stormtracker Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 Damn yall...it's so close. throws back some coastal enhancement our way. if you saw that H5 map alone....Oh well...just interesting stuff. Let's bring the 6th in first. ETA..neg tilt keeps backing precip into us 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 Just now, TSSN+ said: Can’t even get storm right at 138, it’s not even going to look anything like what it shows at 220 lol And you shouldn't. But since we're discussing models in this here thread..... 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 Heh..not bad. 2-4/3-6 jobber 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rjvanals Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 Gets Atlanta close to zero in the LR with some serious cold across the country Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rjvanals Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 GFS shows a 1pm temp of 8 at DCA on the 11th I’ll take the over 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 blizzard map 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 1 minute ago, rjvanals said: GFS shows a 1pm temp of 8 at DCA on the 11th I’ll take the over GD, that’s legit. Would be epic to get that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 17 minutes ago, stormy said: A shift in the right direction!! Be patient............. I'll take my 3 inches and be happy. Because it’s double what you’re used to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 Gfs phases the PV in the Gulf of Maine. A few inches of snow and some impressive wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 https://x.com/burgwx/status/1874224450843161052 Some hope from Tomer. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 951mb over Maine lol what in the hell 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 GFS shows improvement for both events next week. Constant see saw with the model. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 lol moderate to heavy snow with temps dropping into the low teens on this panel 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 10 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Damn yall...it's so close. throws back some coastal enhancement our way. if you saw that H5 map alone....Oh well...just interesting stuff. Let's bring the 6th in first. ETA..neg tilt keeps backing precip into us We ain’t done after Monday. Not sure what’s going to happen, but we’re not done. 9 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 Just now, CAPE said: lol moderate to heavy snow with temps dropping into the low teens on this panel Insane !!!!!! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 1 minute ago, frd said: Insane !!!!!! Would be fun 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
notvirga! Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 I didn't realize how firmly we are in a Greenland High regime. Tomer states once it eases up snow chances continue past mid month. Here is a graph he posted. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 3 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: We ain’t done after Monday. Not sure what’s going to happen, but we’re not done. The Avocado brings snow plus Barney cold. Hellacious look. 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 Gefs improved for Monday 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 2 minutes ago, CAPE said: The Avocado brings snow plus Barney cold. Hellacious look. 5 minutes ago, CAPE said: Would be fun 6" with 20' drifts. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 18z GFS takes a step towards the ECMWF and resembles the primary cluster of ensemble guidance when reviewing the 12z cluster analysis. The Grand Ensemble was a mean of 2-3” area wide with the 1-2” mark all the way down to Roanoke and the 2-3” mark beginning Fredericksburg and north. The primary cluster representing a solid 39% of ensemble guidance had a mean of 2.5-4” with a more widespread 3” margin across NoVA up through Southern PA. I think we are seeing the GFS begin the shift of a weaker North Atlantic Gyre and more in-line with the primary ensemble consensus. If that trends weaker, this will end up further north. Need the primary ULL over the Mid-South to stay robust so it can gear up prior to reaching the Tennessee Valley before it eventually gets sheared and the moisture axis funnels up into our hood. Atecedent airmass is prime, so the main ptype should be snow for most of us. 10 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 9 minutes ago, CAPE said: The Avocado brings snow plus Barney cold. Hellacious look. Triple WX porn XXX Are we the new Siberia ? Bring it please. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lucketts Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 7 minutes ago, CAPE said: The Avocado brings snow plus Barney cold. Hellacious look. When was the last time we’ve seen a look like this? Winter weather weenies rejoice and Happy New Year! 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 1 hour ago, frd said: Block is so powerful the weather systems are reversing. Someone posted a couple days ago about vorts near the Baja moving SW, versus East. Crazy models, crazy forecasts. All the ingredients are still there to sort out over the next few days. Yes, that was me. I was watching water vapor and the storms off the west coast of Central America and Mexico were heading west bound well south of Hawaii. There is a low that is pretty much stationary SE of Hawaii, and you can clearly see the STJ activating from that storm towards Mexico, the desert southwest though Texas and over to Atlanta Georgia. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 7 minutes ago, frd said: Triple WX porn XXX Are we the new Siberia ? Bring it please. This time of year Siberia is just calm, dry, and brutally cold. No wind chill to speak of. We could experience a mini Siberia feel if we build a bit of a snowpack with Arctic cold in place, and get a clear, calm night.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 Just saw that LC sees that back side of the cold pattern and is touting a Jan thaw week of the 12th. I'm having trouble cherry picking the ens for any legit warmth in the LR. Is he going off of climo or is this showing on some obscure guidance now? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 Rip 1 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 2 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: Rip Almost chilly even! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 1 hour ago, mitchnick said: Even the 84 hr 18z NAM swings the vort intact into the coast like the 12z Euro. That's right, I just used the 84hr NAM as confirmation. What are you going to do about it? Lol I mean if I am honest I might actually trust the 84 hour NAM more than the ICON.....just saying 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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