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January 2025 General Discussion


Spartman
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Here's what the most recent full run of the GFS is suggesting over the next 15 days. Will be interesting to see how accurate (or inaccurate) this is.
snku_acc-imp.us_mw.png

Yeah sadly the GFS op outside of 48 hours for the Midwest is about as reliable as the Farmer’s Almanac. The ensemble is much more telling and honestly pretty bleak.


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3 hours ago, TheClimateChanger said:

I compiled a regional map of all snowfall totals from each airport that provides snowfall measurements [or in a couple of cases, NWS office sites] through yesterday:

image.png.c6eaee16ae3c6ee841595a340d39755f.png

Cool map, but you didn't include Iowa or Minnesota, from which we have a lot of posters. Also, I modified it so that anyone inside the red line can post complaints, but I don't want to hear any bitching from those outside the line.

image.png.c6eaee16ae3c6ee841595a340d39755f.png

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36 minutes ago, IWXwx said:

Cool map, but you didn't include Iowa or Minnesota, from which we have a lot of posters. Also, I modified it so that anyone inside the red line can post complaints, but I don't want to hear any bitching from those outside the line.

image.png.c6eaee16ae3c6ee841595a340d39755f.png

I'm the lowest at 1.2" so I get to bitch the most, lol.  

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10 hours ago, michsnowfreak said:

Actually some sun today. Dusted up 0.1" of snow yesterday, 0.8" on the month and 6.3" on season but its all lake dust that sublimates like crazy. Ground is rock hard frozen. Absolutely thrilled at the prospect of some synoptic snow Friday.

Ofc, I will gladly take any synoptic snow that Friday wants to deliver, but Sunday night/Monday clipper has my attention, and apparently GRR's as well:

- Another snow event Sunday night into Monday

Yet another low is forecast to move northeast into our area from
the Mid Mississippi valley on Monday. Several inches of
accumulation look possible with this system.
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Ofc, I will gladly take any synoptic snow that Friday wants to deliver, but Sunday night/Monday clipper has my attention, and apparently GRR's as well:
- Another snow event Sunday night into MondayYet another low is forecast to move northeast into our area fromthe Mid Mississippi valley on Monday. Several inches ofaccumulation look possible with this system.


Clippers have been pretty moisture starved this season. I’d be cautious.


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1 minute ago, DocATL said:


Clippers have been pretty moisture starved this season. I’d be cautious.


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Thanks, they're the ONLY thing that have delivered here in mby, so I'm quite optimistic actually. Also, this is not coming as much due south from the arctic dryness. Oh, and btw, whatever the NAM's smoking I wouldn't mind this for Friday either

890472733_2025-1-8NAM0zh72Surf.png.2b055b216529b090b4bcaf89d7a513f6.png

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9 hours ago, RogueWaves said:

Ofc, I will gladly take any synoptic snow that Friday wants to deliver, but Sunday night/Monday clipper has my attention, and apparently GRR's as well:

- Another snow event Sunday night into Monday

Yet another low is forecast to move northeast into our area from
the Mid Mississippi valley on Monday. Several inches of
accumulation look possible with this system.

The clipper signal for Monday has been on the models/ensembles for days now, but qpf nothing crazy. It will be interesting to see how it plays out.

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37 minutes ago, DocATL said:


I would say that the upper south, a good chunk of middle America and the Ohio valley had a nice event and are gearing up for another round. Deep South is next. >70% of the CONUS could have snow cover.


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The areas that almost never have snow cover are about to have a snow cover while the rest of us in prime winter areas are bone dry. We were lucky enough to salvage some lake effect snow and 2 clippers in December, but were about to go half way through winter with only one snowstorm that impacted the region as a whole. Pretty crazy. 

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Finished my work up of the extremes from 20 long period (mid 1870's & earlier) stations in our sub region. I'll be posting Max, Hmin, Lmax, Min, and Max precip metrics. I also may add high/low avg metrics, and snowfall in the future. I'll also will be working on those stations that have start data from the late 1870's into the mid 1890's. There are quite a few of those, as well, with most of them having starts in the early 1890's, so I'll probably start the graphs with the 1890's decade with them. And they are not co-op sites.

Lets start off with the Max temps. First graph will be the 20 stations combined, followed by the W & E split for the top 5 & #1 and then a list of the most extreme daily temps in the records (you may need to click the image to get a good look). Then followed by the monthly, with the W & E split. The W & E are pretty similar, but you will notice some difference. All data is updated thru 2024.

 

Max top 5.gif

Max top 5 (W & E).gif

Max top #1.gif

Max top #1 (W&E).gif

Max extremes.gif

Max top 10 mos.gif

Max top 10 mos (W&E).gif

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