mappy Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 3 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: Got flurries now prepping the atmosphere for tomorrows appetizer for Monday. Winter is dusting off the cob webs it’s been so long. I saw there was precip out west, maybe it will snow here too soon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 Wow, WWA for me too. I'm skeptical I see anything more than a quick dusting. As for schools, tomorrow is giving "all after school activities are cancelled" and then it snows with nothing accumulating on the road for 10 minutes around 530pm. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
csnavywx Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 40 minutes ago, osfan24 said: Aren't temperatures going to be quite warm when the squalls go through? I mean, maybe some of the favored northern areas are stuck in the mid 30's and it will snow hard enough to overcome the temp and stick to the roads, but my temp is forecasted to be in the upper 30's tomorrow afternoon. It would have to snow ridiculously hard for awhile to have any chance of sticking in those temps. Temps ahead of the trough/front will be pretty mild (u30-l40s), but given the very cold temps aloft and the borderline convective setup right along the boundary, I would expect temps to drop pretty quickly as precip arrives. Convective overturning is in play here. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jonjon Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 Another Winter Storm Warning out here for tomorrow into Saturday morning. 6-12" Yawn 3 2 3 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 Hi res models like the pa line or just north for this event. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdhokie Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 29 minutes ago, katabatic said: I live here, so I'll post pictures if they are worth folks' time. I am a bit dubious about the forecast, however - they have really struggled this year. The day of our blizzard warning the sun was out most of the day and ended up with only a few inches. The WSW that just expired this morning produced only 2 inches once again county-wide (and that may be a bit generous). So, hopefully the forecast for 6-10 tomorrow verifies. Folks at Wisp have been really frustrated by the forecast misses. Kinda wish Garrett Co would get transferred back to whatever office had them before LWX. Feel like they don't really know the micro-climate well. I'm headed up Saturday morning because I didn't want to risk driving in wind blown snow Friday night. Who knows how much we will have on the ground by then, hopefully more than a dusting! At least its cold and Wisp seems to have finally fixed all their snowmaking issues. Did you say you knew someone that worked up there? I would love to buy a beer and get the inside scoop of whats going on at the resort. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 2 Author Share Posted January 2 Just now, TSSN+ said: Hi res models like the pa line or just north for this event. I'm probably not gonna do it but I'm debating chasing this lol. I still haven't seen "snow" this year. Seen a couple snow flakes. Wish the timing would slow down a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jonjon Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 5 minutes ago, mdhokie said: Kinda wish Garrett Co would get transferred back to whatever office had them before LWX. Feel like they don't really know the micro-climate well. I'm headed up Saturday morning because I didn't want to risk driving in wind blown snow Friday night. Who knows how much we will have on the ground by then, hopefully more than a dusting! At least its cold and Wisp seems to have finally fixed all their snowmaking issues. Did you say you knew someone that worked up there? I would love to buy a beer and get the inside scoop of whats going on at the resort. PIT used to cover Garrett, I prefer LWX over PIT but think CRW does the best for the highlands for upslope events. I check all three to compare, they've been pretty close on all the events so far this year. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
katabatic Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 10 minutes ago, mdhokie said: Kinda wish Garrett Co would get transferred back to whatever office had them before LWX. Feel like they don't really know the micro-climate well. I'm headed up Saturday morning because I didn't want to risk driving in wind blown snow Friday night. Who knows how much we will have on the ground by then, hopefully more than a dusting! At least its cold and Wisp seems to have finally fixed all their snowmaking issues. Did you say you knew someone that worked up there? I would love to buy a beer and get the inside scoop of whats going on at the resort. Hey there! Yes, I do - my husband works at Wisp. He's a ski lift operator during the winter season. And before LWX, we were with Pittsburgh (and to this day, still part of the overall Pittsburgh media market). I have a tremendous amount of respect for Mets in general and LWX in particular, but they really struggle with local forecasts here. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toolsheds Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 1 hour ago, Imgoinhungry said: Yea. I doubt it. Just not sure youd want buses full of elementary school kids driving in snow squalls. Lots of bball games tomorrow night that could be impacted as well. . Yep. First night back. I have JV and Varsity in Frederick tomorrow night. Hopefully we can get them in because this month is packed and rescheduling is going to be a mess. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 Having a real hard time buying into this 1-2" stuff. But, hopefully I'm wrong. It's tough when you become a crotchety, old entitled man, but I've come to embrace it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 15 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: I'm probably not gonna do it but I'm debating chasing this lol. I still haven't seen "snow" this year. Seen a couple snow flakes. Wish the timing would slow down a bit. