January 1/2 has gaining interest.

[dendrite]

2 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said:

We’ll see what Tip thinks today

Good luck

[Damage In Tolland]

28 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Good luck

When Tip disappears from own threads , it’s never good 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

48 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

When Tip disappears from own threads , it’s never good 

It was never good to begin with, at least not South of the mountains 

[Typhoon Tip]

20 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said:

we have a difference of opinion on that.  as is... the hills of n ct up to the monads and across se nh is a colder signal - marginally so.. but I'm also not taking this model literally

I'm correcting based on plenty of precedence and pure experience with that sort of look.  the chartage painting blue qpf is more of warning really.  heh. 

we'll see.  

it won't take any warming or that interpretation doesn't fly - no issue with that...

okay, following up ... this was never high confidence for snow, guys - there's no 'sinking ship' really.  reading is a problem in here.  it was described as very marginal, with snow perhaps 'collapsing toward the coast in the last 1/2 to 1/3 of it'.  and, at the time ..  was largely based on colder trends from various guidance sources that occurred yesterday.  

i did say the bold (abv) to Scott.   well ... that's summarily what happened, unfortunately for snow enthusiasts.  it trended back warmer.  oh well... 

i mean, these were/are minor trends oscillating on either side of marginal, and this is what you get.  there's still a non-zero chance this could amplify and end up more se again.  

fwiw, the ggem is persisting with potent look that offers a decent nor'easter.   it's not a snow vs rain discussion point, but having a sub 990 mb low approaching from the s, and ending up in the boston harbor as a 982 mb is noteworthy for those that are interested in the meteorology of it.  granted ( haha ) not the most popular model in the tool box, no.   

[Damage In Tolland]

In Tip’s defense , it does look like it could end as a period of snow In hills 

[dryslot]

Northern and NW Maine looks like they can gain on this one.

[dendrite]

1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said:

In Tip’s defense , it does look like it could end as a period of snow In hills 

Yeah the picnic tables

[Damage In Tolland]

1 minute ago, dendrite said:

Yeah the picnic tables

Even down into NW CT and ORH hills 

[TheMainer]

13 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Northern and NW Maine looks like they can gain on this one.

Think we're far enough north here or might be screwed? 

[dryslot]

16 minutes ago, TheMainer said:

Think we're far enough north here or might be screwed? 

You could be ok with this at the end.

[doug1991]

14 hours ago, TheMainer said:

Think we're far enough north here or might be screwed? 

My God I hope so. Definitely need it. Northwest Maine has been screwed for the past four or five years IMO

[ariof]

Reggie says … Congrats, like, Wakefield, NH?

[Typhoon Tip]

Looks like there may be an early attempt at coalescencing on a low that passes over the Cape/islands..  this looks okay considering the path of jet max.   the global position is okay but the left exit region of the acceleration aloft is east of their positions really - positions they're sort of 'getting away with' because we're eating cc shit on this one. 

cc/islands would probably be a good track for us in the interior, hfd to ash nh, 30 years ago but .. ha.  

we'll be 38 or so here in interior sne with 850s around -2c ... so darn close but likely too warm.  I would still pay attention in cne and points NE up in Maine, however.  in fact, 12z rgem along with very recent nams ( like 18z nams ..)  are threatening a flash over around noon to 18z from the monads and ne looking.  quick moving and again ...this was never a huge. 

 

[Boston Bulldog]

While the upslope has seemingly been baked in for a few days now, synoptics have been ticking a bit better for NNE folks in recent runs. The mid level coastal transfer remains a bit of a mess but has trended towards a more coherent and dynamic CMC like solution. 

I do expect Canadian guidance to back off a bit though.

[Typhoon Tip]

10 hours ago, Boston Bulldog said:

While the upslope has seemingly been baked in for a few days now, synoptics have been ticking a bit better for NNE folks in recent runs. The mid level coastal transfer remains a bit of a mess but has trended towards a more coherent and dynamic CMC like solution. 

I do expect Canadian guidance to back off a bit though.

yeah i know i've been waiting for that

[dryslot]

12z Nam has a nice high end advisory refresher for NNH, Western and Northern Maine on Weds as they transition to snow.

[dryslot]

[TheMainer]

1 hour ago, dryslot said:

Hoping we don't lose all our snow today, at the office in Auburn and it's raining steady here and that band is heading Northeast. Won't be grooming after another 3-4, but should be paste which will help if we can pull off 6-12 next week then we'll be styling 

[dryslot]

Just now, TheMainer said:

Hoping we don't lose all our snow today, at the office in Auburn and it's raining steady here and that band is heading Northeast. Won't be grooming after another 3-4, but should be paste which will help if we can pull off 6-12 next week then we'll be styling 

All gone here across the bridge, Not that there was much to lose, We had 3", So we start over again, Weds has been ticking a bit east ea run which helps your area and the western part of the state, Maybe eek out 1" here if were lucky, Then we wait on next week, At least its going to be cold going forward.

[tamarack]

6 minutes ago, TheMainer said:

Hoping we don't lose all our snow today, at the office in Auburn and it's raining steady here and that band is heading Northeast. Won't be grooming after another 3-4, but should be paste which will help if we can pull off 6-12 next week then we'll be styling 

Guilford to Auburn?  Hope you don't have a daily commute.

Moderate RA here trying to scour out the CAD but still 8" and I think we keep about 4 after this mess.

[TheMainer]

8 minutes ago, tamarack said:

Guilford to Auburn?  Hope you don't have a daily commute.

Moderate RA here trying to scour out the CAD but still 8" and I think we keep about 4 after this mess.

Once a week, rest of the time WFH or visiting customers up my way. I used to live in Monmouth but decided to move back and met my now wife around the same time and she's from Lincoln area. Southern Maine paycheck and a small rural Maine mortgage and property taxes are about ideal for me. 

[tamarack]

1 hour ago, TheMainer said:

Once a week, rest of the time WFH or visiting customers up my way. I used to live in Monmouth but decided to move back and met my now wife around the same time and she's from Lincoln area. Southern Maine paycheck and a small rural Maine mortgage and property taxes are about ideal for me. 

Best of both worlds?

[TheMainer]

About 1.5 inches of pure slush, better than I thought we'd do so far down in the river valley, will be curious what the groomer barn north is getting. 

[amarshall]

When we left sugarloaf they were between 4-6 and still nuking at 1pm. Changeover quickly around Belgrade lakes.


.

[Typhoon Tip]

3 hours ago, amarshall said:

When we left sugarloaf they were between 4-6 and still nuking at 1pm. Changeover quickly around Belgrade lakes.


.

yeah ..this effort turned out useful for up north.

we're also getting some interesting top down dynamics cooling and ivt cat paws going over to snow down here, too.    interesting..