January: Medium/ Long Range: May the Force be with Us....

[yoda]

DCA approaches 0 for lows late in the run in lala land lol

[Jersey Andrew]

3 minutes ago, yoda said:

DCA approaches 0 for lows late in the run in lala land lol

Think last time DCA was below zero in January 1994. I remember two wicked ice storms out here in Fairfax, Virginia.

[Ji]

22 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

Imma just go ahead and send out the call for the band to get back together after Jan 1.  Everybody's still in holiday mode and we just can't know what happens after the 1st.   But it's almost time for high times and misdemeanors up in this mfer.  Starting to feel it.  

i feel like we are stuck on the D10-12 escalator and we cannot get off. 

[MDScienceTeacher]

9 hours ago, 87storms said:

Snowy periods are gonna continue to be fewer and farther between as long as the planet continues to warm. Unfortunately, only about 50% of the population understands this rudimentary concept.

 

9 hours ago, RevWarReenactor said:

Historic cold is not what we want. High heating bills and suppressed storms.

We've had a lot of these historic cold outburst in the last 10 years. None of them have produced snow for our region. 

Which one is it?  Historic cold outbursts of continued warmth?  If we have both, there will be a tendency for greater temp gradients and a more active STJ.  This could lead to snowier outcomes.  

[stormtracker]

3 minutes ago, Ji said:

i feel like we are stuck on the D10-12 escalator and we cannot get off. 

If this period doesn't produce, I might go off grid

[Kevin Reilly]

37 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

It's sleet for like 4 hours

Lots of upward motions thunderstorms with heavy sleet.  That storm there is a historic classic storm. 

[Ji]

Just now, stormtracker said:

If this period doesn't produce, I might go off grid

in all serioussnes...it it does not produce....save money---shut this server down and we say our goodbyes cause winter would be cooked forever

[bncho]

38 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

The big dogs (almost) always mix

And that's why Winter Storm Jonas was so good. Never mixed.

[Amped]

14 minutes ago, TSSN+ said:

That was probably the most insane run I’ve ever seen. Straight brutal cold and snow. 

One of the largest snow swaths you'll ever see. Extends all the way back to NM

[bncho]

30 minutes ago, osfan24 said:

Do they? 96 and 2003 did, but 2000, 2009, both 2010’s and 2016 didn’t. At least not where I lived.

All the BECS don't really.

[WxUSAF]

21 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

Because it didn't.  

2016 mixed for me. Feb 2014 I had 18” but a good amount of slop. 

[Ruin]

48 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

It's sleet for like 4 hours

many many years ago in the 90s we had a very cold outbreak and we had a massive sleet storm. we went out to eat in it it wasnt at all bad driving to the place. maybe half a inch of sleet. by the time we came out we had 2 inchs of sleet but you could walk on it if you were careful unlike ice. we ended up with 4 inches of sleet. to this day I will stand behind id rather have 4 inchs of sleet then half a inch of ice. so much sleet it looked like snow 

[midatlanticweather]

1 minute ago, Ruin said:

many many years ago in the 90s we had a very cold outbreak and we had a massive sleet storm. we went out to eat in it it wasnt at all bad driving to the place. maybe half a inch of sleet. by the time we came out we had 2 inchs of sleet but you could walk on it if you were careful unlike ice. we ended up with 4 inches of sleet. to this day I will stand behind id rather have 4 inchs of sleet then half a inch of ice. so much sleet it looked like snow 

I remember that sleet storm well. The sleet looks like sand when it got slightly dirty. It was very tough to plow. 

 

[stormtracker]

3 minutes ago, Ruin said:

many many years ago in the 90s we had a very cold outbreak and we had a massive sleet storm. we went out to eat in it it wasnt at all bad driving to the place. maybe half a inch of sleet. by the time we came out we had 2 inchs of sleet but you could walk on it if you were careful unlike ice. we ended up with 4 inches of sleet. to this day I will stand behind id rather have 4 inchs of sleet then half a inch of ice. so much sleet it looked like snow 

I remember this one.   I think it was in 94.   I had about 2" of sleet

[Maestrobjwa]

2 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

I remember this one.   I think it was in 94.   I had about 2" of sleet

94 was an icy year all the way around, wasn't it? (I have no recollection because I was only like 3, but I heard of what happened with the towers on TV Hill up in Baltimore)

[stormtracker]

Just now, Maestrobjwa said:

94 was an icy year all the way around, wasn't it? (I have no recollection because I was only like 3, but I heard of what happened with the towers on TV Hill up in Baltimore)

Yes.  It was crazy.

[LeesburgWx]

NGL, that run is sick! The big ones usually show up like this. The cold behind the storm would solidify us in a glacier. Let's reel it in!

[frd]

Crazy snow loop by Tomer 

https://x.com/burgwx/status/1873154546278776971

 

 

[mitchnick]

Strong support on Gefs at this range. 

[LeesburgWx]

1 minute ago, mitchnick said:

Strong support on Gefs at this range. 

Oh my. That's a huge signal

[mattie g]

2 minutes ago, mitchnick said:

Strong support on Gefs at this range. 

Mitch!

[Prismshine Productions]

 

[notvirga!]

5 minutes ago, LeesburgWx said:

NGL, that run is sick! The big ones usually show up like this. The cold behind the storm would solidify us in a glacier. Let's reel it in!

The big ones are usually sniffed out early 

[CAPE]

Looks like back to back coastals on the GEFS.

[mattie g]

2 minutes ago, CAPE said:

Looks like back to back coastals on the GEFS.

Looked (to me, at least) like the OP was lining up a big dog at H5 after the first storm, but it didn’t happen. I think we’ll see multiple potential hit windows across the suites as we move forward.

[aldie 22]

41 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

If this period doesn't produce, I might go off grid

Anacostia?

[stormtracker]

1 minute ago, aldie 22 said:

Anacostia?

My man's family is down there.  I'd go.

[SnowenOutThere]

@NorthArlington101 I'm sure there are some fun individual runs from the 18z GEFS if you wouldn't mind dropping them

[Ruin]

47 minutes ago, midatlanticweather said:

I remember that sleet storm well. The sleet looks like sand when it got slightly dirty. It was very tough to plow. 

 

yep very much so 

[NorthArlington101]

4 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said:

@NorthArlington101 I'm sure there are some fun individual runs from the 18z GEFS if you wouldn't mind dropping them

Just for you, even though I’m 1000% rooting against ya’ll for the 7th-14th and won’t lie about it!