January 2025

[MJO812]

Just now, SnoSki14 said:

It's good for DC and southern regions

We need the blocking to ease. 

[donsutherland1]

1 minute ago, North and West said:

What does that mean to a non-weather person?


.

The map shows where the current air mass originated. It originated in Canada's Northwest Territories. The lack of cross-polar flow has limited the magnitude of the cold. It's now colder than normal but really not exceptional. Cross-polar flow often leads to severe Arctic outbreaks in the CONUS.

[SnoSki14]

11 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

We need the blocking to ease. 

I still think the 11-12 system has potential and then probably before we change to warmer pattern. 

[MJO812]

AO rising

NAo rising

PNA dropping

 

Good signal for a big storm ?

[EastonSN+]

19 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said:

I still think the 11-12 system has potential and then probably before we change to warmer pattern. 

Also a warmer pattern does not mean no snow. We may end up with more snow in the warmer pattern than we get now.

[SI Mailman]

Just had some scattered flurries by the outer bridge crossing

[Allsnow]

[SACRUS]

 

33 / 10 off a low of 27 and a coating of snow on cars last night between 6 and 9 pm.  Cold the next 10 to 14 days or through the 20th (at least) with new re inforcing cold now showing up for the start of the closing 10 days of the month.  Precip remaining mainly south of the area on the current threats.  

 

[SACRUS]

 

Records:

Highs:

EWR: 68 (2000)
NYC: 66 (2023)
LGA: 66 (2023)
JFK: 62 (1950)


Lows:

EWR: 1 (1981)
NYC: -3 (1918)
LGA: 4 (1981)
JFK: 3 (2014)

Historical:

 

1641: According to historical records, Mount Parker, a stratovolcano on Mindanao Island in the Philippines, erupted on this day. The eruption caused the formation of a crater lake called Lake Maughan.

1888 - Sacramento, CA, received 3.5 inches of snow, an all-time record for that location. The heaviest snow in recent history was two inches on February 5th in 1976. (4th-5th) (The Weather Channel)

 

1917: A tornado with estimated F3 damage cut a 15-mile path and struck a school at Vireton in Pittsburg County, Oklahoma, killing 16 people. It ranks as the 4th worst school tornado disaster in U.S. history. You can read more about this tornado from the Sweetwater Daily Reporter in Sweetwater, Texas, published on January 10, 1917

1971 - A blizzard raged from Kansas to Wisconsin, claiming 27 lives in Iowa. Winds reached 50 mph, and the storm produced up to 20 inches of snow. (David Ludlum)

1982 - Milwaukee, WI, was shut down completely as a storm buried the city under 16 inches of snow in 24 hours. It was the worst storm in thirty-five years. (David Ludlum)

1987 - A storm moving off the Pacific Ocean spread wintery weather across the southwestern U.S., with heavy snow extending from southern California to western Wyoming. Up to 15 inches of snow blanketed the mountains of southern California, and rainfall totals in California ranged up to 2.20 inches in the Chino area. (National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1988 - Frigid arctic air invading the central and eastern U.S. left Florida about the only safe refuge from the cold and snow. A storm in the western U.S. soaked Bodega Bay in central California with 3.12 inches of rain. (National Weather Summary)

1989 - Up to a foot of snow blanketed the mountains of West Virginia, and strong winds in the northeastern U.S. produced wind chill readings as cold as 60 degrees below zero in Maine. Mount Washington NH reported wind gusts to 136 mph along with a temperature of 30 below zero! (National Weather Summary)

1990 - A winter storm moving out of the southwestern U.S. spread heavy snow across Nebraska and Iowa into Wisconsin. Snowfall totals in Nebraska ranged up to 7 inches at Auburn and Tecumseh. Totals in Iowa ranged up to 11 inches at Carlisle. In Iowa, most of the snow fell between midnight and 4 AM. (National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1994 - A major winter storm blanketed much of the northeastern U.S. with heavy snow. More than two feet was reported in northwestern Pennsylvania, with 33 inches at Waynesburg. There were ten heart attacks, and 185 injuries, related to the heavy snow in northwest Pennsylvania. Whiteout conditions were reported in Vermont and northeastern New York State. A wind gusts to 75 mph was clocked at Shaftsbury VT. In the Adirondacks of eastern New York State, the town of Tupper reported five inches of snow between 1 PM and 2 PM. (National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

 

2018: NOAA's GOES-East satellite caught a dramatic view of the Bombogenesis 'Bomb Cyclone' moving up the East Coast on the morning of January 4, 2018. The powerful nor'easter is battering coastal areas with heavy snow and strong winds, from Florida to Maine. Notice the long line of clouds stretching over a thousand miles south of the storm. The storm is drawing moisture all the way from deep in the Caribbean.

