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January 2025 General Discussion


Spartman
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1 hour ago, michsnowfreak said:

Oh dont get me wrong. As an all-things winter lover I enjoy the pattern a lot too. Snowflakes falling yet again today. I wish there was more snow, but theres been pretty consistent light snowcover and near daily snowfall this month. The only issue I have is that we are really not getting a great clipper pattern like we could with this cold NW flow, so im looking forward to the pattern change as we head into Feb. Obviously it will come with the usual of some people freaking out over random OP model runs, but pattern & climo recognition makes it clear. The projected pattern will increase 3 things for our are: variablity, the chance of rainers/thaws, but most importantly, the chance of some good snowstorms. Its a gamble for sure, but more times than not this pattern will yield a decent amount of snow, even if it means seeing bare ground and rain again at some point.

Additionally, the GLs influence will greatly diminish if we continued much longer with this NW strong cold flow.  Ice cover is growing.  Time to go to the casino pattern and take our chances ;)   

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2 hours ago, michsnowfreak said:

Oh dont get me wrong. As an all-things winter lover I enjoy the pattern a lot too. Snowflakes falling yet again today. I wish there was more snow, but theres been pretty consistent light snowcover and near daily snowfall this month. The only issue I have is that we are really not getting a great clipper pattern like we could with this cold NW flow, so im looking forward to the pattern change as we head into Feb. Obviously it will come with the usual of some people freaking out over random OP model runs, but pattern & climo recognition makes it clear. The projected pattern will increase 3 things for our are: variablity, the chance of rainers/thaws, but most importantly, the chance of some good snowstorms. Its a gamble for sure, but more times than not this pattern will yield a decent amount of snow, even if it means seeing bare ground and rain again at some point.

i agree, I'm in the same boat as you. Although its been nice seeing the consistent light snows everyday, it's getting a bit frustrating now. And I'm a huge winter weenie like you.

I'm not sure about Detroit, but normals aside, this cold hasn't been anything extreme. For us its been a seasonably cold pattern. Our average low is around 13 and YYZ has only gotten below 13, 8 times so far. Our coldest wind direction is usually from the NW or due N and the wind direction this month has primarily been from the SW or WSW. That plus the consistent cold cover due to the warm lakes has prevented us from dropping below 13F more frequently. Just an overall crappy pattern tbh. 

Although there's been some glimmer of hope on the models for a possible pattern change, its constantly being pushed back. Remember 2 weeks ago the models had a nice -EPO/Aleutian ridge pattern around Jan 20 and its now Jan 24 and the pattern remains unchanged. 

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6 hours ago, michsnowfreak said:

Oh dont get me wrong. As an all-things winter lover I enjoy the pattern a lot too. Snowflakes falling yet again today. I wish there was more snow, but theres been pretty consistent light snowcover and near daily snowfall this month. The only issue I have is that we are really not getting a great clipper pattern like we could with this cold NW flow, so im looking forward to the pattern change as we head into Feb. Obviously it will come with the usual of some people freaking out over random OP model runs, but pattern & climo recognition makes it clear. The projected pattern will increase 3 things for our are: variablity, the chance of rainers/thaws, but most importantly, the chance of some good snowstorms. Its a gamble for sure, but more times than not this pattern will yield a decent amount of snow, even if it means seeing bare ground and rain again at some point.

You say that now but wait until there's a 50 degree rain that wipes out your snowpack in one day. lol

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