bncho Posted Wednesday at 03:58 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 03:58 PM 1 minute ago, LP08 said: So far…gfs is a tick stronger in the plains and quicker. That's better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted Wednesday at 03:58 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 03:58 PM Gun against my head, if I had to guess...I'd say it'll come a little north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted Wednesday at 03:59 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 03:59 PM GFS looks SEXY. 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted Wednesday at 03:59 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 03:59 PM 1 minute ago, LP08 said: So far…gfs is a tick stronger in the plains and quicker. And earlier neg tilt, which could mean more moisture feed. Too early to tell 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted Wednesday at 03:59 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 03:59 PM Looks like DC/Balt will be the bullseye here. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted Wednesday at 03:59 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 03:59 PM Confluence lifting out sooner.....precip more SW to NE oriented so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted Wednesday at 04:00 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 04:00 PM Y’all let the damn model run before commenting lol 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted Wednesday at 04:00 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 04:00 PM Just now, Terpeast said: And earlier neg tilt, which could mean more moisture feed. Too early to tell Definitely. don’t hate it so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted Wednesday at 04:00 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 04:00 PM Just now, stormtracker said: Gun against my head, if I had to guess...I'd say it'll come a little north Southwest and low looks a little more powerful and the confluence is slightly further north (Connecticut vs New York City on 6z) at hour 105 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted Wednesday at 04:00 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 04:00 PM 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: Gun against my head, if I had to guess...I'd say it'll come a little north I can live with a tick north! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted Wednesday at 04:01 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 04:01 PM Just now, mappy said: Y’all let the damn model run before commenting lol I know right?? Lmaoo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted Wednesday at 04:01 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 04:01 PM Confluence is actually a bit stronger, but more east 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted Wednesday at 04:01 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 04:01 PM Maybe this is the GFS run where it gets its shit together. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted Wednesday at 04:02 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 04:02 PM Just now, Terpeast said: Confluence is actually a bit stronger, but more east Precip shield seems to be weakening on approach... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted Wednesday at 04:02 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 04:02 PM Crushed south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted Wednesday at 04:02 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 04:02 PM Snow at 114 in DC metro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted Wednesday at 04:03 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 04:03 PM Its also significantly faster than 6z with the storm in general Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted Wednesday at 04:03 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 04:03 PM Just now, bncho said: Maybe this is the GFS run where it gets its shit together. Hopefully Yoda can say DC crushed. Hopefully maybe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted Wednesday at 04:03 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 04:03 PM Well, looked promising early on, but it's getting smashed by the ull. So correction on my part Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted Wednesday at 04:03 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 04:03 PM 3 minutes ago, mappy said: Y’all let the damn model run before commenting lol I'm going back to bed lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted Wednesday at 04:04 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 04:04 PM Just now, stormtracker said: Well, looked promising early on, but it's getting smashed by the ull. So correction on my part I also would've guessed north... not a good run verbatim. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted Wednesday at 04:04 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 04:04 PM 2 minutes ago, bncho said: Maybe this is the GFS run where it gets its shit together. But you already said it was sexy? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted Wednesday at 04:04 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 04:04 PM Just now, stormtracker said: Well, looked promising early on, but it's getting smashed by the ull. So correction on my part Somehow it did the "looks good from the GFS" thing again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted Wednesday at 04:04 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 04:04 PM Shredded by the ULL in the NE as it spins down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted Wednesday at 04:04 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 04:04 PM Word to the wise: As we get closer to the storm time, please leave all opinion pieces and inexperienced meteorological breakdowns out of the thread, please. I could sit here and post like crazy, but I let the run finish. We have a good set of PBP guys here for these types of events. Let them post and then comment after everything is over. Sincerely, Your friendly neighborhood Meteorologist 18 4 1 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted Wednesday at 04:05 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 04:05 PM 6 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Hi Bob. Congrats! What's ur elevation and Smith mtn? Are there roads over it to weenie out in marginal events? Lol Our land ranges from 650-825. Top of smith is 2k. You can drive the entire length of the top on a 4wd trail. Not dangerous. Just need 4wd and good ground clearance. End of banter. Gfs looks good for u guys. Me nasomuch lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted Wednesday at 04:05 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 04:05 PM 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: I'm going back to bed lol Kinda wish half here would too tbh 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shad Posted Wednesday at 04:05 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 04:05 PM GFS is a mess. Next 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted Wednesday at 04:05 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 04:05 PM Just now, mappy said: But you already said it was sexy? Well maybe his idea of sexy is different then ours lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted Wednesday at 04:05 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 04:05 PM 1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said: I also would've guessed north... not a good run verbatim. lot of this for VA/NC border is ice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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