January 2025

[cannoliman42]

21 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

The drunken snowball fights in the French Quarter tonight will be epic. 

They've already started: 

 

[LibertyBell]

44 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

NO is going to get over 10 

 

 

8 inches now!!

 

https://x.com/DylanFedericoWX/status/1881810505725317518

[LibertyBell]

17 minutes ago, bluewave said:

But you knew it wouldn’t take long for the inevitable sun angle posts.

 

Is this more rare than the April 1982  Blizzard? Can't talk about sun angle, that snow stuck around for an entire week and we had another snow event a week later.

[Stormlover74]

14 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

Is this more rare than the April 1982  Blizzard? Can't talk about sun angle, that snow stuck around for an entire week and we had another snow event a week later.

It's probably akin to us having a blizzard on October 15th 

[BxEngine]

We wont come anywhere near last nights lows if we dont clear out this cloud deck. 

[LibertyBell]

9 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

It's probably akin to us having a blizzard on October 15th 

or May I guess.

We had snowtober but that wasn't a blizzard, though NYC did have a Winter Storm Warning, I never thought I'd see that in October lol.

[EastonSN+]

The all time Florida snowfall record has been broken.

[LibertyBell]

3 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said:

The all time Florida snowfall record has been broken.

I wonder where in Florida?

How come no snowfall in Jacksonville?

[doncat]

It continues to be cold and we've had some snow but still it's been a dry month which looks to continue... Just 0.46" here this month with nothing really promising on the horizon. We're about 10" below normal now since Sept.

[Brian5671]

12 minutes ago, BxEngine said:

We wont come anywhere near last nights lows if we dont clear out this cloud deck. 

supposed to clear around midnight-I'm at 17 right now so would only take a few hrs of clearing to get back down to 4 degrees like last night.

[lee59]

Would not be surprised if the Hudson River from  around Newburgh north will have ice breakers to make a path for the ships to go from Albany to NYC and back

[lee59]

15 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

I wonder where in Florida?

How come no snowfall in Jacksonville?

The Panhandle expecting up to 5 inches

[donsutherland1]

Just now, lee59 said:

The Panhandle expecting up to 5 inches

Unofficially, parts of the Panhandle are already there.

[Roger Smith]

After the 1899 snowfall in n FL, TLH dropped to -2 F (IIRC) and ice floes were also observed exiting the Mississippi delta into the Gulf of Eskimo. 

[Allsnow]

11 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said:

Unofficially, parts of the Panhandle are already there.

 

[Allsnow]

1989 about to go down 

 

 

[mgerb]

8 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

Hope he's not basing a "broken record" on his own measurement in a pile/drift of snow (like, what? and it doesn't quite reach 10"!). Not sure what the airport is up to though (last saw 6" but that was a while ago, so bet it's at least close to or beaten the record). 

[EastonSN+]

19 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said:

Unofficially, parts of the Panhandle are already there.

Heard unofficial report over 5.5 (TV).

[MJO812]

10 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

 

Wow insane

[Allsnow]

3 hours ago, EastonSN+ said:

Goes to show that higher temps do not have to lead to lower snowfall (total accumulation not # of events).

Also helps to have the winds pushing offshore.

Temps along the gulf coast are in the mid 20’s which is a lot colder then back in the 1895 storm. 
 

 

[donsutherland1]

4 minutes ago, mgerb said:

Hope he's not basing a "broken record" on his own measurement in a pile/drift of snow (like, what? and it doesn't quite reach 10"!). Not sure what the airport is up to though (last saw 6" but that was a while ago, so bet it's at least close to or beaten the record). 

NWS reported 4.0" at the Airport. It hasn't commented yet on higher snowfall figures in and around the New Orleans area.

[Allsnow]

4 minutes ago, mgerb said:

Hope he's not basing a "broken record" on his own measurement in a pile/drift of snow (like, what? and it doesn't quite reach 10"!). Not sure what the airport is up to though (last saw 6" but that was a while ago, so bet it's at least close to or beaten the record). 

 

[Jt17]

NWS reported 4.0" at the Airport. It hasn't commented yet on higher snowfall figures in and around the New Orleans area.

Looking at the radar pretty sure they're going to report over a foot by the end.


.

[JetsPens87]

1 hour ago, LibertyBell said:

8 inches now!!

 

https://x.com/DylanFedericoWX/status/1881810505725317518

What's the airport at officially though

[NorthShoreWx]

NEW ORLEANS REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
400 PM CST TUE JAN 21 2025

LAZ038-048-061-063-065>067-069-076-077-212300-
SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA

CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
N.O. INTL ARPT HVY SNOW  27  26  96 N20G31    30.51S VSB 1/8 WCI  13

[donsutherland1]

This morning, Newark had a low temperature of 7°. That was its first single-digit low temperature since February 4, 2023 when the mercury dipped to 5°.

