You heard it here first. I get the vibe too tbh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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