matt9697 Posted Friday at 09:43 PM Share Posted Friday at 09:43 PM 11 minutes ago, ladyjmayo said: I think MRX is going to hold off until morning so they have a better idea of what areas will be impacted. Nashville will probably do the same then 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted Friday at 09:47 PM Share Posted Friday at 09:47 PM MIght be the most bizarre weather advisory map I have ever seen. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1234snow Posted Friday at 09:52 PM Share Posted Friday at 09:52 PM MIght be the most bizarre weather advisory map I have ever seen. That’s a first. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
matt9697 Posted Friday at 09:54 PM Share Posted Friday at 09:54 PM 6 minutes ago, Carvers Gap said: MIght be the most bizarre weather advisory map I have ever seen. Yea, same thing here in Nashville; local TV met just said that they would likely issue a product over night, too bad I guess if you needed to plan ahead or anything lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted Friday at 10:01 PM Share Posted Friday at 10:01 PM 1 minute ago, matt9697 said: Yea, same thing here in Nashville; local TV met just said that they would likely issue a product over night, too bad I guess if you needed to plan ahead or anything lol No real criticisms other than that is just so odd looking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
matt9697 Posted Friday at 10:03 PM Share Posted Friday at 10:03 PM 1 minute ago, Carvers Gap said: No real criticisms other than that is just so odd looking. I am making a criticism, just tagged on to your post, I apologize. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wurbus Posted Friday at 10:20 PM Share Posted Friday at 10:20 PM Just missed the phase on this run and energy is being held back in the SW on the system around the 10th 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted Friday at 11:38 PM Share Posted Friday at 11:38 PM The 18z Euro was possibly going to make a run for glory. Tough winter for the models so far. They are are struggling and all over the place. 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wurbus Posted Saturday at 02:07 AM Share Posted Saturday at 02:07 AM Someone in the Southeast forum posted the 3-4 week Outlook from the NWS and I thought it would be relevant to post here as well. 8 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daniel Boone Posted Saturday at 02:31 AM Share Posted Saturday at 02:31 AM 22 minutes ago, Wurbus said: Someone in the Southeast forum posted the 3-4 week Outlook from the NWS and I thought it would be relevant to post here as well. That's a blocking signature irt Temp outlook and probably the Precip to a large degree as well. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawnEastTN Posted Saturday at 03:07 AM Share Posted Saturday at 03:07 AM NWS Morristown social media:I'm always unsettled in these situations because I can recall so many times freezing rain began before sunrise and warm air advection forecast to erode lower levels where I live in the valley near the eastern escarpment of the plateau and it ends up never eroding the lower levels and is an ice storm start to finish. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted Saturday at 03:13 AM Share Posted Saturday at 03:13 AM The red is pretty much over me. I will note that they seem to be looking at it a bit oddly imo, as they are forecasting the highest elevations as the most likely ice spots when it generally is just the opposite. Cold gets trapped in lower bowls and elevations, especially above 2500 feet or so, are way warmer from the WAA. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawnEastTN Posted Saturday at 03:15 AM Share Posted Saturday at 03:15 AM The red is pretty much over me. I will note that they seem to be looking at it a bit oddly imo, as they are forecasting the highest elevations as the most likely ice spots when it generally is just the opposite. Cold gets trapped in lower bowls and elevations, especially above 2500 feet or so, are way warmer from the WAA. Yeah I noticed that in their graphic that it looks like the high spots are highlighted and it's the opposite in these situations. It's weird like the high terrain that 75 follows is red, but Elk Valley below is orange that doesn't make a lot of sense. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted Saturday at 03:29 AM Share Posted Saturday at 03:29 AM Probably wrong but the ICON drops heavy snow along the border counties with the current weekend event. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted Saturday at 03:42 AM Share Posted Saturday at 03:42 AM Beautiful slider on the ICON. Nice 3 to 5 inch snowfall for most of our region. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daniel Boone Posted Saturday at 03:51 AM Share Posted Saturday at 03:51 AM 22 minutes ago, John1122 said: Probably wrong but the ICON drops heavy snow along the border counties with the current weekend event. The 18z Euro had 4-6 10:1 ratio. Possible heavy front end Thump. Dec. 5, 02 comes to mind although no ice involved. We picked up 5 inches before changing to rain from a LP in Western Ky that slid East and transferred to Coast. It dumped all Snow from an east west line Jackson Kentucky Northward and across Northern and central VA. You may remember that one. Think tn line South had predominantly rain. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted Saturday at 04:16 AM Share Posted Saturday at 04:16 AM 23 minutes ago, Daniel Boone said: The 18z Euro had 4-6 10:1 ratio. Possible heavy front end Thump. Dec. 5, 02 comes to mind although no ice involved. We picked up 5 inches before changing to rain from a LP in Western Ky that slid East and transferred to Coast. It dumped all Snow from an east west line Jackson Kentucky Northward and across Northern and central VA. You may remember that one. Think tn line South had predominantly rain. Also had 5 inches from that one, then the 850s warmed and we got 1.5 inches of cold rain. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daniel Boone Posted Saturday at 04:21 AM Share Posted Saturday at 04:21 AM 1 minute ago, John1122 said: Also had 5 inches from that one, then the 850s warmed and we got 1.5 inches of cold rain. I couldn't remember anything about that area. I do remember Bristol getting 5 as well and Johnson City getting just Rain.. We wound up with a soaking after changing over as well. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted Saturday at 04:24 AM Share Posted Saturday at 04:24 AM Game on, folks. The 0z Icon has it. The 0z GFS has it. Boom. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted Saturday at 04:25 AM Share Posted Saturday at 04:25 AM The 0z GFS says, "It's Miller time." 4 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TellicoWx Posted Saturday at 04:26 AM Share Posted Saturday at 04:26 AM GFS spitting out a heavy hitter 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TellicoWx Posted Saturday at 04:27 AM Share Posted Saturday at 04:27 AM 1 minute ago, Carvers Gap said: The 0z GFS says, "It's Miller time." Check please lol...I would be more than happy with this winter after that. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted Saturday at 04:28 AM Share Posted Saturday at 04:28 AM Waiting to see if the CMC can gain some latitude. It is cooking something up in the GOM. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted Saturday at 04:30 AM Share Posted Saturday at 04:30 AM 7 minutes ago, Daniel Boone said: I couldn't remember anything about that area. I do remember Bristol getting 5 as well and Johnson City getting just Rain.. We wound up with a soaking after changing over as well. I'm not sure what drove it, as far as the rain snow line. I assume purely a SW to NE line. Tazewell got an inch, but the Newcomb station a few miles from me as the crow flies, but under 1000 feet elevation, just about the lowest spot in Campbell not underwater, also got 5 inches. So it wasn't elevation driven. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted Saturday at 04:32 AM Share Posted Saturday at 04:32 AM While a big snow is rare here. Winter storms in Florida, the Canadian solution, is even more rare. So I have to assume it's wrong. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neals Posted Saturday at 04:34 AM Share Posted Saturday at 04:34 AM Is this for Sunday night? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted Saturday at 04:36 AM Share Posted Saturday at 04:36 AM CMC with ice in the Panhandle....that has been wrong every, single time this year. At 500, the energy gets sheared into about a 3,000 mile ribbon about 200 miles wide. Now, I still think the trailer will cause some mischief as it hits that stalled streamer(no other word for it that I can think of). Gonna be like hitting a hot wire. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted Saturday at 04:36 AM Share Posted Saturday at 04:36 AM 1 minute ago, Neals said: Is this for Sunday night? Both. The Miller A talk and big storm talk is Jan 10. I think John and Boone are talking Sunday. Sorry, I just jumped in. I am not usually up this late! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted Saturday at 04:39 AM Share Posted Saturday at 04:39 AM I believe the 0z GFS is going to line another up after the 10th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted Saturday at 04:39 AM Share Posted Saturday at 04:39 AM BTW, the 18z EURO AIFS has some semblance of the same 0z GFS system for the 10th. They aren't too far apart. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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