 

 

[bluewave]

2 hours ago, MJO812 said:

This is a great pattern. We just got bad luck.

The continuing overpowering Northern Stream of the Pacific Jet doesn’t have anything to do with luck as it’s a function of the pattern we have been in for years.

[SACRUS]

 

NYC:

Jan 4 1988:  5.8 inches of snow falls overnight (4.01 which falls on the 4th).

[jm1220]

1 hour ago, MJO812 said:

We need the blocking to ease. 

Blocking when it’s this strong can suppress everything. There’s bad timing with this PV lobe but strong blocking makes this bad luck more likely. DC needs a setup like this not us. 

[psv88]

The models shift north yet?

[SACRUS]

 

Jan 4 2018 noreaster (Blizzard)

 

 

NYC: 9.8 inches with 10 straight days sub freezing
EWR: 8.4 inches
 

 

[jm1220]

23 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

I’ll just have to laugh if Dallas to Austin go well ahead of Central Park for snow by 1/15. In W TX it’s not so rare especially in the panhandle. 

[psv88]

5 minutes ago, SACRUS said:

 

Jan 4 2018 noreaster (Blizzard)

 

 

NYC: 9.8 inches with 10 straight days sub freezing
EWR: 8.4 inches
 

 

Great storm. Haven’t had one of these in 3 years out here. We are due!

[SACRUS]

Just now, psv88 said:

Great storm. Haven’t had one of these in 3 years out here. We are due!

More on the storm

 

http://www.weather.gov/images/okx/Blizzard_Jan42018/localsnowobsmap.png

https://www.weather.gov/okx/Blizzard_Jan42018

[EastonSN+]

10 minutes ago, bluewave said:

The continuing overpowering Northern Stream of the Pacific Jet doesn’t have anything to do with luck as it’s a function of the pattern we have been in for years.

Very true. That being said if the blocking was a little weaker we could have seen a good 6 to 12 from this event.

[SnoSki14]

13 minutes ago, bluewave said:

The continuing overpowering Northern Stream of the Pacific Jet doesn’t have anything to do with luck as it’s a function of the pattern we have been in for years.

Tell that to the NE forum crowd

[Allsnow]

Gfs looks interesting for next weekend 

[EastonSN+]

6 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said:

Tell that to the NE forum crowd

It's not that they do not see what is going on it is more a discussion as to whether or not it will continue or abate.

[weatherpruf]

10 minutes ago, psv88 said:

Great storm. Haven’t had one of these in 3 years out here. We are due!

Wasn't much here in this part of NJ; west of Newark the bands hit a brick wall. 

[bluewave]

7 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said:

Very true. That being said if the blocking was a little weaker we could have seen a good 6 to 12 from this event.

I think if the blocking was weaker with fewer shortwaves than we could have seen a cutter like the models had last weekend. The issue with this event was too many shortwaves in the fast flow with poor wave spacing. If we had a strong to record STJ like last February, then this -AO wouldn’t have been an issue. 

[Allsnow]

6 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

Gfs looks interesting for next weekend 

Phasing the northern stream 

[Allsnow]

1 minute ago, bluewave said:

I think if the blocking was weaker with fewer shortwaves than we could have seen a cutter like the models had last weekend. The issue with this event was too many shortwaves in the fast flow with poor wave spacing. If we had a strong to record STJ like last February, then this -AO wouldn’t have been an issue. 

We really needed the southeast ridge here which didn’t show up 

[yoda]

1 minute ago, Allsnow said:

Phasing the northern stream 

geez 183 for you guys

[MJO812]

1 minute ago, yoda said:

geez 183 for you guys

Huge storm

[Allsnow]

1 minute ago, Allsnow said:

We really needed the southeast ridge here which didn’t show up 

 

3 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

Phasing the northern stream 

 

[LibertyBell]

1 hour ago, EastonSN+ said:

Also a warmer pattern does not mean no snow. We may end up with more snow in the warmer pattern than we get now.