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 2 Author Share Posted January 2 Just now, Solution Man said: It would be an ugly a$$ chase but I'd run down a Snow Squall Warning (safely) if I could. That's kinda unique. Speaking of another event I missed, I was out of town for the 2014 Super Squall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 Just now, mitchnick said: Having a real hard time buy I NG into this 1-2" stuff. But, hopefully I'm wrong. It's tough when you become a crotchety, old entitled man, but I've come to embrace it. It's probably because the HRRR and NAM are awful for tis stuff and you know better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 Just now, NorthArlington101 said: It would be an ugly a$$ chase but I'd run down a Snow Squall Warning (safely) if I could. That's kinda unique. Speaking of another event I missed, I was out of town for the 2014 Super Squall Where will u be Sunday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 Just now, Solution Man said: Where will u be Sunday? Puerto Rico, with a flashlight. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 2 Author Share Posted January 2 1 minute ago, ravensrule said: Puerto Rico, with a flashlight. the power is back on! for now... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 23 minutes ago, mdhokie said: Kinda wish Garrett Co would get transferred back to whatever office had them before LWX. Feel like they don't really know the micro-climate well. I'm headed up Saturday morning because I didn't want to risk driving in wind blown snow Friday night. Who knows how much we will have on the ground by then, hopefully more than a dusting! At least its cold and Wisp seems to have finally fixed all their snowmaking issues. Did you say you knew someone that worked up there? I would love to buy a beer and get the inside scoop of whats going on at the resort. feel like that whole region should be NWS Pittsburgh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 26 minutes ago, jonjon said: Another Winter Storm Warning out here for tomorrow into Saturday morning. 6-12" Yawn You’re trying to get one of us to buy that house. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 24 minutes ago, csnavywx said: Temps ahead of the trough/front will be pretty mild (u30-l40s), but given the very cold temps aloft and the borderline convective setup right along the boundary, I would expect temps to drop pretty quickly as precip arrives. Convective overturning is in play here. Spot on. The NAM Nest simulated reflectivity has what's basically a thin squall line for all areas north of the DC Beltway in the mid to late afternoon. There is even some small sfc-based CAPE in the soundings. It will start as light rain but quickly turn into a burst of snow. My guess is that it whitens the ground in any places that get the higher reflectivity values. Whether it sticks around when it ends will be determined by how quickly the arctic air arrives. For those along the MD/PA border, there is a clear signal for a longer period of snow, so the potential for 1-2" isn't fantasy. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jonjon Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 Just now, nw baltimore wx said: You’re trying to get one of us to buy that house. You're on to something . . . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 3 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: the power is back on! for now... Unfortunately probably not for long. I go there a lot and every time someone farts the power goes out. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 2 minutes ago, pazzo83 said: feel like that whole region should be NWS Pittsburgh. As jonjon noted, Charleston handles the mountains the best. Their forecasts are consistently best and very detailed. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 38 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: Hi res models like the pa line or just north for this event. Nice! That blue stripe in northern Balt Co is me 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdhokie Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 30 minutes ago, katabatic said: Hey there! Yes, I do - my husband works at Wisp. He's a ski lift operator during the winter season. And before LWX, we were with Pittsburgh (and to this day, still part of the overall Pittsburgh media market). I have a tremendous amount of respect for Mets in general and LWX in particular, but they really struggle with local forecasts here. Well tell him thanks! I know its not an easy job and he probably deals with a bunch of pain in the butt fools daily. The point n clicks vary but seem highest up in McHenry. JonJon land looks to cash in the most. As long as there is enough for the kids to sled a bit and throw some snowballs I will be happy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 7 hours ago, DDweatherman said: @nj2va@IronTy anyone headed up to deep creek the next few days? Tonight into Saturday looks pretty primed for 6-10” with the clipper energy Driving there now from Mt Washington. Currently in PA getting coffee. Excited for the weekend there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 1 hour ago, WxUSAF said: Wow, WWA for me too. I'm skeptical I see anything more than a quick dusting. As for schools, tomorrow is giving "all after school activities are cancelled" and then it snows with nothing accumulating on the road for 10 minutes around 530pm. With the timing now appearing earlier, I think that may have no choice but to close schools early, even with the impacts of the event being uncertain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 2 Author Share Posted January 2 Endorse! 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 4 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: Endorse! Snow squalls coming to a town near you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 WWA up here for tomorrow for snow accumulation less than one inch tomorrow, and less than one inch tomorrow night. I expected 'half inch or less' wording, but ok. Mt Holly Kinda bullish- The bulk of the snow will fall across the Delaware Valley, including Philadelphia and nearby suburbs, southern New Jersey, and Delmarva. In these areas, around an inch to two inches of snow will accumulate. Will go ahead and issue an impact-based Winter Weather Advisory for these areas mostly since the bulk of this snow will fall around the time of the evening commute. A coating to under an inch of snow is possible north of Philadelphia. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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