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Winter 2024/2025 January Thread


AMZ8990
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How are we feeling about this Sunday night critter?  I know we've kind of talked around it, but there have been some developments:

RGEM:

giphy.gif

 

NAM

giphy.gif

 

 

HRRR and RAP have it too, but zi can't make a gif.

Overperformer? MRX going with an inch or two above 3000 feet. Time of day (overnight looks good). 

Will John get at least an inch? Might be good for Bristol and JC too? 

 

 

 

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On 12/23/2024 at 4:05 PM, John1122 said:

If the Euro wins, we're going to be spending a good portion of January shivering. Snow and ice also look to be on tap. If the GFS is correct, we may still get there, but later.

Looks like the euro won this battle.  We didn’t score as much with the snow and ice (what’s new), but we didn’t totally blank either.  Pretty much all of TN saw at least some snow.  With the EPS/GPS showing the way back toward something workable around mid February, while the GFS charts its own way…… guessing the GFS will be 0-2 here in a couple of weeks.

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That is what they said. This afternoon, I wondered if the soil was still frozen below the very top layer. Raked it back and sure enough it’s frozen. Won’t take very much snow or ice falling to re freeze the top layer again. I’m not sure they are thinking about the leftover effects of the extended cold we just had. At any rate, I have very little elevation here, so I will likely see only snow in the air and be at 33/34 degrees but I still have snow in the shade around here in places. There’s places on the lake bed near the water with snow still. It evidently drifted into holes and low places. I kid you not I found a place yesterday and poked through the ice, it was almost 6in deep still, and that down by the water. Granted it’s scattered around in sections here and there, but it’s still here. 

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53 minutes ago, John1122 said:

Did MRX really say that surfaces are too warm for anything but grassy accumulations because of the last two days? It was 12 degrees yesterday morning and 19 this morning. I still have snow on the ground and sides of the road in shady spots. 

I had to drive a golf tee in the ground with a hammer earlier today..thats the most ridiculous statement I've heard..ground very much frozen

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Here in West Knoxville my temp has dropped fast. Even under cloud cover I went from 51 to 42 in the last 3 hours. Don't know if it will be enough but I am surprised. I am sure north of us and with a little elevation things should stick with any rates.

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15 minutes ago, bearman said:

Here in West Knoxville my temp has dropped fast. Even under cloud cover I went from 51 to 42 in the last 3 hours. Don't know if it will be enough but I am surprised. I am sure north of us and with a little elevation things should stick with any rates.

Same here. It's down to 37 here after a high of 47. 

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6 hours ago, Holston_River_Rambler said:

Bored this PM so I thought I'd try my hand at a snow map

iTc2EXM.png

I'd take a few snow showers just for the wintry vibes but I'm probably too far west for even that. Like you, I'm so freakin' bored right now, I'm refreshing my wet bulb calculator every 15 minutes. Go Bills!!!

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