You'll do better but this area will likely be screwed.

This is a thread the needle pattern.

 

[LibertyBell]

33 minutes ago, SACRUS said:

 

Records:

Highs:

EWR: 68 (2000)
NYC: 66 (2023)
LGA: 66 (2023)
JFK: 62 (1950)


Lows:

EWR: 1 (1981)
NYC: -3 (1918)
LGA: 4 (1981)
JFK: 3 (2014)

Historical:

 

1641: According to historical records, Mount Parker, a stratovolcano on Mindanao Island in the Philippines, erupted on this day. The eruption caused the formation of a crater lake called Lake Maughan.

1888 - Sacramento, CA, received 3.5 inches of snow, an all-time record for that location. The heaviest snow in recent history was two inches on February 5th in 1976. (4th-5th) (The Weather Channel)

 

1917: A tornado with estimated F3 damage cut a 15-mile path and struck a school at Vireton in Pittsburg County, Oklahoma, killing 16 people. It ranks as the 4th worst school tornado disaster in U.S. history. You can read more about this tornado from the Sweetwater Daily Reporter in Sweetwater, Texas, published on January 10, 1917

1971 - A blizzard raged from Kansas to Wisconsin, claiming 27 lives in Iowa. Winds reached 50 mph, and the storm produced up to 20 inches of snow. (David Ludlum)

1982 - Milwaukee, WI, was shut down completely as a storm buried the city under 16 inches of snow in 24 hours. It was the worst storm in thirty-five years. (David Ludlum)

1987 - A storm moving off the Pacific Ocean spread wintery weather across the southwestern U.S., with heavy snow extending from southern California to western Wyoming. Up to 15 inches of snow blanketed the mountains of southern California, and rainfall totals in California ranged up to 2.20 inches in the Chino area. (National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1988 - Frigid arctic air invading the central and eastern U.S. left Florida about the only safe refuge from the cold and snow. A storm in the western U.S. soaked Bodega Bay in central California with 3.12 inches of rain. (National Weather Summary)

1989 - Up to a foot of snow blanketed the mountains of West Virginia, and strong winds in the northeastern U.S. produced wind chill readings as cold as 60 degrees below zero in Maine. Mount Washington NH reported wind gusts to 136 mph along with a temperature of 30 below zero! (National Weather Summary)

1990 - A winter storm moving out of the southwestern U.S. spread heavy snow across Nebraska and Iowa into Wisconsin. Snowfall totals in Nebraska ranged up to 7 inches at Auburn and Tecumseh. Totals in Iowa ranged up to 11 inches at Carlisle. In Iowa, most of the snow fell between midnight and 4 AM. (National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1994 - A major winter storm blanketed much of the northeastern U.S. with heavy snow. More than two feet was reported in northwestern Pennsylvania, with 33 inches at Waynesburg. There were ten heart attacks, and 185 injuries, related to the heavy snow in northwest Pennsylvania. Whiteout conditions were reported in Vermont and northeastern New York State. A wind gusts to 75 mph was clocked at Shaftsbury VT. In the Adirondacks of eastern New York State, the town of Tupper reported five inches of snow between 1 PM and 2 PM. (National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

 

2018: NOAA's GOES-East satellite caught a dramatic view of the Bombogenesis 'Bomb Cyclone' moving up the East Coast on the morning of January 4, 2018. The powerful nor'easter is battering coastal areas with heavy snow and strong winds, from Florida to Maine. Notice the long line of clouds stretching over a thousand miles south of the storm. The storm is drawing moisture all the way from deep in the Caribbean.

 

 

2018: NOAA's GOES-East satellite caught a dramatic view of the Bombogenesis 'Bomb Cyclone' moving up the East Coast on the morning of January 4, 2018. The powerful nor'easter is battering coastal areas with heavy snow and strong winds, from Florida to Maine. Notice the long line of clouds stretching over a thousand miles south of the storm. The storm is drawing moisture all the way from deep in the Caribbean.

 

wild, this was the all day blizzard with 6 hours of whiteout conditions!! 16 inches of snow here