January 2025 General Discussion

[Lightning]

1 hour ago, michsnowfreak said:

Oh dont get me wrong. As an all-things winter lover I enjoy the pattern a lot too. Snowflakes falling yet again today. I wish there was more snow, but theres been pretty consistent light snowcover and near daily snowfall this month. The only issue I have is that we are really not getting a great clipper pattern like we could with this cold NW flow, so im looking forward to the pattern change as we head into Feb. Obviously it will come with the usual of some people freaking out over random OP model runs, but pattern & climo recognition makes it clear. The projected pattern will increase 3 things for our are: variablity, the chance of rainers/thaws, but most importantly, the chance of some good snowstorms. Its a gamble for sure, but more times than not this pattern will yield a decent amount of snow, even if it means seeing bare ground and rain again at some point.

Additionally, the GLs influence will greatly diminish if we continued much longer with this NW strong cold flow.  Ice cover is growing.  Time to go to the casino pattern and take our chances    

[michsnowfreak]

2 hours ago, dmc76 said:

Everyday 

Even DTX gets it lol:

Friday night through Saturday night will be one of those MI winter
days with multiple chances for show showers, higher POPs, but with
little QPF/snow amounts most likely.

[dmc76]

11 minutes ago, michsnowfreak said:

Even DTX gets it lol:

Friday night through Saturday night will be one of those MI winter
days with multiple chances for show showers, higher POPs, but with
little QPF/snow amounts most likely.

Picked up 3/4” today so far. 

[Snowstorms]

2 hours ago, michsnowfreak said:

Oh dont get me wrong. As an all-things winter lover I enjoy the pattern a lot too. Snowflakes falling yet again today. I wish there was more snow, but theres been pretty consistent light snowcover and near daily snowfall this month. The only issue I have is that we are really not getting a great clipper pattern like we could with this cold NW flow, so im looking forward to the pattern change as we head into Feb. Obviously it will come with the usual of some people freaking out over random OP model runs, but pattern & climo recognition makes it clear. The projected pattern will increase 3 things for our are: variablity, the chance of rainers/thaws, but most importantly, the chance of some good snowstorms. Its a gamble for sure, but more times than not this pattern will yield a decent amount of snow, even if it means seeing bare ground and rain again at some point.

i agree, I'm in the same boat as you. Although its been nice seeing the consistent light snows everyday, it's getting a bit frustrating now. And I'm a huge winter weenie like you.

I'm not sure about Detroit, but normals aside, this cold hasn't been anything extreme. For us its been a seasonably cold pattern. Our average low is around 13 and YYZ has only gotten below 13, 8 times so far. Our coldest wind direction is usually from the NW or due N and the wind direction this month has primarily been from the SW or WSW. That plus the consistent cold cover due to the warm lakes has prevented us from dropping below 13F more frequently. Just an overall crappy pattern tbh. 

Although there's been some glimmer of hope on the models for a possible pattern change, its constantly being pushed back. Remember 2 weeks ago the models had a nice -EPO/Aleutian ridge pattern around Jan 20 and its now Jan 24 and the pattern remains unchanged. 

[Lightning]

55 minutes ago, dmc76 said:

Picked up 3/4” today so far. 

Only a 1/4" here but still nice to have some snow falling on and off

[roardog]

6 hours ago, michsnowfreak said:

Oh dont get me wrong. As an all-things winter lover I enjoy the pattern a lot too. Snowflakes falling yet again today. I wish there was more snow, but theres been pretty consistent light snowcover and near daily snowfall this month. The only issue I have is that we are really not getting a great clipper pattern like we could with this cold NW flow, so im looking forward to the pattern change as we head into Feb. Obviously it will come with the usual of some people freaking out over random OP model runs, but pattern & climo recognition makes it clear. The projected pattern will increase 3 things for our are: variablity, the chance of rainers/thaws, but most importantly, the chance of some good snowstorms. Its a gamble for sure, but more times than not this pattern will yield a decent amount of snow, even if it means seeing bare ground and rain again at some point.

You say that now but wait until there's a 50 degree rain that wipes out your snowpack in one day. lol

[RogueWaves]

3 hours ago, roardog said:

You say that now but wait until there's a 50 degree rain that wipes out your snowpack in one day. lol

Then he'll roll out pic's from the glory years to get thru it, lol

[RogueWaves]

I need 4.7" during this final week of the month to have an average January. Can these clippers pull it off?? Stay tuned!

[WestMichigan]

1 hour ago, RogueWaves said:

I need 4.7" during this final week of the month to have an average January. Can these clippers pull it off?? Stay tuned!

The lake has been good to us in the western part of the state.  Already above average for the month and have exceeded the entire total from last year also.

[mississaugasnow]

4 hours ago, roardog said:

You say that now but wait until there's a 50 degree rain that wipes out your snowpack in one day. lol

haha thats okay. Most of the GTA only has 1-4" on the ground so not like we're losing a sweet snowpack.

Im also intrigued in river flooding if the pattern flips fast enough with ice jams