Ji Posted December 29, 2024 Share Posted December 29, 2024 So on the 18z show, the first one is ours...second is a NYC-BOS thingThey deserve it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 29, 2024 Share Posted December 29, 2024 Have fun tonight ladies and gents. I'll be at the theaters watching Nosferatu during 0z. Bf insists on that movie. MehMissing the redkins prime time?? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted December 29, 2024 Share Posted December 29, 2024 2 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Dafuq? Baja energy retrograding under the closed PNA ridge? Dont see that on the regular Have seen a couple of storms down Southwest of the Baja moving west. I was looking at the water vapor last night and one such low was moving west out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 29, 2024 Share Posted December 29, 2024 Verbatim, HH GFS has MBY below freezing from Friday evening through the end of the run. 10 days plus. I’ll take the under, but could be an impressive cold stretch. 15 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve25 Posted December 29, 2024 Share Posted December 29, 2024 6 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Verbatim, HH GFS has MBY below freezing from Friday evening through the end of the run. 10 days plus. I’ll take the under, but could be an impressive cold stretch. The last time I recall a stretch of sub-freezing temps for 10+ days was back in the end of 2017 into 2018. I want to say it was like 11 consecutive days. I did a lot of hikes during that stretch. 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted December 29, 2024 Share Posted December 29, 2024 11 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Verbatim, HH GFS has MBY below freezing from Friday evening through the end of the run. 10 days plus. I’ll take the under, but could be an impressive cold stretch. The model has 3 consecutive nights of below zero weather here N/W of the metros. Probably have to go back quite a ways to find the last time that happened. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted December 29, 2024 Share Posted December 29, 2024 Gefs ens seems about the same. Signal there for something but it’s not that clear. Just a general .25” for a few day stretch as it doesn’t seem to know what to focus on. Also looks like there’s suppressed members and cutter members for wave one, one huge spread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted December 29, 2024 Share Posted December 29, 2024 Going to be an interesting first half of January it appears, for sure! Things will go back and forth on individual vorts and shortwaves, but you have to like the multiple opportunities that seem to be available. Right now, can't ask for much more than that. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 29, 2024 Share Posted December 29, 2024 If we can just get the first wave to speed up a little bit I think we would get both of them. And then the 3rd one on the 12th looks very interesting as well. Really great January incoming imo. 14 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted December 29, 2024 Share Posted December 29, 2024 16 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: Gefs ens seems about the same. Signal there for something but it’s not that clear. Just a general .25” for a few day stretch as it doesn’t seem to know what to focus on. Also looks like there’s suppressed members and cutter members for wave one, one huge spread. I'm just looking at 24hr snow means/medians but thought the 6th was neutral and ya'll improved for the 8th. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 We're so close to victory on the 8th-10th as well. Just a tick or two. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted December 30, 2024 Author Share Posted December 30, 2024 WB 18Z GEFS...through next Friday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted December 30, 2024 Author Share Posted December 30, 2024 WB latest EPS extended, period beyond the ensemble range looks great! There will be more chances after the 10th....(maps for the 32 day period ending February 12. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 2 hours ago, psuhoffman said: Not bad for the week 1 hour ago, WxUSAF said: Verbatim, HH GFS has MBY below freezing from Friday evening through the end of the run. 10 days plus. I’ll take the under, but could be an impressive cold stretch. I want all the snows, but I wouldn’t be upset with 6-8” on the 6th followed by real cold and an inch or so on the 10th. Upside is pretty big looking through January, so I’d be thrilled with some real winter to kick things off and let things shake out for the rest of the season. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 25 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB 18Z GEFS...through next Friday. Isn't this a step back though? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted December 30, 2024 Author Share Posted December 30, 2024 1 minute ago, frd said: Isn't this a step back though? WB GEFS 18Z compared to 0Z is better. I've keep in mind there are two storms here... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 3 minutes ago, frd said: Isn't this a step back though? No it's better actually. More hits. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 I am so happy for the entire Mid Atlantic! Things are looking up 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 3 hours ago, psuhoffman said: Not bad for the week I'll take it!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 The cold is coming! 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 15 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: The cold is coming! Wear appropriate clothing while outside… ya I don’t think I’m going outside in -75 degree windchills. 2 8 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 18z aifs looked okay for Jan 6 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 I am so happy for the entire Mid Atlantic! Things are looking up We’re paper champs lol.But seriously…pattern is looking better, though we’re fully capable of cold/dry. Really need that southern stream to get involved, which it mostly looks like it is. Tbd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 40 minutes ago, 87storms said: We’re paper champs lol. But seriously…pattern is looking better, though we’re fully capable of cold/dry. Really need that southern stream to get involved, which it mostly looks like it is. Tbd That was one thing that stuck out to my amateur eyes...the gulf does seem to want to get in on the action. We have that in our favor thar can only help our chances! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 That was one thing that stuck out to my amateur eyes...the gulf did seem to want to get in on the action. We have that in our favor thar can only help our chances!I’ve been at this hobby for too long to look too far beyond 10 days, though I have become a fan of teleconnections. There’s no denying the importance of pattern trends like pna, nao, etc. Imo those are more important than tracking individual shortwaves this far out, which is arguably irrational and I imagine the paid mets who participate here probably laugh at. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 https://x.com/NWSFairbanks/status/1873094176625311959/photo/1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 39 minutes ago, bncho said: Spongebob stopped watching TV after seeing this. My man…can you take this stuff to banter? Much appreciated. 4 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 18z aifs looked okay for Jan 6I need a dog, but my fear is 6th gets sheared and it screws up the spacing for the follow up wave. Sometimes we don’t truly cash until a block breaks down anyway. We’ll see. 00z gfs starting up shortly . 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
notvirga! Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 Icon looking pretty good at hour 180. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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