Terpeast Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 5 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: I honestly cant remember the last time the Euro had me below freezing for the extended amount of time it did this run. It reminds me of the 1989 cold outbreak. Here are the coldest temps for our area on the run. Subzero imby. We’ll see if my new ambient verifies. Hope it doesn’t break! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 Latest WPC. Places storm just off coast... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
das Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 57 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Max is souther so far. Supression thang is real This confluence is fer realz. Will be interesting to see if it is overdone (as usual) and relaxes a bit leading up. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 8 minutes ago, Terpeast said: Subzero imby. We’ll see if my new ambient verifies. Hope it doesn’t break! You get the 5000?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 8 minutes ago, das said: This confluence is fer realz. Will be interesting to see if it is overdone (as usual) and relaxes a bit leading up. DAS!!! Man, between you and @mitchnick here, I'm getting all the nostalgia feels. Hope you are doing well! 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 3 minutes ago, pazzo83 said: You get the 5000?? 2902. Christmas present from wife 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 Euro just took extreme southeast pa where I am at from 7.3" to 0.7" with a stiff dry ene wind love these model runs today all of them we are totally back to normal winter in the Mid Atlantic at least we are tracking, and I am sure we are NOT DONE seeing more changes! This is where things are fun in my opinion. Let's bring on winter and I am just simply rooting for anyone that has not received snow the past few years and that is most. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 18 minutes ago, Terpeast said: 2902. Christmas present from wife nice! setting up my new one tomorrow just in time for all this! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 12z Ukie ensembles (top) and Gem ensembles no longer favor southern areas over northern as prior runs. 4 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 42 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said: DAS!!! Man, between you and @mitchnick here, I'm getting all the nostalgia feels. Hope you are doing well! Did you move from Frederick? Thought you were living near Worman's (where I just braved the Wegman's crowd). I feel like this area is primed for an event. Hoping another January '22 is in the cards. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 29 minutes ago, mitchnick said: 12z Ukie ensembles (top) and Gem ensembles no longer favor southern areas over northern as prior runs. That looks solid for an ensemble run 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 Position of the 50/50 and shortwave spacing are the devily details that won't get sorted out for awhile. And likely what happens with Monday plays a key role in how it sets up for late next week. I remain encouraged that even if late next week doesn't work out, it looks like chances continue beyond. Op Euro buried one of the shortwaves that could give us a storm on the 10-11th, and then brought it up near the end of the run for a weak snow event. Lots of moving parts, but our chances remain well above normal. 11 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 Just got a news alert…Leave it to the WP to put out the best euro model run. A week out. Better get the the store and buy some TP now…I sense a lot of shit in the next few days 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 1 minute ago, BristowWx said: Just got a news alert…Leave it to the WP to put out the best euro model run. A week out. Better get the the store and buy some TP now…I sense a lot of shit in the next few days Are you running to the store for TP because you sense you’re going to have to shit a lot in the next few days? Or that the shits about to hit the fan? Just wanted to make sure I had that right. Either way…I’m laughing my ass off. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDScienceTeacher Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 4 hours ago, WEATHER53 said: Were any of the 2009/10 real coldies yes.. both of those storms featured very cold/ high ratio snow. I am pretty sure it was low-mid 20. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 40 minutes ago, MDScienceTeacher said: yes.. both of those storms featured very cold/ high ratio snow. I am pretty sure it was low-mid 20. It was 29 degrees when it started snowing at my house in Calvert for the December storm - I remember because we also got 29" of snow. Was all snow the whole time. . 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 Early on, it looks like Icon will fail us. I could be wrong of course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 1 minute ago, mitchnick said: Early on, it looks like Icon will fail us. I could be wrong of course. It’s not even close to the 12z run. Way weaker. The run to run changes on these models have been wild Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 Icon looks to split the trough at the west coast, then cut off the southern energy in the SW to spin toward oblivion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 Just now, TSSN+ said: It’s not even close to the 12z run. Way weaker. The run to run changes on these models have been wild Wild? You didn't expect them to be consistent at this range and setup, did you? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 NOAA says January will be colder than average. This is HUGE. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 Just now, Maestrobjwa said: Wild? You didn't expect them to be consistent at this range and setup, did you? At this range? The storm is over the west in 84hrs and it’s not even close to it’s previous run then either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 1 minute ago, mitchnick said: Icon looks to split the trough at the west coast, then cut off the southern energy in the SW to spin toward oblivion. lol buries our shortwave in the SW and forgets about it. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 Just now, TSSN+ said: At this range? The storm is over the west in 84hrs and it’s not even close to it’s previous run then either. Yeah but I'm just thinking about what the experienced minds have said here about this overall pattern. How waves interact and such are gonna be difficult for the models to pin down until we get closer (and this is still Day 6 or so) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 Just now, CAPE said: lol buries our shortwave in the SW and forgets about it. I'm at a point where I wish I could. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 1 minute ago, Maestrobjwa said: Yeah but I'm just thinking about what the experienced minds have said here about this overall pattern. How waves interact and such are gonna be difficult for the models to pin down until we get closer (and this is still Day 6 or so) Doesn’t matter if it’s day 6 if at day 3 the storm is massively different over the west coast and Midwest. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 8 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: It’s not even close to the 12z run. Way weaker. The run to run changes on these models have been wild CAB 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 5 minutes ago, CAPE said: lol buries our shortwave in the SW and forgets about it. Block is so powerful the weather systems are reversing. Someone posted a couple days ago about vorts near the Baja moving SW, versus East. Crazy models, crazy forecasts. All the ingredients are still there to sort out over the next few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 lol buries our shortwave in the SW and forgets about it.This never happens when it’s a rain storm 3 2 2 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quasievil Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 5 minutes ago, Ji said: This never happens when it’s a rain storm Probably does, we’re usually not paying attention to it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts