winter_warlock Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 On 1/1/2025 at 3:58 PM, stormtracker said: Gun against my head, if I had to guess...I'd say it'll come a little north Expand I can live with a tick north! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 On 1/1/2025 at 4:00 PM, mappy said: Y’all let the damn model run before commenting lol Expand I know right?? Lmaoo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Confluence is actually a bit stronger, but more east 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Maybe this is the GFS run where it gets its shit together. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 On 1/1/2025 at 4:01 PM, Terpeast said: Confluence is actually a bit stronger, but more east Expand Precip shield seems to be weakening on approach... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Crushed south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Snow at 114 in DC metro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Its also significantly faster than 6z with the storm in general Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 On 1/1/2025 at 4:01 PM, bncho said: Maybe this is the GFS run where it gets its shit together. Expand Hopefully Yoda can say DC crushed. Hopefully maybe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Well, looked promising early on, but it's getting smashed by the ull. So correction on my part Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 On 1/1/2025 at 4:00 PM, mappy said: Y’all let the damn model run before commenting lol Expand I'm going back to bed lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 On 1/1/2025 at 4:03 PM, stormtracker said: Well, looked promising early on, but it's getting smashed by the ull. So correction on my part Expand I also would've guessed north... not a good run verbatim. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 On 1/1/2025 at 4:01 PM, bncho said: Maybe this is the GFS run where it gets its shit together. Expand But you already said it was sexy? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 On 1/1/2025 at 4:03 PM, stormtracker said: Well, looked promising early on, but it's getting smashed by the ull. So correction on my part Expand Somehow it did the "looks good from the GFS" thing again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Shredded by the ULL in the NE as it spins down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Word to the wise: As we get closer to the storm time, please leave all opinion pieces and inexperienced meteorological breakdowns out of the thread, please. I could sit here and post like crazy, but I let the run finish. We have a good set of PBP guys here for these types of events. Let them post and then comment after everything is over. Sincerely, Your friendly neighborhood Meteorologist 18 4 1 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 On 1/1/2025 at 3:56 PM, mitchnick said: Hi Bob. Congrats! What's ur elevation and Smith mtn? Are there roads over it to weenie out in marginal events? Lol Expand Our land ranges from 650-825. Top of smith is 2k. You can drive the entire length of the top on a 4wd trail. Not dangerous. Just need 4wd and good ground clearance. End of banter. Gfs looks good for u guys. Me nasomuch lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 On 1/1/2025 at 4:03 PM, stormtracker said: I'm going back to bed lol Expand Kinda wish half here would too tbh 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shad Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 GFS is a mess. Next 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 On 1/1/2025 at 4:04 PM, mappy said: But you already said it was sexy? Expand Well maybe his idea of sexy is different then ours lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 On 1/1/2025 at 4:04 PM, NorthArlington101 said: I also would've guessed north... not a good run verbatim. Expand lot of this for VA/NC border is ice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 On 1/1/2025 at 4:04 PM, MillvilleWx said: Word to the wise: As we get closer to the storm time, please leave all opinion pieces and inexperienced meteorological breakdowns out of the thread, please. I could sit here and post like crazy, but I let the run finish. We have a good set of PBP guys here for these types of events. Let them post and then comment after everything is over. Sincerely, Your friendly neighborhood Meteorologist Expand This. Thanks for all you do, friend. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 On 1/1/2025 at 4:03 PM, SnowenOutThere said: Its also significantly faster than 6z with the storm in general Expand So we see the trend of faster not being great for this one. When I saw the speed I said ehhhh... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Can we implement the if you don’t know how to read upper levels, don’t post that the run looks good? Lol 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 On 1/1/2025 at 4:05 PM, winter_warlock said: Well maybe his idea of sexy is different then ours lol Expand It no longer looks sexy. I got catfished. No comment. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 On 1/1/2025 at 3:59 PM, bncho said: Looks like DC/Balt will be the bullseye here. Expand @bncho - famous last words! You are running up a fast post count since joining! Not a race On 1/1/2025 at 4:02 PM, TSSN+ said: Crushed south Expand Always love when rapid fire posts contrast this much 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 On 1/1/2025 at 4:06 PM, TSSN+ said: Can we implement the if you don’t know how to read upper levels, don’t post that the run looks good? Lol Expand Yes please. My goodness 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 On 1/1/2025 at 4:06 PM, Maestrobjwa said: So we see the trend of faster not being great for this one. When I saw the speed I said ehhhh... Expand It’s interesting considering the euro has been one of the quicker pieces of guidance wrt to start time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 On 1/1/2025 at 4:06 PM, bncho said: It no longer looks sexy. I got catfished. No comment. Expand Don’t comment at all. Let the run play and others comment 4 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 CMC is also a bit faster at hr 78 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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