January: Medium/ Long Range: May the Force be with Us....

[stormtracker]

3 minutes ago, bncho said:

That's cold sleet. Sleet at 20-25 degrees.

It's sleet for like 4 hours

[stormtracker]

2 minutes ago, TSSN+ said:

I mean who cares about accumulation maps at hour 200+ lol. Just want to see the storm not being suppressed to Cuba or cutting to Chicago. 

I mean, yeah of course.  Just interpreting the model verbatim...of course it's not going to be like that.  Or even have a storm at all in 6 hours.  It's way into fantasy range

[frd]

4 minutes ago, bncho said:

That's cold sleet. Sleet at 20-25 degrees.

 

Inland runner, we need to break the curse here.

The past 6 winters have fetaured a combination of coastal scrappers, inland runners and cutters, resulting in crumbs for the lowlands. Well, with a minor exception, or two.  Time to move on in the New Year . 

 

 

[WxUSAF]

Just now, stormtracker said:

It's sleet for like 4 hours

The big dogs (almost) always mix

[TSSN+]

That’s some cold smoke 

[stormtracker]

Just now, WxUSAF said:

The big dogs (almost) always mix

Indeed.  Just wanted to point out, it's not a sleet storm as he implied. 

[wxdude64]

2 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

It's sleet for like 4 hours

 

1 minute ago, WxUSAF said:

The big dogs (almost) always mix

100%. I was just gonna say that. Sadly, any storm that amps up throws warm air back into the 'lowlands' making them flip for a period. 

[Scraff]

Looks like my ambition of a dry January just got canceled. 

[aldie 22]

3 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

I mean, yeah of course.  Just interpreting the model verbatim...of course it's not going to be like that.  Or even have a storm at all in 6 hours.  It's way into fantasy range

I'm assuming the kidneys are on ice?

[TSSN+]

Can we just lock this in now? 

[SomeguyfromTakomaPark]

Beautiful miller A as @CAPEwas pointing out was being suggested by the EPS.  Lets gooooooo. 

[stormtracker]

1 minute ago, wxdude64 said:

 

100%. I was just gonna say that. Sadly, any storm that amps up throws warm air back into the 'lowlands' making them flip for a period. 

I mean, we're used to it. Happens in all the biggies.  Right now, I'd take it if it was a sure thing.   A lot of others would gamble for pure snow.   It's tempting, but even Feb 2003 had lowlands at sleet for a bit.  It sucks, but I'd buy for a guarantee of that again.

[MillvilleWx]

1 minute ago, aldie 22 said:

I'm assuming the kidneys are on ice?

With the advertised cold, he can just keep them out on his balcony. 

[stormtracker]

1 minute ago, aldie 22 said:

I'm assuming the kidneys are on ice?

I'd need guarantees first.   They'd make do with one.  

[osfan24]

7 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

The big dogs (almost) always mix

Do they? 96 and 2003 did, but 2000, 2009, both 2010’s and 2016 didn’t. At least not where I lived.

[GATECH]

I ordered a new snow shovel and pet safe ice melt just before the 18z came out…was thinking it would be the kiss of death for this winter…instead we get 1996…hmm, what if I order a snowblower….just saying if you want I will accept donations.

[stormtracker]

Imma just go ahead and send out the call for the band to get back together after Jan 1.  Everybody's still in holiday mode and we just can't know what happens after the 1st.   But it's almost time for high times and misdemeanors up in this mfer.  Starting to feel it.  

[SnowenOutThere]

10 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

Yes I know it's a D11 sounding, but praise JesusAllahBuddah this is glorious

Anything in particular about this sounding that stands out meteorologically wise? I’d like to learn more about what makes a “good” snow sounding vs a “bad” one. Currently all I know to look for is the if there is any above freezing bits and if DGZ life is strong

[CAPE]

Dank look

[VA Mad Man]

@stormtracker- WHEN you organize a radio show for the Jan 8 - 10 event, could you invite DT? Like old times?

[stormtracker]

Just now, VA Mad Man said:

@stormtracker- WHEN you organize a radio show for the Jan 8 - 10 event, could you invite DT? Like old times?

[TSSN+]

After the storm on this run it is cold as fook. Lows in the negatives and highs in singles and teens. Dear god. 

[MillvilleWx]

2 minutes ago, CAPE said:

Dank look

The ONLY gripe on that, and I mean this is legit the only thing that makes this not perfection is the ridge axis out west is a little west of where perfection lies. Over the Cascades instead of Boise. That’s pretty much it though. That is truly unbelievable to see. It shows the potential of the pattern. Just another iteration of what could be. Just gotta be patient and keep an eye on the overall long wave progression. Fun times ahead tracking this all. 

[konksw]

14 minutes ago, wxdude64 said:

 

100%. I was just gonna say that. Sadly, any storm that amps up throws warm air back into the 'lowlands' making them flip for a period. 

I don’t remember 2016 ever changing to sleet. 

[stormtracker]

Just now, konksw said:

I don’t remember 2016 ever changing to sleet. 

Because it didn't.  

[konksw]

Just now, stormtracker said:

Because it didn't.  

That’ll do it

[CAPE]

2 minutes ago, konksw said:

I don’t remember 2016 ever changing to sleet. 

It didn't. It dry slotted for eastern areas, which was worse lol. Heavy snow to sleet is better than literally half a storm.

[Mikeymac5306]

30 minutes ago, poolz1 said:

We should be seeing eye candy like this with the advertised pattern.  About time.

Thats eye diabetes right there

[TSSN+]

That was probably the most insane run I’ve ever seen. Straight brutal cold and snow. 

[CAPE]

8 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said:

The ONLY gripe on that, and I mean this is legit the only thing that makes this not perfection is the ridge axis out west is a little west of where perfection lies. Over the Cascades instead of Boise. That’s pretty much it though. That is truly unbelievable to see. It shows the potential of the pattern. Just another iteration of what could be. Just gotta be patient and keep an eye on the overall long wave progression. Fun times ahead tracking this all. 

Yeah a tad further east and no p-type issues for the coastal plain.