Stevo6899 Posted Thursday at 07:53 AM Share Posted Thursday at 07:53 AM 9 hours ago, dmc76 said: The entire point of this argument is for Steve to know the truth instead spewing nonsense for others to feel sorry for him. We’ve done ok the last 5 winters north of detroit. Last year was really the only true shitty winter. You're an idiot. I wouldn't trust any stats you post and you're still not understanding. I'm not talking overall numbers, just the bigger events. Downriver has done just as well with the bigger events in recent winters. Bottom line is our last 5 winters have sucked. Now go back to learning how to read. St louis looks like the place to be. Usually when models come north some, they correct a bit south. Still a shame it gets shredded to pieces. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eaglesrck63 Posted Thursday at 11:56 AM Share Posted Thursday at 11:56 AM Oz euro 10:1 and 6z gfs kuchera Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted Thursday at 12:19 PM Share Posted Thursday at 12:19 PM 6z euro is weaker and south.... yuck Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted Thursday at 12:27 PM Share Posted Thursday at 12:27 PM going to dust, sad happy for kc i and some other rarely hit areas 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted Thursday at 12:43 PM Share Posted Thursday at 12:43 PM 4 hours ago, Stevo6899 said: You're an idiot. I wouldn't trust any stats you post and you're still not understanding. I'm not talking overall numbers, just the bigger events. Downriver has done just as well with the bigger events in recent winters. Bottom line is our last 5 winters have sucked. Now go back to learning how to read. St louis looks like the place to be. Usually when models come north some, they correct a bit south. Still a shame it gets shredded to pieces. You’re a handful and a drama queen. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
King James Posted Thursday at 01:03 PM Share Posted Thursday at 01:03 PM It’s a weather forum. You all have made this forum a tough read the last couple years Weather is fun. No one wants to listen to any of you dorks correct one another 8 1 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted Thursday at 01:09 PM Share Posted Thursday at 01:09 PM 40 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: going to dust, sad happy for kc i and some other rarely hit areas Hope it pans out for the typically snow starved I70 corridor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted Thursday at 01:20 PM Share Posted Thursday at 01:20 PM 5 hours ago, Stevo6899 said: You're an idiot. I wouldn't trust any stats you post and you're still not understanding. I'm not talking overall numbers, just the bigger events. Downriver has done just as well with the bigger events in recent winters. Bottom line is our last 5 winters have sucked. Now go back to learning how to read. St louis looks like the place to be. Usually when models come north some, they correct a bit south. Still a shame it gets shredded to pieces. His stats are right, the northern suburbs have done better. It is just a fact. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted Thursday at 01:21 PM Share Posted Thursday at 01:21 PM Definitely don't like where I'm sitting with this one. Too close to northern gradient. If it comes in weaker and south it's game over. But any north push will be very beneficial. Have a feeling north trends from yesterday will be back to weak and south today. System gets sampled tomorrow so hoping that helps models Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted Thursday at 01:21 PM Share Posted Thursday at 01:21 PM 1 hour ago, buckeye said: 6z euro is weaker and south.... yuck Yeah that was a shift south for sure, both the 06z Euro and GFS nudged back south. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted Thursday at 01:22 PM Share Posted Thursday at 01:22 PM This storm has been as locked-in as any big storm gets days ahead of the event. Unfortunately, it's locked in south of Iowa. Northern Missouri should get crushed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted Thursday at 01:33 PM Share Posted Thursday at 01:33 PM 12 minutes ago, Stebo said: Yeah that was a shift south for sure, both the 06z Euro and GFS nudged back south. I have to admit I'm shocked. That high pressure is just dominating with little snowpack to aid it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted Thursday at 01:34 PM Share Posted Thursday at 01:34 PM Just now, nwohweather said: I have to admit I'm shocked. That high pressure is just dominating It's just too strong of a high and once the storm gets east it gets pulled straight east with the confluence and the block in the east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted Thursday at 01:45 PM Share Posted Thursday at 01:45 PM 4 minutes ago, Stebo said: It's just too strong of a high and once the storm gets east it gets pulled straight east with the confluence and the block in the east. 6 minutes ago, nwohweather said: I have to admit I'm shocked. That high pressure is just dominating with little snowpack to aid it OTOH the high is pretty far nw , (at least for our neck of the woods), which is why I thought the influence of it wouldn't be that suppressive. I think it's the confluence to the northeast that is really f'ing things up. Sucks to see this turn to a sheared mess again, if that does happen. Only bright spot is my passion for this stuff is wavering quite a bit, probably because I'm older and probably because we've been slapped around so much the last several winters you eventually start to get numb to it all. I still prefer a torch but if it's gonna get annoyingly cold it would be nice to have a snow cover. