winter_warlock Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 30 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: It’s learning, learning how to screw us over. Well atleast were getting screwed lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 51 minutes ago, CAPE said: Misses south/southeast just sting me in a way and I don't know why...it could be recency bias (as @North Balti Zen alluded to earlier. Misses south have happenee more than north the last several years). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 6 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: Misses south/southeast just sting me in a way and I don't know why...it could be recency bias (as @North Balti Zen alluded to earlier. Misses south have happenee more than north the last several years). that is last nights 00z gfs run it's changed since then Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 Just now, winter_warlock said: that is last nights 00z gfs run it's changed since then Yeah I know...I think I'm just projecting my dread of south misses this month, lol Don't mind me 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 Just now, Maestrobjwa said: Yeah I know...I think I'm just projecting my dread of south misses this month, lol Don't mind me Lmaoo No problem bro!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 Icon looking better at 138hrs. Should be north of 12z. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 Icon's a hit 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted December 31, 2024 Author Share Posted December 31, 2024 WB OZ ICON (not kuchera). Below freezing throughout event. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 1 minute ago, Weather Will said: WB OZ ICON (not kuchera) Kuchie 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 1 minute ago, Weather Will said: WB OZ ICON (not kuchera) Kuchera is better. I would sign on the dotted line for that now. 2 -4 region wide. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 3 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Icon's a hit Significant move towards the Euro. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted December 31, 2024 Author Share Posted December 31, 2024 Through 10 am Monday for comparison....Oz v 12Z WB ICON 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted December 31, 2024 Author Share Posted December 31, 2024 Nice way to start the 0Z suite, getting to the point where we need it to start trending in the right direction on the globals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 We need to will this a little further north. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 Just watched JB's atmospheric avenger. Gotta give the guy credit, he pulled the maps from 64 out of his ass and it's an uncanny resemblance. Not sure how he does that. 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 4 minutes ago, IronTy said: Just watched JB's atmospheric avenger. Gotta give the guy credit, he pulled the maps from 64 out of his ass and it's an uncanny resemblance. Not sure how he does that. I watched his video as well & just looked up this 1964 storm that he referenced… I would settle for a fraction of this. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 4 minutes ago, IronTy said: Just watched JB's atmospheric avenger. Gotta give the guy credit, he pulled the maps from 64 out of his ass and it's an uncanny resemblance. Not sure how he does that. I just watched that video.. it's eerily similar to what's going on now.. was a good pick up by JB. JB is all about analogs.. and that jan 1964 storm is very very similar. Definitely something to watch as we get closer!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 Just now, Maestrobjwa said: That may be a losing effort with how string that block is building in... If it doesn't end up a strung out POS chances are it does creep north. We've been burned so many times with the last 72 hour north creep. But it can't be strung out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 3 minutes ago, Chris78 said: If it doesn't end up a strung out POS chances are it does creep north. We've been burned so many times with the last 72 hour north creep. But it can't be strung out. From what I'm seeing, it feels the effects of the storm off the coast, which interrupts it's flow and the dynamics, so it just peters out. Storm off the coast needs to move out or vort needs to slow. But slowing the vort could leed to a whole new set of problems, known and unknown, imho. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 19 minutes ago, Chris78 said: We need to will this a little further north. Nah I like where it is, the track. Nice and easy E-W just south of us with no mixing issues. It tries to dry slot us early, could be right but precip is likely underdone. But it’s the ICON a week out, so… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 So there are some changes out west so far. More consolidated S/w off the west coast..but not dug as deep as 0z. Can't really tell if this means anything yet. Just describing what's going on 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 00Z GFS gives SoMD a little bit of preview snow going into next weekend. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 Idk, Gfs seems to really be making something out of that Friday clipper, which is only going to push the boundary further south. Other models aren't doing that I don't believe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 Any mets wanna chime in. H5 is definitely different out west...in that it's not digging for oil and not as amp'd out front Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 On the east side, remains about the same as 18z so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: Any mets wanna chime in. H5 is definitely different out west...in that it's not digging for oil and not as amp'd out front Not sure it means much yet, just everything is a bit slower 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Any mets wanna chime in. H5 is definitely different out west...in that it's not digging for oil and not as amp'd out front My wife just made partner last week, it's gonna snow. 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 Just now, IronTy said: My wife just made partner last week, it's gonna snow. Tell her to fly down to see the head programmer of the GFS 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 I'm just going to be straight up honest with you all....and this will come as a shock...I know what I'm looking AT..I just don't know what the fucking I'm looking FOR 1 9 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 Just now, stormtracker said: Tell her to fly down to see the head programmer of the GFS Let's wait to see what it delivers us first. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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