Kevin Reilly Posted December 25, 2024 Share Posted December 25, 2024 10 minutes ago, Heisy said: Looks like that wave around the 3rd is the first shot at something, but the trough axis isn’t great and spacing is meh. At least so far. However, that wave then potentially sets up our potential confluence for whatever else rolls off the PAC. This is fun to look at lol.. . Clear developing split flow may take away. I think we need a split flow to make things interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 25, 2024 Share Posted December 25, 2024 Last of the weather porn...let's see how the ens look shortly 8 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted December 25, 2024 Share Posted December 25, 2024 7 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Last of the weather porn...let's see how the ens look shortly Love the +PNA hello old friend where have you been?? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 25, 2024 Share Posted December 25, 2024 3 minutes ago, Kevin Reilly said: Love the +PNA hello old friend where have you been?? Ridge bridge? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted December 25, 2024 Share Posted December 25, 2024 Recent runs of the globals say those historically cold analogs like Jan 1977 may have been on to something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 25, 2024 Share Posted December 25, 2024 45 minutes ago, Terpeast said: I’m just curious, wasn’t 4” the criteria for a winter storm warning here before they changed it to 5”? Or has it always been 5”? My memory isn’t what it used to be. Yes with the caveat there was a time constraint. But not sure if it was 4” in 12 or 24 hours. But in general everyone considered 4” warning criteria back then. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 25, 2024 Share Posted December 25, 2024 5 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Yes with the caveat there was a time constraint. But not sure if it was 4” in 12 or 24 hours. But in general everyone considered 4” warning criteria back then. The 12 and 24 hour criteria difference for snow and ice are gone. It's just one metric now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted December 25, 2024 Share Posted December 25, 2024 wow. 7th continues to have a very cohesive signal 8 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted December 25, 2024 Share Posted December 25, 2024 4th also looks better now 9 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 26, 2024 Share Posted December 26, 2024 Gefs also secs-y for the 6th-10th. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 26, 2024 Share Posted December 26, 2024 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 26, 2024 Share Posted December 26, 2024 49 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Last of the weather porn...let's see how the ens look shortly 2 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 26, 2024 Share Posted December 26, 2024 12 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: 4th also looks better now If we get the lead system on the 4th to somehow work out, what a bonus that would be as we enter prime climo and a loaded pattern right after. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted December 26, 2024 Share Posted December 26, 2024 Everything looks fantastic on the ens for an active period… clear we’ve got a couple windows. All we need is the snow median on the ens to start ticking up 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 26, 2024 Share Posted December 26, 2024 Run to run...better pna axis, diggier sws under the nao 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 26, 2024 Share Posted December 26, 2024 5 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: If we get the lead system on the 4th to somehow work out, what a bonus that would be as we enter prime climo and a loaded pattern right after. It would be like the days of old. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 26, 2024 Share Posted December 26, 2024 1 hour ago, Terpeast said: I’m just curious, wasn’t 4” the criteria for a winter storm warning here before they changed it to 5”? Or has it always been 5”? My memory isn’t what it used to be. 1 hour ago, 87storms said: I think it used to be. 1 hour ago, stormy said: The warning criteria used to be 4" or more. Yes it was. @psuhoffman is correct. A lot of the Mid-Atlantic into the Northeast WFOs had their warning criteria amounts increased after the time constraints were removed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 26, 2024 Share Posted December 26, 2024 1 hour ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Last of the weather porn...let's see how the ens look shortly 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted December 26, 2024 Share Posted December 26, 2024 I didn’t ask Hanukkah Harry for snow porn, but damn! The last few hours in here…the man delivered! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 26, 2024 Share Posted December 26, 2024 1 hour ago, Eskimo Joe said: The 12 and 24 hour criteria difference for snow and ice are gone. It's just one metric now. I meant when it was 4”. Sorry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 26, 2024 Share Posted December 26, 2024 17 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: I meant when it was 4”. Sorry All good buddy. Merry Christmas, hope we jackpot in Jan and Feb! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 26, 2024 Share Posted December 26, 2024 5 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: All good buddy. Merry Christmas, hope we jackpot in Jan and Feb! The were due index is through the roof. 13 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted December 26, 2024 Share Posted December 26, 2024 3 hours ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Last of the weather porn...let's see how the ens look shortly This is unbelievable. You guys are SOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO Overdue! 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 26, 2024 Share Posted December 26, 2024 2 hours ago, brooklynwx99 said: wow. 7th continues to have a very cohesive signal Busy times ahead. So much more exciting than a shit the blinds pattern that you just know you shouldn’t even look for the next 2 weeks. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted December 26, 2024 Share Posted December 26, 2024 Models haven't kicked the can, rather, they've been showing a stronger and stronger signal. GEFS was apparently on crack for a few days but it actually got its act together. Everything is in the right place at the right time. MJO will be in phase 7-8-1, -EPO, -AO, -NAO, +PNA (and guidance has its axis more west). I mean, I'm not saying it'll be a historic January by any means, but surely we can get at least one 3-5" event. Maybe we can even get a SECS or a MECS if we are lucky. This could be our best January in a while. No shit the blinds in sight for a good couple of weeks. EPS signal for 4th: EPS signal for 8th-9th: GEFS signal for 4th: GEFS signal for 8th-9th: 9 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 26, 2024 Share Posted December 26, 2024 Yes, an OP run but WOOF 50341d06527c67c77811ab2bc8499465a1b074fe.mov 4 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 26, 2024 Share Posted December 26, 2024 2 hours ago, psuhoffman said: The were due index is through the roof. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 26, 2024 Share Posted December 26, 2024 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 26, 2024 Share Posted December 26, 2024 Going to be honest, we're trying for our first Garrett County mesonet site in Bittinger. It would be great if we can get the concrete poured 12/30 and the equipment install finished on 1/6. That would give everyone on this site additional surface data in western Maryland. Hopefully we can squeeze this in before things get snowy. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 26, 2024 Share Posted December 26, 2024 4 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: Going to be honest, we're trying for our first Garrett County mesonet site in Bittinger. It would be great if we can get the concrete poured 12/30 and the equipment install finished on 1/6. That would give everyone on this site additional surface data in western Maryland. Hopefully we can squeeze this in before things get snowy. Going to be honest. I honestly dont care about your project. Snow takes precedent. 1 4 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts