TSSN+ Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said: 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 @Terpeast @MillvilleWx Question - 12z CMC shows sleet nearby. However, checking the column/soundings, only the 750mb to around 800mb level (maybe 825mb) goes above 0c. EZF at 120 has it around 1C. Is that enough to wreck snow accumulation? The warm zone is so small that I don't think it would make a big deal? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Thinking those snowfall maps are generous on the south side of that band, but the CMC always been close to mixing along I-66 the past several runs. It hasn't really changed except moving the storm along faster. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rjvanals Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Let’s see if the GFS can get us something on the 10th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shad Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 1 minute ago, rjvanals said: Let’s see if the GFS can get us something on the 10th 10th has my attention......improvement from the 6z run for sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Just now, rjvanals said: Let’s see if the GFS can get us something on the 10th I think the 10th has a better shot to be the event S/SE snow weenies have been dreaming of for years. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Let’s see if the GFS can get us something on the 10th Trough looks a little too far east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shad Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 GFS is a monster snowstorm for Alabama, Georgia, SC Wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Just now, 87storms said: Trough looks a little too far east. with that monster trough off the east coast, we'll need it there to pull it north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Just now, mitchnick said: with that monster trough off the east coast, we'll need it there to pull it north It’s really close! The potential is definitely there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shad Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 into NC at 222....SC getting destroyed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 1 hour ago, yoda said: HP is a few mb stronger on the 12z ICON at 96 compared to the 06z run at 102 And I think this may allow some more south to show up. It’s big, strong, expansive area Mongol cold. It’s natural for suppression to show in forecasts. What I will be watching closely is baro 12 hours out. This is what PSU and I talked about how I kinda do things from ground up whereas you guys learned the more developed methods. Yet they both work and it was the terminology of our methods that sometimes created personal conflicts. I am hopeful for a great and exciting observation thread!!! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 1 minute ago, SomeguyfromTakomaPark said: It’s really close! The potential is definitely there. Yeah. The 9-12th has trended much better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 I like that all guidance is leaving the decaying boundary across our area after the initial WAA thump. Right now qpf is paltry but often that ends up being where the best accumulation is. 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Where do I sign for the Canadian? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shad Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 This storm was caught on the models several days and now its back in a bit of a different form.....a true slow crawling potential Miller A...... Blizzard for the Carolinas.....no way that doesnt trend North over time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Just now, Eskimo Joe said: Where do I sign for the Canadian? Head to Buffalo and make a left. 2 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 My lord.. HR 222 if that thing can turn and come up the coast what a bomb! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rjvanals Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 10-11th is close to be being real good for us and it’s good to see a storm is showing up at this long range Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 LFG! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 34 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Gun against my head, if I had to guess...I'd say it'll come a little north If this pans and roads are decent we gotta do a meet up. Ebbits doesn’t do the half price anymore and do any of you guys have a favored raw bar close to city but not necessarily in it? I can pick you up if needed and would be a pleasure ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 All big storms trend north. Is a big rule of thumb.. happens 90% of the time... especially when there still 100+ hours left lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 3 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Head to Buffalo and make a left. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 I like the 10-11th where it is now. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Not as strong as the 12z GFS, but CMC also has something cooking day 9 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 44 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Lol nah. I downgraded snow climo with no regrets. Living down here is too sweet to care. Just chillin on the deck waiting for the slopfest one of these days Smith mtn will get shellacked and i will be sure to remind you daily hahaha Can you give a run down on where you are now vs before and what prompted? Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Looking like one of the most active, cold snowy months we've had in here in a long time peeps. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 12z Ukie height lines are further north than 0z at 102hrs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Just now, mitchnick said: 12z Ukie height lines are further north than 0z at 102hrs. SLP is over NSH at 114 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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