LeesburgWx Posted December 29, 2024 Share Posted December 29, 2024 Who’s staying up for the euro? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted December 29, 2024 Share Posted December 29, 2024 On 12/29/2024 at 5:16 AM, LeesburgWx said: Who’s staying up for the euro? Expand I will. Hbu? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 29, 2024 Share Posted December 29, 2024 Yall really thought a 180+ storm would hold? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted December 29, 2024 Share Posted December 29, 2024 On 12/29/2024 at 5:19 AM, stormtracker said: Yall really thought a 180+ storm would hold? Expand Yes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted December 29, 2024 Share Posted December 29, 2024 I like the pattern. GFS really went stronger -NAO this run. It's consistent - neg NAO over the top, +PNA, -EPO.. these are consistencies that aren't really going to change a lot between now and verification. The only thing to tweak is timing of waves, but for the 2nd day in row, it looks like an active jet during the cold time. It's not like the last few years where we have a -PNA or +EPO and medium/long range models just don't estimate the pattern correctly downstream (too cold). It has upper latitude support. I think the only question is if it will remain dry or become wet. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted December 29, 2024 Share Posted December 29, 2024 On 12/29/2024 at 2:27 AM, psuhoffman said: Feb 1994 Expand I think that’s the one from 94 where 22F at onset and not one flake but lots of sleet and freezing rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted December 29, 2024 Share Posted December 29, 2024 Week 3-4, the CPC went with below normal temps and above normal precip, getting near the coldest time of the year. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted December 29, 2024 Share Posted December 29, 2024 On 12/29/2024 at 5:32 AM, Stormchaserchuck1 said: Week 3-4, the CPC went with below normal temps and above normal precip, getting near the coldest time of the year. Expand The precip colors look like barf. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 29, 2024 Share Posted December 29, 2024 On 12/29/2024 at 5:23 AM, WEATHER53 said: I think that’s the one from 94 where 22F at insetvand not one flake but lots of sleet and freezing rain Expand There were two storms like that in 94. One was in January. From DC north got some snow at the outset but not much, maybe an inch. Was like 18-20 at the start but quickly transitioned to sleet then freezing rain and we got 1-2” of freezing rain. Then it was crazy cold the week after. Roads were frozen solid. Week ended with a little 1-3” clipper then warmed up. The Feb storm was pure sleep the whole storm start to finish. I think some snow might have mixed in north of 70 in MD. Was about 4” of sleet where I was in northern VA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted December 29, 2024 Share Posted December 29, 2024 Euro shows a cutter. I condemn it and it shall be shunned to hell. (fuck) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted December 29, 2024 Share Posted December 29, 2024 Usually ice storms occur in -EPO patterns. -EPO and +NAO. The pattern occurring is -NAO/+PNA dominate, which in January is usually snow or miss (at least DC north). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DarkSharkWX Posted December 29, 2024 Share Posted December 29, 2024 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 29, 2024 Share Posted December 29, 2024 Euro with a bit of snow on the 4th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted December 29, 2024 Share Posted December 29, 2024 WxBell is acting weird so it only lets me go from 252 to 294...BUT... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted December 29, 2024 Share Posted December 29, 2024 Euro getting HECS-y 7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted December 29, 2024 Share Posted December 29, 2024 On 12/29/2024 at 5:49 AM, bncho said: Euro getting HECS-y Expand Dang the Euro comes out fast now! And dang to that map too. Welp...they all have a general idea...which is all we can ask for at this range Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
coastal front Posted December 29, 2024 Share Posted December 29, 2024 Every model finds a way to get to roughly the same outcome differently. Talk about not needing to thread the needle in a pattern like that. Incredible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted December 29, 2024 Share Posted December 29, 2024 That Euro run might be more BECS-y though. 12-36 inches from Texas to Maine. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 29, 2024 Share Posted December 29, 2024 Pissed off this is not improving 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 29, 2024 Share Posted December 29, 2024 On 12/29/2024 at 5:49 AM, bncho said: Euro getting HECS-y Expand Cutter my ass bruh 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 29, 2024 Share Posted December 29, 2024 On 12/29/2024 at 5:55 AM, Ralph Wiggum said: Cutter my ass bruhThe Jan 6 bro 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
coastal front Posted December 29, 2024 Share Posted December 29, 2024 On 12/29/2024 at 5:54 AM, Ji said: Pissed off this is not improving Expand Gfs sheared it out. Let’s split the difference and hit both storms! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 29, 2024 Share Posted December 29, 2024 On 12/29/2024 at 5:56 AM, Ji said: The Jan 6 bro Expand Jan 6 has shown thumper/cutter for days why the sudden surprise? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruin Posted December 29, 2024 Share Posted December 29, 2024 On 12/29/2024 at 6:00 AM, Deck Pic said: euro has a K/U Expand KU? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruin Posted December 29, 2024 Share Posted December 29, 2024 On 12/29/2024 at 5:55 AM, Ralph Wiggum said: Cutter my ass bruh Expand Im so damn tired of cutters shouldnt the cold air suppress it to the south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 29, 2024 Share Posted December 29, 2024 On 12/29/2024 at 5:59 AM, Ralph Wiggum said: Jan 6 has shown thumper/cutter for days why the sudden surprise?Because I thought it would be trending south by now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted December 29, 2024 Share Posted December 29, 2024 On 12/29/2024 at 6:10 AM, Ji said: Because I thought it would be trending south by now Expand Why did you think that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted December 29, 2024 Share Posted December 29, 2024 On 12/29/2024 at 6:14 AM, Maestrobjwa said: Why did you think that? Expand It has a big -NAO block over the top. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted December 29, 2024 Share Posted December 29, 2024 On 12/29/2024 at 6:14 AM, Stormchaserchuck1 said: It has a big -NAO block over the top. Expand Ah okay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted December 29, 2024 Share Posted December 29, 2024 On 12/29/2024 at 6:10 AM, Ji said: Because I thought it would be trending south by now Expand I would let that storm cut if 2-3 days later is a historical storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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