jonjon Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 On 12/30/2024 at 7:57 PM, katabatic said: We're getting the party started with a WSW out here in the Highlands. Expand Looks like 4-8" potential, and then another round coming Friday to add to it. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 On 12/30/2024 at 8:32 PM, IronTy said: Remember under to all those homeowners to check their outdoor hose spigots and disconnect the hoses before the deep freeze! Expand Don't tell me how to live my life! j/k 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 AI Euro is a respectable snowstorm - this should be all snow Fredericksburg and north. 16 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 On 12/30/2024 at 8:40 PM, jonjon said: Looks like 4-8" potential, and then another round coming Friday to add to it. Expand Going to be deep winter out in your parts jonjon. Enjoy, and be sure to post pictures 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 On 12/30/2024 at 8:59 PM, NorthArlington101 said: AI Euro is a respectable snowstorm - this should be all snow Fredericksburg and north. Expand Counting the normal creep north and boom. Jackpot zone for this guy 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 On 12/30/2024 at 8:59 PM, NorthArlington101 said: AI Euro is a respectable snowstorm - this should be all snow Fredericksburg and north. Expand dang! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 On 12/30/2024 at 8:59 PM, NorthArlington101 said: AI Euro is a respectable snowstorm - this should be all snow Fredericksburg and north. Expand That’s exactly where I wanna see the stripe. That screams good moderate event with no precip issues to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jersey Andrew Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 On 12/30/2024 at 8:59 PM, NorthArlington101 said: AI Euro is a respectable snowstorm - this should be all snow Fredericksburg and north. Expand How do the parameters differ on the AI? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shad Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 that would be a big hit for central Va to DC 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 On 12/30/2024 at 9:15 PM, Jersey Andrew said: How do the parameters differ on the AI? Expand I like to redirect people to the article published by the ECMWF - I'm sure there is also more in-depth literature published somewhere for the real nerds. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 On 12/30/2024 at 8:59 PM, NorthArlington101 said: AI Euro is a respectable snowstorm - this should be all snow Fredericksburg and north. Expand Looks like 5-10” with southern areas getting the higher end of that. I’ll take! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 On 12/30/2024 at 8:59 PM, NorthArlington101 said: AI Euro is a respectable snowstorm - this should be all snow Fredericksburg and north. Expand Just got to stop the south trend though or soon enough it will join get crushed/strung out crew. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 On 12/30/2024 at 8:59 PM, NorthArlington101 said: AI Euro is a respectable snowstorm - this should be all snow Fredericksburg and north. Expand Gross eta - for those of us to the north - that’s how we have gone since 2019 without a warning level event - Jan 2022 when that particular stripe got 6-11 inches we got a dusting. but, sure, hope it goes down just like that, rooting for you all. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 On 12/30/2024 at 9:09 PM, Ji said: dang! Expand I'm in the blue you're in the green up there in Western Loudoun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 On 12/30/2024 at 9:39 PM, North Balti Zen said: Gross eta - for those of us to the north - that’s how we have gone since 2019 without a warning level event - Jan 2022 when that particular stripe got 6-11 inches we got a dusting. but, sure, hope it goes down just like that, rooting for you all. Expand Some of that blue to to south might be rain/mix. Up where you are, colder, better ratios. I wouldn't kick 0.43" out of the bed. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 Nothing of real note so far...so minor differences out west with our s/w just a tiny bit souther. It's early on. And I'm having a nice drink. Let's get some good vibes going gang 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 On 12/30/2024 at 9:39 PM, North Balti Zen said: Gross eta - for those of us to the north - that’s how we have gone since 2019 without a warning level event - Jan 2022 when that particular stripe got 6-11 inches we got a dusting. but, sure, hope it goes down just like that, rooting for you all. Expand Rather have 0”? I’ll take 4-6” off that run any day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 On 12/30/2024 at 10:06 PM, stormtracker said: Nothing of real note so far...so minor differences out west with our s/w just a tiny bit souther. It's early on. And I'm having a nice drink. Let's get some good vibes going gang Expand Looks like the confluence is also west of 12z so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 Still earlier, but notable differences out west vs 12z. trough/sw is a good bit farther south and west 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 On 12/30/2024 at 10:08 PM, TSSN+ said: Looks like the confluence is also west of 12z so far. Expand Agreed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 Some early signs of a more Euro like outcome. 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 @NorthArlington101 AI Euro you posted above I would seriously have to contemplate being content with not getting anything else rest of winter if it meant locking in a good 4-8/5-10 type ordeal. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 Fuck I hate WB lol 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 Differences continue to become more notable out west vs 12z. s/w is diggier (look that term up, it's in the K/U book) 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 On 12/30/2024 at 10:08 PM, stormtracker said: Still earlier, but notable differences out west vs 12z. trough/sw is a good bit farther south and west Expand Can see why too man. HP about 4 mb stronger than 12z. Hopefully that will help downstream some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 This is likely going to be different vs 12z wrt outcome. Just how different is the question. I can't say I hate it so far....but you know we find a way to fuck up something that looks good early on. Yall know me, I'm not trying to be first with a call...just wanna be right. Nothing worse than signing on and people saying omg! great! etc. and then you look at it and you're like...huh?? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 Everything is shifted SW thanks to the bigger block off to our northeast. This “should” be south of 12z, how much remains to be seen. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 That being said, I have no call at this time. It's just way too early to tell. But the H5 map is different. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 Nice banana high at 138. I feel like those are always a checklist item I like to see when I’m tracking an event to cement the cold air. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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