stormtracker Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 Differences continue to become more notable out west vs 12z. s/w is diggier (look that term up, it's in the K/U book) 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 3 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Still earlier, but notable differences out west vs 12z. trough/sw is a good bit farther south and west Can see why too man. HP about 4 mb stronger than 12z. Hopefully that will help downstream some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 This is likely going to be different vs 12z wrt outcome. Just how different is the question. I can't say I hate it so far....but you know we find a way to fuck up something that looks good early on. Yall know me, I'm not trying to be first with a call...just wanna be right. Nothing worse than signing on and people saying omg! great! etc. and then you look at it and you're like...huh?? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 Everything is shifted SW thanks to the bigger block off to our northeast. This “should” be south of 12z, how much remains to be seen. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 That being said, I have no call at this time. It's just way too early to tell. But the H5 map is different. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 Nice banana high at 138. I feel like those are always a checklist item I like to see when I’m tracking an event to cement the cold air. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 Just now, Buddy1987 said: Nice banana high at 138. I feel like those are always a checklist item I like to see when I’m tracking an event to cement the cold air. Yes. This is a base level ingredient. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhiteoutMD Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 Crazy when looking at it getting is act together you would think WOW this is going to be big we shall see good vibes for all on this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 Slowed down a lot from 12Z. Way better fetch from the Gulf too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 1 minute ago, WhiteoutMD said: Crazy when looking at it getting is act together you would think WOW this is going to be big we shall see good vibes for all on this I dunno. GFS just has so many s/w behind it. Seems like it's fucking something up so far...we'll see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 Snowing around 5pm Monday. Plenty cold...but seems kinda weaksauce and disjointed 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 Like the juice at 150. Everything shifted pretty significantly to the southwest due to factors stated by Randy and everyone above. I like it so far. I’ll say it to start Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 Just now, Buddy1987 said: Like the juice at 150. Everything shifted pretty significantly to the southwest due to factors stated by Randy and everyone above. I like it so far. I’ll say it to start It's meh at 177 so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rjvanals Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: I dunno. GFS just has so many s/w behind it. Seems like it's fucking something up so far...we'll see The shortwave over MN is screwing things up imo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 Not a cutter, but the precip just craps out. But it’s a step to the euro. Not worried about qpf 7 days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 Regardless of what happens on the run I feel like the op is actually far more realistic with the HP up top and it’s not going to just plow thru it and cut. I say this and watch at 6z it’ll cut to Minnesota. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 Meh, weak sauce bullshit. H5 looked promising earlier on. We even get a precip hole above us for a time, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 Trying to get a lil coastal action going on, but it's scooting off the coast. Gone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 Just now, stormtracker said: Meh, weak sauce bullshit. H5 looked promising earlier on. We even get a precip hole above us for a time, lol Yea the surface kinda just crapped out at 168. I will chalk this up as baby steps toward the euro which is a huge win at present. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 Some improvement over 12z, but still too much NS energy trying to get involved compared to the Euro, which is quiet up top by comparison. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 2 minutes ago, rjvanals said: The shortwave over MN is screwing things up imo Agreed. Some kind of frontrunning s/w just screws us IMO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Siberian-Snowcover-Myth Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 Nothing more than a glorified cold front which breaks up coming over the mountains. Ridiculous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: Meh, weak sauce bullshit. H5 looked promising earlier on. We even get a precip hole above us for a time, lol I think it is trying to jump. Seemed odd to me. It was tapping the Gulf pretty well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 Just now, CAPE said: Some improvement over 12z, bit still too much NS energy trying to get involved compared to the Euro, which is quiet up top by comparison. It’s the first step to the Euro, by Thursday we will be tracking 4-8” on all the models. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 192, there's a SW diving , axis in AZ. positive tilt...let's see where this goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 It would not be winter without the DC Snow Hole! 1 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: 192, there's a SW diving , axis in AZ. positive tilt...let's see where this goes Prob gonna get cut off back there in the southwest. Hey, did I just reply to myself? How you doing man. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 2 minutes ago, midatlanticweather said: It would not be winter without the DC Snow Hole! We're back baby!! 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 Just now, stormtracker said: Prob gonna get cut off back there in the southwest. Hey, did I just reply to myself? How you doing man. Really high end pbp. I’ve got my popcorn and beer and am loving it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 Just now, snowfan said: Really high end pbp. I’ve got my popcorn and beer and am loving it. I keep telling you guys...my pbp is single handedly propping this place up. There is literally no other place you can get this kind of analysis. Thank God. 8 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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