stormtracker Posted December 27, 2024 Share Posted December 27, 2024 We're cooked verbatim, but so what. It's 150 hours plus out. Nobody should be whining, but we all should be happy to be in the game at this point. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 27, 2024 Share Posted December 27, 2024 18 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: 18z back to the dumps. Back for 0z hammer The evolution is generally similar to 12z. The low track is further NW- pretty obvious why comparing the upper levels between the 2 runs. Too far out to care much. Onward. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 27, 2024 Share Posted December 27, 2024 Up next- 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 27, 2024 Share Posted December 27, 2024 Just now, CAPE said: Up next- Yeah, I'm ahead and it's interesting. Goes neg tilt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 27, 2024 Share Posted December 27, 2024 Just now, stormtracker said: Yeah, I'm ahead and it's interesting. Goes neg tilt Yeah I'm always behind. WB lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 27, 2024 Share Posted December 27, 2024 1 minute ago, CAPE said: Up next- We're probably about to get it good....too bad it's in fantasy land. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted December 27, 2024 Share Posted December 27, 2024 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: We're probably about to get it good....too bad it's in fantasy land. It looks strange on Pivotal - not sure what to make of that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 27, 2024 Share Posted December 27, 2024 2 minutes ago, CAPE said: Yeah I'm always behind. WB lol. It's a nice evolution. Comma head ftw Heavy precip while I straddle that sfc freezing line. Then it collapses and we all get it good. Sigh. Wish that was 100 hours instead of 30000 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 27, 2024 Share Posted December 27, 2024 But anyway, back to realistic stuff...just gonna hone in on the 6th. 4th seems dry. As CAPE said, onward. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 27, 2024 Share Posted December 27, 2024 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: It's a nice evolution. Heavy precip while I straddle that sfc freezing line. Then it collapses and we all get it good. Sigh. Wish that was 100 hours instead of 30000 The advertised h5 pattern on the ensembles supports it. Good to see snowy outcomes on the op runs, albeit sporadically at this juncture. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 27, 2024 Share Posted December 27, 2024 12z also had a storm in the 10-12 time frame, also a bit further south. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 27, 2024 Share Posted December 27, 2024 When the southeast and TN Valley posters are getting interested, then you know we're probably in a good spot. 6 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 27, 2024 Share Posted December 27, 2024 56 minutes ago, BristowWx said: That is huge. Best post ever. You never see that. Wow Yeah. Worst case we are going to be able to ice skate on our local ponds. I dont think we are going to have temp issues this January for once. And the Gulf looks open for business in the long range. All we can really ask for at this point. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 28, 2024 Share Posted December 28, 2024 Pretty nice h5 look leading into an approaching storm. And then the storm- 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 28, 2024 Share Posted December 28, 2024 Seems pretty good 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 28, 2024 Share Posted December 28, 2024 1 minute ago, WxUSAF said: Seems pretty good Most impressive h5 look for that timeframe that I have seen on any guidance. 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 28, 2024 Share Posted December 28, 2024 1 minute ago, CAPE said: Most impressive h5 look for that timeframe that I have seen on any guidance. Lol ninja’d! Although I guess mine’s 6 hours later so not perfectly identical 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 28, 2024 Share Posted December 28, 2024 10 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Seems pretty good 7 minutes ago, CAPE said: Most impressive h5 look for that timeframe that I have seen on any guidance. If that doesn’t work… lol 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted December 28, 2024 Share Posted December 28, 2024 5 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: If that doesn’t work… lol We just need this to hold until it actually verifies. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted December 28, 2024 Share Posted December 28, 2024 5 minutes ago, Terpeast said: We just need this to hold until it actually verifies. Guidance has stayed strong with this look. We just need to get to New Year's Day and have a strong storm signal around the 6-10th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 28, 2024 Share Posted December 28, 2024 9 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: If that doesn’t work… lol 2 minutes ago, Terpeast said: We just need this to hold until it actually verifies. As (some of us) we know, a big event takes some luck even with a great longwave pattern. But odds for something continue to increase. For an epic month, some small events and a big dog are a typical combo. 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted December 28, 2024 Share Posted December 28, 2024 1 hour ago, TSSN+ said: 18z back to the dumps. Back for 0z hammer Not really. In fantasy range it shows a nice little snowstorm of 4-6". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 28, 2024 Share Posted December 28, 2024 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted December 28, 2024 Share Posted December 28, 2024 2 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: Holy shit 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 28, 2024 Share Posted December 28, 2024 13 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: As (some of us) we know, a big event takes some luck even with a great longwave pattern. But odds for something continue to increase. For an epic month, some small events and a big dog are a typical combo. Ironically a while back I said I just wanted a period where we had at least a chance because 1996 wasn’t walking in the door. And now guidance shows the best cold enso pattern since 1996. 10 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 28, 2024 Share Posted December 28, 2024 41 minutes ago, CAPE said: Pretty nice h5 look leading into an approaching storm. And then the storm- Meh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted December 28, 2024 Share Posted December 28, 2024 37 minutes ago, CAPE said: Most impressive h5 look for that timeframe that I have seen on any guidance. Is that your old avatar? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 28, 2024 Share Posted December 28, 2024 40 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Seems pretty good So many nice things there...I'm admiring the smoothed out 50/50. I'm cuddling with that tonight but I might share the time with the aleutian low. The split flow is beautiful AF too tho. NAO mmmm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted December 28, 2024 Share Posted December 28, 2024 2 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: So many nice things there...I'm admiring the smoothed out 50/50. I'm cuddling with that tonight but I might share the time with the aleutian low. The split flow is beautiful AF too tho. NAO mmmm What indicates a split flow in that H5 plot? I just see a Baja-to North Pole ridge which I would have though would block the STJ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 28, 2024 Share Posted December 28, 2024 34 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: If that doesn’t work… lol You put that log book back on the shelf for now sir. Revisit it in April. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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