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Snowfall NYC subforum Jan 6 and OBS if needed


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Just now, LibertyBell said:

Cape May will get more snow out of this than DC.

Haven’t been following too closely today so far, has it been underperforming in the M/A or how have they done? More conservative forecasts verify I get the impression? 

I have about two inches here which is basically where my expectations were. Definitely nice and better than nothing. 

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Just now, Volcanic Winter said:

Haven’t been following too closely today so far, has it been underperforming in the M/A or how have they done? More conservative forecasts verify I get the impression? 

I have about two inches here which is basically where my expectations were. Definitely nice and better than nothing. 

mix line came up there, it mixed with sleet at DC and changed over to freezing rain in Richmond and most of southern VA.

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26 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

1 inch 

I’ll take it and hopefully more to come soon 

I had 1.1" at about the same time, but with the little band that could the past 30 minutes, I'd bet we got another 0.1", so about to go measure again for what should be the actual last time for this one, lol.  

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42 minutes ago, RU848789 said:

As of about 1:05 pm, we're up to 1.1" and down to very light snow, with not much more on the radar to our west, so this might be it, unless we get a rogue band over the next hour or two. Not too far off my 1.5" prediction yesterday and more than I thought we were going to get around 9 am this morning when we got off to a slow start. Just enough snow for a few kids to sled on, although they left just before I got the latest pic below.

GAwzJvz.jpg

That last little band over us did the trick, moving us up to 1.2" for the storm and the radar truly looks done for us; temp up to 28F.  That brings us to 5.8" for the winter, which is close to average for this point of the season.  And great to hear so many people are getting 1" or so even in NENJ/NYC/LI, which is a nice surprise.  So pretty out there.  

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3 minutes ago, psv88 said:

I think all models showed the east end getting 0.0

I will say we did better than I thought, that 700mb fronto area survived coming east of PA rather than get crushed ESE which is what models had. 0.5” ain’t saying much but better than 0 and it does look nice/wintry outside for a change which it should here on 1/6 when it’s cold enough. 

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1 minute ago, psv88 said:

I think all models showed the east end getting 0.0

I thought the Upton forecasts for this event were/are noteworthy for the fact that even the 10% chance "high end" forecasts were <1" for all locations in Nassau and Suffolk.  I mention it because usually those high end forecast numbers will have some higher 'so you're tellin' me there's a chance' values that the snow optimist can hang their wishes on, but in this case even those weren't hopeful.

 

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Just now, jm1220 said:

I will say we did better than I thought, that 700mb fronto area survived coming east of PA rather than get crushed ESE which is what models had. 0.5” ain’t saying much but better than 0 and it does look nice/wintry outside for a change which it should here on 1/6 when it’s cold enough. 

The short range models over the past couple of days, and even most of the global runs were pretty dead-on about the current snowfall.  I agreed with you that the northern part of the modeled snow shield was going to be mostly virga and probably get shunted offshore southwest of here.

We'll end with over 1/2 inch... pretty soon.

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