dendrite Posted December 28, 2024 Share Posted December 28, 2024 On 12/28/2024 at 3:07 PM, Damage In Tolland said: We’ll see what Tip thinks today Expand Good luck 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 28, 2024 Share Posted December 28, 2024 On 12/28/2024 at 5:45 PM, dendrite said: Good luck Expand When Tip disappears from own threads , it’s never good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 28, 2024 Share Posted December 28, 2024 On 12/28/2024 at 6:14 PM, Damage In Tolland said: When Tip disappears from own threads , it’s never good Expand It was never good to begin with, at least not South of the mountains Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 28, 2024 Author Share Posted December 28, 2024 On 12/27/2024 at 11:06 PM, Typhoon Tip said: we have a difference of opinion on that. as is... the hills of n ct up to the monads and across se nh is a colder signal - marginally so.. but I'm also not taking this model literally I'm correcting based on plenty of precedence and pure experience with that sort of look. the chartage painting blue qpf is more of warning really. heh. we'll see. it won't take any warming or that interpretation doesn't fly - no issue with that... Expand okay, following up ... this was never high confidence for snow, guys - there's no 'sinking ship' really. reading is a problem in here. it was described as very marginal, with snow perhaps 'collapsing toward the coast in the last 1/2 to 1/3 of it'. and, at the time .. was largely based on colder trends from various guidance sources that occurred yesterday. i did say the bold (abv) to Scott. well ... that's summarily what happened, unfortunately for snow enthusiasts. it trended back warmer. oh well... i mean, these were/are minor trends oscillating on either side of marginal, and this is what you get. there's still a non-zero chance this could amplify and end up more se again. fwiw, the ggem is persisting with potent look that offers a decent nor'easter. it's not a snow vs rain discussion point, but having a sub 990 mb low approaching from the s, and ending up in the boston harbor as a 982 mb is noteworthy for those that are interested in the meteorology of it. granted ( haha ) not the most popular model in the tool box, no. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 28, 2024 Share Posted December 28, 2024 In Tip’s defense , it does look like it could end as a period of snow In hills 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 28, 2024 Share Posted December 28, 2024 Northern and NW Maine looks like they can gain on this one. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 28, 2024 Share Posted December 28, 2024 On 12/28/2024 at 10:40 PM, Damage In Tolland said: In Tip’s defense , it does look like it could end as a period of snow In hills Expand Yeah the picnic tables 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 28, 2024 Share Posted December 28, 2024 On 12/28/2024 at 11:42 PM, dendrite said: Yeah the picnic tables Expand Even down into NW CT and ORH hills 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheMainer Posted December 28, 2024 Share Posted December 28, 2024 On 12/28/2024 at 11:35 PM, dryslot said: Northern and NW Maine looks like they can gain on this one. Expand Think we're far enough north here or might be screwed? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 28, 2024 Share Posted December 28, 2024 On 12/28/2024 at 11:49 PM, TheMainer said: Think we're far enough north here or might be screwed? Expand You could be ok with this at the end. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doug1991 Posted December 29, 2024 Share Posted December 29, 2024 On 12/28/2024 at 11:49 PM, TheMainer said: Think we're far enough north here or might be screwed? Expand My God I hope so. Definitely need it. Northwest Maine has been screwed for the past four or five years IMO 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ariof Posted December 29, 2024 Share Posted December 29, 2024 Reggie says … Congrats, like, Wakefield, NH? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 29, 2024 Author Share Posted December 29, 2024 Looks like there may be an early attempt at coalescencing on a low that passes over the Cape/islands.. this looks okay considering the path of jet max. the global position is okay but the left exit region of the acceleration aloft is east of their positions really - positions they're sort of 'getting away with' because we're eating cc shit on this one. cc/islands would probably be a good track for us in the interior, hfd to ash nh, 30 years ago but .. ha. we'll be 38 or so here in interior sne with 850s around -2c ... so darn close but likely too warm. I would still pay attention in cne and points NE up in Maine, however. in fact, 12z rgem along with very recent nams ( like 18z nams ..) are threatening a flash over around noon to 18z from the monads and ne looking. quick moving and again ...this was never a huge. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston Bulldog Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 While the upslope has seemingly been baked in for a few days now, synoptics have been ticking a bit better for NNE folks in recent runs. The mid level coastal transfer remains a bit of a mess but has trended towards a more coherent and dynamic CMC like solution. I do expect Canadian guidance to back off a bit though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 30, 2024 Author Share Posted December 30, 2024 On 12/30/2024 at 4:19 AM, Boston Bulldog said: While the upslope has seemingly been baked in for a few days now, synoptics have been ticking a bit better for NNE folks in recent runs. The mid level coastal transfer remains a bit of a mess but has trended towards a more coherent and dynamic CMC like solution. I do expect Canadian guidance to back off a bit though. Expand yeah i know i've been waiting for that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 12z Nam has a nice high end advisory refresher for NNH, Western and Northern Maine on Weds as they transition to snow. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheMainer Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 On 12/30/2024 at 2:45 PM, dryslot said: Expand Hoping we don't lose all our snow today, at the office in Auburn and it's raining steady here and that band is heading Northeast. Won't be grooming after another 3-4, but should be paste which will help if we can pull off 6-12 next week then we'll be styling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 On 12/30/2024 at 3:58 PM, TheMainer said: Hoping we don't lose all our snow today, at the office in Auburn and it's raining steady here and that band is heading Northeast. Won't be grooming after another 3-4, but should be paste which will help if we can pull off 6-12 next week then we'll be styling Expand All gone here across the bridge, Not that there was much to lose, We had 3", So we start over again, Weds has been ticking a bit east ea run which helps your area and the western part of the state, Maybe eek out 1" here if were lucky, Then we wait on next week, At least its going to be cold going forward. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 On 12/30/2024 at 3:58 PM, TheMainer said: Hoping we don't lose all our snow today, at the office in Auburn and it's raining steady here and that band is heading Northeast. Won't be grooming after another 3-4, but should be paste which will help if we can pull off 6-12 next week then we'll be styling Expand Guilford to Auburn? Hope you don't have a daily commute. Moderate RA here trying to scour out the CAD but still 8" and I think we keep about 4 after this mess. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheMainer Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 On 12/30/2024 at 4:06 PM, tamarack said: Guilford to Auburn? Hope you don't have a daily commute. Moderate RA here trying to scour out the CAD but still 8" and I think we keep about 4 after this mess. Expand Once a week, rest of the time WFH or visiting customers up my way. I used to live in Monmouth but decided to move back and met my now wife around the same time and she's from Lincoln area. Southern Maine paycheck and a small rural Maine mortgage and property taxes are about ideal for me. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 On 12/30/2024 at 4:23 PM, TheMainer said: Once a week, rest of the time WFH or visiting customers up my way. I used to live in Monmouth but decided to move back and met my now wife around the same time and she's from Lincoln area. Southern Maine paycheck and a small rural Maine mortgage and property taxes are about ideal for me. Expand Best of both worlds? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheMainer Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 About 1.5 inches of pure slush, better than I thought we'd do so far down in the river valley, will be curious what the groomer barn north is getting. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
amarshall Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 When we left sugarloaf they were between 4-6 and still nuking at 1pm. Changeover quickly around Belgrade lakes. . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 2 Author Share Posted January 2 On 1/1/2025 at 9:11 PM, amarshall said: When we left sugarloaf they were between 4-6 and still nuking at 1pm. Changeover quickly around Belgrade lakes. . Expand yeah ..this effort turned out useful for up north. we're also getting some interesting top down dynamics cooling and ivt cat paws going over to snow down here, too. interesting.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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