Ji Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 06z GFS still good, nudged south with the snow totals though and slightly drier 06z 00z Seems snowier for us 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Just now, Ji said: Seems snowier for us Yes for most of us it is... though those up by the MD/PA line lost some snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Icon looked ready to bury us 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruin Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 4 hours ago, winter_warlock said: The 14th?? Lol. We got time eh sadly I hope this doesnt change the cold to a pattern change where we lose the cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 1 Author Share Posted January 1 WB 6Z GFS. Snow breaks out SW to NE during Monday am. No mixing. Surface temps hover around freezing mid afternoon but fall back into the 20s by early evening. Nice moderate event! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Yes for most of us it is... though those up by the MD/PA line lost some snow Yes we don’t care about them lol 1 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 6z gfs beyond storm looks interesting. Does not bury sw like euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Just now, Ji said: 6z gfs beyond storm looks interesting. Does not bury sw like euro It's dumping a bunch of energy on the backside at 207 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Becomes a southern slider. GA/SC do well. H5 has a huge cutoff low in baja California now at Day 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Becomes a southern slider. GA/SC do well. H5 has a huge cutoff low in baja California now at Day 9Yea that imploded quickly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 17 minutes ago, yoda said: Yes for most of us it is... though those up by the MD/PA line lost some snow Correct, were I Ji 6z gfs is a complete disaster why does anyone do this stupid hobby… 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 17 minutes ago, Ji said: Yes we don’t care about them lol Right, I genuinely hope this thing comes north to give me a foot and you get sleet. 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Can we get a thread for the Monday event. It's starting to get confusing what system were talking about. The gfs just had a good run for Monday. Looks like another step to the euro. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 12 minutes ago, dailylurker said: Can we get a thread for the Monday event. It's starting to get confusing what system were talking about. The gfs just had a good run for Monday. Looks like another step to the euro. I vote we hold off until 12z tomorrow. Give it one more day. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packfan98 Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Happy new year! 6z euro. Very similar 0z. Surface low was a tad weaker and further south, but totals ticked up for many. 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 1 minute ago, packfan98 said: Happy new year! 6z euro. Very similar 0z. Surface low was a tad weaker and further south, but totals ticked up for many. Euro has been solidly consistent with that stripe through the region, it seems like the one detail left is exactly where it goes through. Nice set of overnight runs Happy New Year all 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 6z Eps 24 hr snowfall 13 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 14 minutes ago, mitchnick said: 6z Eps 24 hr snowfall By comparison, 0z. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Nice set of 0z and 6z runs. The south trend needed to stop and it did. This is now within 5 days. Confidence is ticking higher. 13 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Looking ahead, some ridging is trying to push into Alaska again, which would keep the EPO from going too positive. 21 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 33 minutes ago, Terpeast said: Nice set of 0z and 6z runs. The south trend needed to stop and it did. This is now within 5 days. Confidence is ticking higher. Nice consistency across the guidance with ~120 hours to go. Let’s keep it going. I think by tomorrows 12z runs or definitely 0z Friday, we can feel really good if we have similar looks. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 2 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Nice consistency across the guidance with ~120 hours to go. Let’s keep it going. I think by tomorrows 12z runs or definitely 0z Friday, we can feel really good if we have similar looks. Happy New Year, get well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 28 minutes ago, Terpeast said: Looking ahead, some ridging is trying to push into Alaska again, which would keep the EPO from going too positive. I feel quite confident that this general LW pattern will insert its influence for 4-6 weeks. Certainly not foot to the floor the entire time but just never getting too far out of whack and a propensity to look like the above prog on the balance. A good analogy with models would by JFM 2014 and 2015. Lots of breakdowns that never happened. The tracks have been set imo. Maybe we get a big relax and reload but my money is in this general theme until poof in real time 26 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Benjamn3 Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Over here in VA in the Allegheny mtns hoping the south trend continues like. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 National Blend of all models looks really good, with dc in the middle of the stripe around 5 inches. Then you have the EPS striping us and the Euro with the stripe just south of us. That’s about as good a consensus as we can ask for showing a solid moderate event with no precip type issues. Another day or two to iron out the details and hopefully juice it up a little but this is looking great. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Good morning and happy new year everyone! Love the 0z and 6z looks. 2025 is off to great start! Let’s keep this ball rolling until it becomes a big fluffy snowball. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 2 hours ago, mitchnick said: 6z Eps 24 hr snowfall My one nitpick (you are probably happy with it) is the 6z eps and gefs now have a greater number of misses to the north for the dc/balt area. The extreme southern solutions are mainly off the table it seems, but it looks like a miss north has been added to the mix. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 1 hour ago, Solution Man said: Happy New Year, get well Thanks. Feeling most of the way to 100%. 8 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 8 minutes ago, T. August said: My one nitpick (you are probably happy with it) is the 6z eps and gefs now have a greater number of misses to the north for the dc/balt area. The extreme southern solutions are mainly off the table it seems, but it looks like a miss north has been added to the mix. Believe me, I remain totally paranoid on this one as a miss for all of us remains a viable option at 4-5 days out. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 12 minutes ago, T. August said: My one nitpick (you are probably happy with it) is the 6z eps and gefs now have a greater number of misses to the north for the dc/balt area. The extreme southern solutions are mainly off the table it seems, but it looks like a miss north has been added to the mix. Anything but a miss to the south lol. The goal post seem to like the region as of now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts