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3 minutes ago, bluewave said:

The trees are tall enough now close in to the sensors that the site can even get shade during the afternoon without any leaves on the trees. 

This could have actually happened in the past too thinking about it. How many times have they changed the measurement in and out of shade over the past 100 plus years. 

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17 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

Yeah I don’t see the torch Bluewave is seeing this month. 

EPO going negative again after a brief +EPO-if that happens I think we stay on the colder side of things-not mention the colder side has won out.   

On a side note-ponds and lakes completely frozen-saw alot of people skating and playing ice hockey....nice to see for a change!

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Just now, Brian5671 said:

EPO going negative again after a brief +EPO-if that happens I think we stay on the colder side of things-not mention the colder side has won out.   

On a side note-ponds and lakes completely frozen-saw alot of people skating and playing ice hockey....nice to see for a change!

Yup, lots of ice everywhere. 

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Just now, Allsnow said:

4 fell in the park that February and some of that was from the slop storm To start the month 

That's still three accumulating snowfalls following the start of February. I think getting Central Park another four to seven inches over three events is still winter. 

Winter ending would be something along the lines of 2001 2002 or 2011-2012 where Winter really did end.

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Just now, Allsnow said:

Brutal…

 

NYC going to finish below 10 inches this season which will be the 3rd winter in a row. The 4+ streak will definitely go into next winter 

way too early to say that-a freak slop storm in late March could drop 5 inches...think back to 97-98 the record looked like a lock...

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1 minute ago, EastonSN+ said:

That's still three accumulating snowfalls following the start of February. I think getting Central Park another four to seven inches over three events is still winter. 

Winter ending would be something along the lines of 2001 2002 or 2011-2012 where Winter really did end.

Nuisances events that didn’t stick to the pavement 

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Just now, Allsnow said:

Nuisances events that didn’t stick to the pavement 

I guess it's just a matter of perception per person then. 

To me three accumulating snowfall events two in February and one in March for Central Park in the surrounding area is still winter. 

Winter ending, to me, is no more snow. If I could lock in three more snow events this winter, two in February and one in March were Central Park records snow in all three I would take it in a heartbeat.

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4 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

way too early to say that-a freak slop storm in late March could drop 5 inches...think back to 97-98 the record looked like a lock...

100% agree. We even had April snow back in 2018 and a couple of good snow events in 2019 in March. Again March snowfall switches depending on the decade, where the 90s saw a lot of March now, the 2000s saw almost no March snow and a 2010s having a lot of March snow. 

We are back in a low snowfall decade for March. That being said it could still happen.

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30 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

Yeah I don’t see the torch Bluewave is seeing this month. 

I never use the term torch when describing monthly temperature departures. My guess is that the February departure will be warmer than average across the 7 station average. Pretty typical for a Southeast Ridge pattern during February in a La Niña year. It’s a bit early for an exact warm departure number.

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1 minute ago, EastonSN+ said:

100% agree. We even had April snow back in 2018 and a couple of good snow events in 2019 in March. Again March snowfall switches depending on the decade, where the 90s saw a lot of March now, the 2000s saw almost no March snow and a 2010s having a lot of March snow. 

We are back in a low snowfall decade for March. That being said it could still happen.

I'll also take my chances with a SE ridge and warmer temps in Feb-better changes for the baroclinic zone to be further north/more storm chances

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1 minute ago, Brian5671 said:

I'll also take my chances with a SE ridge and warmer temps in Feb-better changes for the baroclinic zone to be further north/more storm chances

Completely agree. Also as Don mentioned the RNA is less of a factor starting mid-February which is just over 2 weeks away. 

Never understood the concept of winter ending on February 1st in a La Nina. It's just a Southeast ridge which all depends on the strength in is driven by how deep the RNA is. We do not know the specifics yet.

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2 minutes ago, bluewave said:

Yeah, the warmer flow from Eastern Canada crossing the Great Lakes kept the Northeast much warmer than areas to our south.
 

IMG_2883.png.47d637326c353582713432103293dd60.png

 

That area  and back west into Midwest and plains will also see the larger warmth departures (turn around) through the first week.

 

test8.gif

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11 minutes ago, SACRUS said:

That area  and back west into Midwest and plains will also see the larger warmth departures (turn around) through the first week.

 

test8.gif

It’s an accomplishment these days getting two colder winter months in a row even if the slightly colder December was a result of the much warmer averages. This December would have been warmer than average using 81-10 normals. The last time all of our climate sites had 3 consecutive colder winter months was way back in 02-03. During 09-10 some stations had a warmer January. 

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20 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

That was a nice storm. I was in HS at the time and remember driving sleet in Long Beach that changed to heavy snow. I think Dix Hills had 14”. 03-04 was a great winter, frigid cold and 40”+ snow. 

14" here too.  That's the one of of the few major storms where I'm pretty sure we were in the jackpot. 

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