Very cold weather will prevail through Thursday. Temperatures could still fall into the single digits for lows in New York City and Philadelphia. The last single-digit lows were as follows:

Baltimore: December 24, 2022 (6°)
Boston: February 4, 2023 (-10°)
New York City: February 4, 2023 (3°)
Newark: January 21, 2025 (7°)
Philadelphia: December 24, 2022 (7°)
Washington, DC: December 24, 2022 (9°)

A historic Gulf Coast snowstorm is underway. That storm will track well south and east of the region from tonight and tomorrow. Extreme southeast New Jersey and the Twin Forks of Long Island could see some flurries or perhaps some light snow.

Already, Mobile (6.2") and Pensacola (5.0") have seen their biggest snowfall on record. Tallahassee could see its first snowfall since January 3, 2018 when 0.1" fell. The last storm that brought measurable snowfall to both New Orleans and Tallahassee occurred on February 9-10, 1973. The only storm to bring measurable snowfall to Houston, New Orleans, Gulfport, Mobile, Pensacola, and Tallahassee as is likely, was the legendary February 13-15, 1895 snowstorm.

The AO has now gone positive. It is expected to remain predominantly positive into at least the first week of February. As a result, prospects for a 6" or above snowstorm will be limited. Since 1950, just 2 of 19 (11%) of storms with an AO of +2.000 or above during January 15-February 15 saw 6" or more of snow in New York City. Opportunities for a 6" or above snowstorm would likely persist for parts of southern New England, including Boston, through January.   

Moderation is likely during the opening of February.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -0.1°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.6°C for the week centered around January 15. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.07°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.75°C. La Niña conditions are underway and will likely persist into the start of spring.

The SOI was +22.85 today.

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.423 today.

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 99% probability that New York City will have a colder than normal January (1991-2020 normal). January will likely finish with a mean temperature near 29.4° (4.5° below normal).

 

[Allsnow]

 

[cannoliman42]

15 minutes ago, mgerb said:

Hope he's not basing a "broken record" on his own measurement in a pile/drift of snow (like, what? and it doesn't quite reach 10"!). Not sure what the airport is up to though (last saw 6" but that was a while ago, so bet it's at least close to or beaten the record). 

10" isn't too far fetched. I think both the HRRR and 3k NAM this morning had near 10" for New Orleans.

[NEG NAO]

5 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said:

This morning, Newark had a low temperature of 7°. That was its first single-digit low temperature since February 4, 2023 when the mercury dipped to 5°.

Very cold weather will prevail through Thursday. Temperatures could still fall into the single digits for lows in New York City and Philadelphia. The last single-digit lows were as follows:

Baltimore: December 24, 2022 (6°)
Boston: February 4, 2023 (-10°)
New York City: February 4, 2023 (3°)
Newark: January 21, 2025 (7°)
Philadelphia: December 24, 2022 (7°)
Washington, DC: December 24, 2022 (9°)

A historic Gulf Coast snowstorm is underway. That storm will track well south and east of the region from tonight and tomorrow. Extreme southeast New Jersey and the Twin Forks of Long Island could see some flurries or perhaps some light snow.

Already, Mobile (6.2") and Pensacola (5.0") have seen their biggest snowfall on record. Tallahassee could see its first snowfall since January 3, 2018 when 0.1" fell. The last storm that brought measurable snowfall to both New Orleans and Tallahassee occurred on February 9-10, 1973. The only storm to bring measurable snowfall to Houston, New Orleans, Gulfport, Mobile, Pensacola, and Tallahassee as is likely, was the legendary February 13-15, 1895 snowstorm.

The AO has now gone positive. It is expected to remain predominantly positive into at least the first week of February. As a result, prospects for a 6" or above snowstorm will be limited. Since 1950, just 2 of 19 (11%) of storms with an AO of +2.000 or above during January 15-February 15 saw 6" or more of snow in New York City. Opportunities for a 6" or above snowstorm would likely persist for parts of southern New England, including Boston, through January.   

Moderation is likely during the opening of February.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -0.1°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.6°C for the week centered around January 15. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.07°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.75°C. La Niña conditions are underway and will likely persist into the start of spring.

The SOI was +22.85 today.

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.423 today.

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 99% probability that New York City will have a colder than normal January (1991-2020 normal). January will likely finish with a mean temperature near 29.4° (4.5° below normal).

 

Much below normal precip and drought conditions also is a reason for lack of snow around here.......with dry conditions into early FEB

[NorthShoreWx]

Earthcam camera shows weenies on Bourbon Street looking at radar and convincing themselves it is back building.