Carvers Gap Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 53 minutes ago, Daniel Boone said: The 18z Euro had 4-6 10:1 ratio. Possible heavy front end Thump. Dec. 5, 02 comes to mind although no ice involved. We picked up 5 inches before changing to rain from a LP in Western Ky that slid East and transferred to Coast. It dumped all Snow from an east west line Jackson Kentucky Northward and across Northern and central VA. You may remember that one. Think tn line South had predominantly rain. It also had the Jan 10th system looking primed. It had it phased which it didn't at 12z. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neals Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 13 minutes ago, Carvers Gap said: Both. The Miller A talk and big storm talk is Jan 10. I think John and Boone are talking Sunday. Sorry, I just jumped in. I am not usually up this late! thks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 The UKIE has a LP just south of New Orleans at the end. Barely grazing Tennessee at that hour but I don't mind at all where it's at at the end. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 21 minutes ago, Neals said: Is this for Sunday night? The ICON has snow along the Ky and VA border areas Sunday. It has a beautiful slider by next Friday. Sorry for the confusion. I should have added more info to the post. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Matthew70 Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 The HOT sign is back on! Kinda like the Krispy Kreme sign when the donuts are fresh! The HOT sign stands for the snow is coming in HOT! 2 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 10 minutes ago, Matthew70 said: The HOT sign is back on! Kinda like the Krispy Kreme sign when the donuts are fresh! The HOT sign stands for the snow is coming in HOT! I'm bout to go to sleep. Ya'll get the Euro on board! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daniel Boone Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 6 minutes ago, Carvers Gap said: I'm bout to go to sleep. Ya'll get the Euro on board! Same here. Good night all . 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Runman292 Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Is it a proper time to start up a thread for Sunday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Reb Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 1 minute ago, Runman292 said: Is it a proper time to start up a thread for Sunday? Shhhhh that being said…0z euro is a bomb 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Matthew70 Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Welllllllll. Let’s reel this one in & keep the HOT sing on! The barking just got louder. 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wurbus Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Waking up to 0z Euro finally getting on board and a beautiful 6z GFS run! 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kasper Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 38 minutes ago, Wurbus said: Waking up to 0z Euro finally getting on board and a beautiful 6z GFS run! Indeed it is! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Holston_River_Rambler Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 6z Euro also looks like it is bringing the whole shaboozle out of the SW: Also, a big thank you to Runman for starting a thread for the ice potential tomorrow! 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Gfs has more of a neutral tilted trough that is brutal with WAA,Euro is more positive much less WAA right now,least we have a chance ,the next storm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Dont wanna see that neutral tilt,bringing in the LLJ unlike the Euro shows right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawnEastTN Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Gfs has more of a neutral tilted trough that is brutal with WAA,Euro is more positive much less WAA right now,least we have a chance ,the next stormYeah 12z GFS is brutal for most of the forum area, warmth everywhere, might as well be tropical rain event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Holston_River_Rambler Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Interesting new development though on the 12z GFS: a shortwave dives into the bigger upper low kicking out and tries to throw some more moisture back over the cold. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daniel Boone Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 2 minutes ago, Holston_River_Rambler said: Interesting new development though on the 12z GFS: a shortwave dives into the bigger upper low kicking out and tries to throw some more moisture back over the cold. Yeah, it'll probably pop a Chicago to Detroit Blizzard as it ramps SE Ridging . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Holston_River_Rambler Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 IDK that time it tried to produce for us that run: we do change over to rain with the initial precip, by by hour 174 with that shortwave rolling in precip builds back into E TN and SW VA 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawnEastTN Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 I believe until storm #1 lays it's snow pack & exits, and that resulting cold air is in place and sampled over the region to our north we are going to see a lot of wiggles in models. We usually are helped with snowpack to our immediate north but models don't seem to do well until that snowpack is in place and ground station data is ingested. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Holston_River_Rambler Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Either way on to the Euro. Will it kick out the ULL this time? Will it retrograde it to Hawaii? Will a great elk ride from the north with banners of snow and trumpets of ice? Will a metal snowman rampage across TN? What will the wooly worms say to these developments should they bear fruit? 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawnEastTN Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Either way on to the Euro. Will it kick out the ULL this time? Will it retrograde it to Hawaii? Will a great elk ride from the north with banners of snow and trumpets of ice? Will a metal snowman rampage across TN? What will the wooly worms say to these developments should they bear fruit? I read this with the voice of the narrator/announcer of the old TV show "Soap". That ages me a bit, but not quite as old as that just remember it from syndication years later. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Holston_River_Rambler Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 GEFS: Not much support for the warmer solution, dry and suppressed seems more of a concern wrt this run. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 11 minutes ago, ShawnEastTN said: I believe until storm #1 lays it's snow pack & exits, and that resulting cold air is in place and sampled over the region to our north we are going to see a lot of wiggles in models. We usually are helped with snowpack to our immediate north but models don't seem to do well until that snowpack is in place and ground station data is ingested. What about ice pack? lol 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Darts with a blindfold at this point it seems. Solutions from super suppressed to WAA screamer are on the table. It kinda just lost it's punch on the GFS. The Euro did that last night at 0z as well. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Reb Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 15 minutes ago, tnweathernut said: What about ice pack? lol Sun angle on the ice pack will shoot temps up into the upper atmosphere resulting in WAA into the great Tennessee valley…? 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawnEastTN Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 1 minute ago, Reb said: Sun angle on the ice pack will shoot temps up into the upper atmosphere resulting in WAA into the great Tennessee valley…? This feels pulled right out of an MRX discussion. Lol 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Holston_River_Rambler Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Looks like the ULL is kicking out eastward a bit quicker vs 6z on the Euro. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Holston_River_Rambler Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Euro is cutting the first blob of precip, but not quite as dramatically as the GFS . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Holston_River_Rambler Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Here is the snow footprint for those who want it: some icing south of I-40 too 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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