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January: Medium/ Long Range: May the Force be with Us....


Weather Will
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Just now, stormtracker said:

So precip does look a little flatter/souther altho the confluence is further NE.  Gonna let it play out tho...just offering descriptions

Yea I was going to say I thought the surface really didn’t overly change much compared to h5

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If it was just a little bit further north it actually would be a pretty good run, has a better snow max but is just a bit too far south. 

Actually a closed h5 low this time once it gets into the Plains, though could be noise. Regardless, I’m ok with this run.
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Just now, NorthArlington101 said:

The wetter storm cancels out the faster/souther mostly. A better run… kinda forgot how bad 12z was. 
 

IMG_2181.thumb.png.08c1999e483efc5b116df2ea605387b2.png

 

Very acceptable, but I live in Stafford. This has a between EZF and DCA bullseye feel to it, but I’m prepared to be screwed in some way like usual.

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Looks like the typical GFS swings/noise to me. Yes it’s faster, but the NE trough/confluence also moves east accordingly. Almost like they’re dancing in sync. 

Qpf amounts won’t be figured out until the meso models have their day with it. 

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if this does happen and this storm fizzles out like I heard mants mets want. I keep hearing now its going to weaken the farther east it goes first time hearing that. But we all know what they will say we dodge a bullet with this one and cheer and clap on tv. 

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