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January: Medium/ Long Range: May the Force be with Us....


Weather Will
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The GFS and CMC moving north match the cluster analysis of the greatest percentile of ensemble members between the 12z GEFS/ECENS/GEPS from earlier. This is likely some beginning of stabilizing in the evolution. There will be changes in magnitude and orientation of the 7H moisture feed over the coming days, but I think the trend of the North Atlantic gyre being further northeast was a big step in the right direction for the region. Still a ways to go and minor adjustments in either the primary ULL over the Mid-South or the North Atlantic Gyre will cause some deviations in the poleward advancement of the main moisture feed. Good trends tonight. 
 

Happy New Year everyone! 

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  On 1/1/2025 at 4:52 AM, NorthArlington101 said:

When I see your posts I have to remember you live in PA now ;)

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Actually, I hadn't seen the snow maps but the 6 hour panels showing snow in DC AND MD. It was the panels after my post that hit PA. Trust me, I  am very cognizant of the fact that it's 2 different climates and don't want to spike any balls. Sorry

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  On 1/1/2025 at 4:55 AM, mitchnick said:

Actually, I hadn't seen the snow maps but the 6 hour panels showing snow in DC AND MD. It was the panels after my post that hit PA. Trust me, I  am very cognizant of the fact that it's 2 different climates and don't want to spike any balls. Sorry

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You’re so good man - no worries. Prob gonna bounce between suppressed and too far north another 3 times. Can’t believe this is still 5-6 days out. Exhausting. 

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  On 1/1/2025 at 5:01 AM, ravensrule said:

I’m sorry to hear that. I hope it’s not too bad and you’re feeling better soon. 

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Nah, not for me. Wife's had it worse. 1st time 2 years ago, I  had a bad fever for 12 hours and woke up at 2am and the fever was gone and I was wondering if I had dreamed it. This is just a scratchy throat and nose cr@p...so far.

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