Roger Smith Posted March 25 Author Share Posted March 25 Above (meaning previously on page two) see scoring for March 2025 and eventually annual scoring update. Further back in Feb portion of thread, snowfall contest details have been updated to March 31st. Below, post your April forecasts ... anyone new thinking of entering, see original post for details (Jan contest). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scotty Lightning Posted March 28 Share Posted March 28 April DCA _ NYC _ BOS __ ORD _ ATL _ IAH ___ DEN _ PHX _ SEA 1.5 1.0 1.0 0.5 1.5 1.5 0.5 1.5 0.5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 April DCA _ NYC _ BOS __ ORD _ ATL _ IAH ___ DEN _ PHX _ SEA 1.2 1.7 1.5 0.2 1.9 1.8 0.9 1.8 0.1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxallannj Posted March 31 Share Posted March 31 April DCA _ NYC _ BOS __ ORD _ ATL _ IAH ___ DEN _ PHX _ SEA -0.5 -0.7 -0.5 -0.4 0.5 0.5 0.2 2.1 1.8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted March 31 Share Posted March 31 DCA _ NYC _ BOS __ ORD _ ATL _ IAH ___ DEN _ PHX _ SEA -0.2 -0.2 0.3 -0.4 1.3 1.3 0.7 1.0 0.4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted March 31 Share Posted March 31 DCA _ NYC _ BOS __ ORD _ ATL _ IAH ___ DEN _ PHX _ SEA +1.1 +1.3 +1.3 +0.7 +1.1 +1.3 +0.9 +1.6 +0.7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 31 Share Posted March 31 DCA: +1.0 NYC: +1.0 BOS: +1.0 ORD: +1.0 ATL: +2.0 IAH: +2.5 DEN: +2.0 PHX: +1.5 SEA: +2.0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted March 31 Share Posted March 31 April DCA: -1.3 NYC: -1.8 BOS: -1.6 ORD: -0.7 ATL: +1.6 IAH: +1.1 DEN: +1.7 PHX: +1.9 SEA: +0.4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RodneyS Posted March 31 Share Posted March 31 DCA _ NYC _ BOS __ ORD _ ATL _ IAH ___ DEN _ PHX _ SEA -0.3 -0.8 -0.1 -2.4 1.1 0.6 -1.3 -0.6 0.8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted April 1 Share Posted April 1 Thanks for doing it Roger. April DCA _ NYC _ BOS __ ORD _ ATL _ IAH __ DEN _ PHX _ SEA 1.7 1.8 1.6 1.2 2.1 1.6 2.1 2.7 1.0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted April 1 Author Share Posted April 1 -0.3 _ -0.5 _ -0.7 __ -0.5 _ +2.0 _ +2.5 __ -1.0 _ +2.7 __ 0.0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
so_whats_happening Posted April 1 Share Posted April 1 DCA _ NYC _ BOS __ ORD _ ATL _ IAH ___ DEN _ PHX _ SEA +1.2 +1.1 +.8 +.9 +1.1 +1.2 +.8 +2.1 +.4 Sorry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bkviking Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 DCA: -0.8 NYC: -0.2 BOS: -0.4 ORD: -0.5 ATL: +0.2 IAH: +1.4 DEN: +1.2 PHX: +1.5 SEA: +0.5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted April 3 Author Share Posted April 3 Forecasts for April 2025 FORECASTER _____________________ DCA _NYC _BOS __ORD _ATL _IAH __DEN _PHX _SEA StormchaserChuck _______________ +1.7 _+1.8 _+1.6 __ +1.2 _ +2.1 _+1.6 __+2.1 _+2.7 _+1.0 Scotty Lightning __________________ +1.5 _+1.0 _+1.0 __ +0.5 _+1.5 _+1.5 __+0.5 _+1.5 _+0.5 hudsonvalley21 ____________________+1.2 _+1.7 _+1.5 __ +0.2 _+1.9 _+1.8 __+0.9 _+1.8 _+0.1 so_whats_happening ______________+1.2 _ +1.1 _ +0.8 __+0.9 _+1.1 _ +1.2 __+0.8 _+2.1 _+0.4 Tom _______________________________ +1.1 _ +1.3 _ +1.3 __+0.7 _ +1.1 _+1.3 __+0.9 _+1.6 _+0.7 RJay _______________________________+1.0 _+1.0 _+1.0 __ +1.0 _+2.0 _+2.5 __+2.0 _+1.5 _+2.0 ___ Consensus ___________________+0.4 _+0.4_+0.7 __-0.1 _+1.4 _+1.4 __+0.9 _+1.7 _+0.5 ___ Normal _________________________ 0.0 __ 0.0 __0.0 ___ 0.0 __0.0 __0.0 ___0.0 __ 0.0 _ 0.0 DonSutherland1 ___________________ -0.2 _-0.2 _+0.3 __-0.4 _+1.3 _+1.3 __+0.7 _+1.0 _+0.4 Roger Smith _______________________ -0.3 _-0.5 _-0.7 __ -0.5 _+2.0 _+2.5 __-1.0 _+2.7 _ 0.0 RodneyS __________________________ -0.3 _-0.8 _-0.1 __ -2.4 _ +1.1 _ +0.6 __-1.3 _-0.6 _+0.8 wxallannj___________________________-0.5 _-0.7 _-0.5 __ -0.4 _+0.5 _+0.5 __+0.2 _+2.1 _+1.8 BKViking ___________________________-0.8 _-0.2 _-0.4 __ -0.5 _+0.2 _+1.4 __+1.2 _+1.5 _+0.5 wxdude64 _________________________ -1.3 _ -1.8 _ -1.6 __ -0.7 _+1.6 _+1.1 ___+1.7 _+1.9 _+0.4 ______ Persistence (Mar 2025) _____________+6.7 _+4.1 _+4.0 __+5.4 _+3.6 _+4.6 __+4.2 _+1.5 __0.0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted Wednesday at 07:50 PM Author Share Posted Wednesday at 07:50 PM Anomalies to mid-April and projections ... __________________________ DCA _ NYC _ BOS __ ORD _ ATL _ IAH __ DEN _ PHX _ SEA ___ (anom Apr 1-15) _____+1.1 __ -2.0 _ -1.3 ___ -1.6 _ +3.3 _ +3.1 __ +1.2 _ +3.3 _ +1.0 ___ (p anom Apr 1-30) __+2.5 __-0.5 __ 0.0 ___ 0.0 _ +3.0 _ +3.5 __ +0.5 _ +3.5 _ +0.5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted Wednesday at 08:59 PM Author Share Posted Wednesday at 08:59 PM _ Preliminary scoring for April 2025 _ based on projected anomalies in previous post, most recent updates FORECASTER ____________________ DCA_NYC_BOS_east_ORD_ATL_IAH_ cent _ c/e __ DEN_PHX_SEA_west___ TOTALS StormchaserChuck _______________ 84 _ 54 _ 68 __ 206 __ 76 _ 82 _ 62 __ 220 _ 426 __ 68 _ 84 _ 90 __ 242 ____ 668 Scotty Lightning __________________ 80 _ 70 _ 80 __ 230 __ 90 _ 70 _ 60 __ 220 _ 450 __100 _ 60 _100 __ 260 ____ 710 hudsonvalley21 ___________________ 74 _ 56 _ 70 __ 200 __ 96 _ 78 _ 66 __ 240 _ 440 __ 92 _ 66 _ 92 __ 250 ____ 690 so_whats_happening _____________ 74 _ 68 _ 84 __ 226 __ 82 _ 62 _ 54 __ 198 _ 424 __ 94 _ 72 _ 98 __ 264 ____ 688 Tom _______________________________72 _ 64 _ 74 __ 210 ___86 _ 62 _ 56 __ 204 _ 414 ___92 _ 62 _ 96 __ 250 ____ 664 RJay ______________________________ 70 _ 70 _ 80 __ 220 __ 80 _ 80 _ 80 __ 240 _ 460 __ 70 _ 60 _ 70 __ 200 ____ 660 ___ Consensus _________________58 _ 82 _ 86 __226 __ 98 _ 68 _ 58 __224 _ 450 __92_ 64 _100__ 256 ___ 706 ___ Normal _________________________50 _ 90 _100 __ 240 __100 _ 40 _ 30 __ 170 __ 410 __ 90 _ 30 _ 90 __ 210 ____ 620 DonSutherland1 ___________________ 46 _ 94 _ 94 __ 234 __ 92 _ 66 _ 56 __ 214 __ 448 __ 96 _ 50 _ 98 __ 244 ____ 692 Roger Smith _______________________ 44 _100 _ 86 __ 230 __ 90 _ 80 _ 80 __ 250 _ 480 __ 70 _ 84 _ 90 __ 244 ____ 724 RodneyS __________________________ 44 _ 94 _ 98 __ 236 __ 52 _ 62 _ 42 __ 156 __ 392 __ 64 _ 18 __ 94 __ 176 ____ 568 wxallannj___________________________40 _ 96 _ 90 __ 226 __ 92 _ 50 _ 40 __ 182 __ 408 __ 94 _ 72 _ 74 __ 240 ____648 BKViking __________________________ 34 _ 94 _ 92 __ 220 __ 90 _ 44 _ 58 __ 192 __ 412 __ 86 _ 60 _100 __ 246 ____ 658 wxdude64 _________________________24 _ 74 _ 68 __ 166 __ 86 _ 72 _ 52 ___ 210 __ 376 __ 76 _ 68 _ 98 __ 242 ____ 618 ______ Persistence (Mar 2025) _____________16 _ 08 _ 20 __ 044 __ 00 _ 88 _ 78 __ 166 _ 210 __ 18 _ 86 _ 80 __ 204 ____ 414 note: scoring range is generally quite small and so I have not indicated any best forecasts, this could all be off by 50-100 total points quite easily and the order of finish could easily be scrambled compared to this presentation. =================== Extreme forecast report DCA, ATL, IAH, PHX would be wins for highest forecasts, based on preliminary estimates ... StormchaserChuck would take DCA and ATL and a share of PHX (with Roger Smith) for 2.5 net. RJay (net 0.5) and Roger Smith (net 1.0) share IAH. Persistence does not participate but would have won ATL and PHX by a small margin. There is a slight chance of NYC or ORD recording a win for either coldest or second coldest forecasts but at this point not by the estimates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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