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chambana Posted Thursday at 01:58 PM Share Posted Thursday at 01:58 PM Trends look good here for a significant hit, however a north nudge about 20-30 miles would have me feeling better. Either way should be a 6-8” hit here. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted Thursday at 02:08 PM Share Posted Thursday at 02:08 PM 22 minutes ago, buckeye said: OTOH the high is pretty far nw , (at least for our neck of the woods), which is why I thought the influence of it wouldn't be that suppressive. I think it's the confluence to the northeast that is really f'ing things up. Sucks to see this turn to a sheared mess again, if that does happen. Only bright spot is my passion for this stuff is wavering quite a bit, probably because I'm older and probably because we've been slapped around so much the last several winters you eventually start to get numb to it all. I still prefer a torch but if it's gonna get annoyingly cold it would be nice to have a snow cover. The high is pushing it south to start and it has no way to cut back north once it gets far enough east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted Thursday at 02:13 PM Share Posted Thursday at 02:13 PM Surprising good agreement from quite a distance on this one. Cooked for mby, but would actually like to see one not trend weaker with less qpf for once lately. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted Thursday at 02:45 PM Share Posted Thursday at 02:45 PM 47 minutes ago, Chambana said: Trends look good here for a significant hit, however a north nudge about 20-30 miles would have me feeling better. Either way should be a 6-8” hit here. You and me both. You're sitting pretty good. I72 corridor going to get a good hit. Cutoff near I74 is brutal. If it shifts south at all I may get nothing. 12z nam is brutal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
roardog Posted Thursday at 03:25 PM Share Posted Thursday at 03:25 PM Now the Icon brings snow as far north as Detroit. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frog Town Posted Thursday at 03:28 PM Share Posted Thursday at 03:28 PM 3 minutes ago, roardog said: Now the Icon brings snow as far north as Detroit. lol Could....this....be .....the.....beginning! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eaglesrck63 Posted Thursday at 03:37 PM Share Posted Thursday at 03:37 PM Definitely shift north from Icon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IMADreamer Posted Thursday at 03:38 PM Share Posted Thursday at 03:38 PM I'm trying not to get excited about the possibility of getting a big one here but it looks like I'm in the prime zone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted Thursday at 03:44 PM Share Posted Thursday at 03:44 PM 6 minutes ago, Eaglesrck63 said: Definitely shift north from Icon God I wish. Lol. When was last time icon was right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frog Town Posted Thursday at 03:44 PM Share Posted Thursday at 03:44 PM At this point I'd even take a couple inches. I just don't want frozen tundra for the foreseeable future... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIllinoisSnow Posted Thursday at 03:44 PM Share Posted Thursday at 03:44 PM First Winter Storm Watches have been issued in Eastern KS for this storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frog Town Posted Thursday at 03:44 PM Share Posted Thursday at 03:44 PM Just now, Radtechwxman said: God I wish. Lol. When was last time icon was right? Today! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted Thursday at 03:49 PM Share Posted Thursday at 03:49 PM 5 minutes ago, Frog Town said: At this point I'd even take a couple inches. I just don't want frozen tundra for the foreseeable future... You and me both. I hate dry and cold. Would like a nice snowpack to look at. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eaglesrck63 Posted Thursday at 03:53 PM Share Posted Thursday at 03:53 PM I should introduce myself. Long time lurker for the Mid Atlantic forum )lived in MD) but just moved to Cincinnati so excited to track some storms with everyone out here! 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
roardog Posted Thursday at 03:53 PM Share Posted Thursday at 03:53 PM Rgem might be trying at 84 hours to go north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frog Town Posted Thursday at 03:57 PM Share Posted Thursday at 03:57 PM 3 minutes ago, Eaglesrck63 said: I should introduce myself. Long time lurker for the Mid Atlantic forum )lived in MD) but just moved to Cincinnati so excited to track some storms with everyone out here! Welcome, but you and I are currently in a tug of war. Want this thing to come North a big. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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