mitchnick Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 Just now, mitchnick said: Gem has a very strong closed low. It may have a chance. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 1 minute ago, Terpeast said: Guys, don’t get too frustrated. We are very much still in the game. I rather see a more southern track than a cutter at this point. Yes, seems to be headed towards Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 Just now, mitchnick said: it gets shredded, unfortunately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 GEM is MUCH better than GFS in my eyes. The GFS sucks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 1 minute ago, bncho said: GEM is MUCH better than GFS in my eyes. The GFS sucks. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 CMC is trying to cut. Not sure it does, but it’s another possible solution besides the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 Just now, NorthArlington101 said: it gets shredded, unfortunately. If that gets shredded, then the writings on the wall for the Euro. Unless the Euro is on its own by moving that monster 50/50 low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 Watching the GFS for the next chance... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 CMC low to OH/WV then coastal transfer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 2 minutes ago, bncho said: Other than the 6z GFS, I'm SO tired of it pissing out awful runs. I may have been a little hasty with the CMC call... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 CMC is better than the GFS for sure...did a coastal transfer trick a roo...nothing crazy tho...marginal temps also Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 Just now, stormtracker said: CMC is better than the GFS for sure...did a coastal transfer trick a roo...nothing crazy tho...marginal temps also We take. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 Just now, stormtracker said: CMC is better than the GFS for sure...did a coastal transfer trick a roo...nothing crazy tho...marginal temps also Looks like a poor man's Euro. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: I may have been a little hasty with the CMC call... Yeah but all of Virginia will be ice skating in their backyards if it's right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: I may have been a little hasty with the CMC call... I was as well - just barely pulls something out. Subtracting what falls this Fri/Sat... 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 12Z Euro had snow moving in Sunday evening. The 00Z suite so far has this as a Monday afternoon “event.” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 GFS timing is some shit....if that southern s/w was a lil faster on the next chance.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 Since the CMC was sneaky good for 1/3-4 I made a separate thread. It's been trending the right way, much to people's possible annoyance for our 1/6-7 storm. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said: I was as well - just barely pulls something out. Subtracting what falls this Fri/Sat... I mean...it's better than nothing. But it's also the CMC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 Next threat on the gfs looks...threatening. sweet 500mb setup Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 Just now, stormtracker said: I mean...it's better than nothing. But it's also the CMC Kuchie 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 1 minute ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Next threat on the gfs looks...threatening. sweet 500mb setup Meh...it looked good, but slides to far SE of us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rjvanals Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 GFS having snow in the Gulf of Mexico probably means it’s out to lunch 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 2 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Kuchie I'd rather have a GFS/Euro combo than a CMC/Euro combo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 1 minute ago, rjvanals said: GFS having snow in the Gulf of Mexico probably means it’s out to lunch The Rio Grande valley blizzard of '25. Or maybe the south Beach coastal storm of '25? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 CMC, Euro, and GFS runs today/tonight generally agree on the track. Not a cutter, but not overly suppressed either. The key player is “50/50” low and whether it moves/rotates a bit out of the way to give the s/w room to amplify, but not so far out that we don’t get confluence and therefore it cuts. The cutter risk is lower now, and we should be happy with a suppressed/sheared track this far out. Plenty of time for it to evolve. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChillinIt Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 Indeed... Snow in Northern FLA LOL!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 3 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Meh...it looked good, but slides to far SE of us I don't want to be a debut downer, but the 8th is nearly dead for me. It'll be highs in the 20s while the Carolinas get snow (or supression causes even the Carolinas to miss. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rjvanals Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 1 minute ago, IronTy said: The Rio Grande valley blizzard of '25. Or maybe the south Beach coastal storm of '25? Any solution showing 4 inches of snow in New Orleans and accumulating snow in Tallahassee for 1/9 shouldn’t be viewed as a likely outcome Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 Just now, bncho said: I don't want to be a debut downer, but the 8th is nearly dead for me. It'll be highs in the 20s while the Carolinas get snow (or supression causes even the Carolinas to miss. Models can't even figure out next monday yet and you're declaring something even farther away dead? 3 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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