January: Medium/ Long Range: May the Force be with Us....

[CAPE]

The strongest signal on the EPS continues to be around the 8th.

[Kevin Reilly]

I would expect the operational models to move towards last night’s 0z GEFS throughout the day and into the night today bringing more presents.

[CAPE]

46 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

Unfortunately this is all due to one member that shows a BECS - that’s the only snowy member for the 4th. Still plenty of time, though, ho ho ho. 

There is one monster hit, but there are 4 or 5 others with frozen for the MA plus one that's suppressed south. Pretty solid signal on 2 of the last 3 GEFS runs for a potential D9-10 event.

[Weather Will]

The holiday season is about hope.  Great quote I would like to share...hopefully we get some luck the first couple weeks of January.  Best wishes to you and yours....

[bncho]

1 hour ago, NorthArlington101 said:

Unfortunately this is all due to one member that shows a BECS - that’s the only snowy member for the 4th. Still plenty of time, though, ho ho ho. 

Genuine Question:
What's a BECS?

[Terpeast]

Just now, bncho said:

Genuine Question:
What's a BECS?

Biblical east coast storm. The elite class of em. 1996, first 2010 storm, and 2016

[Scarlet Pimpernel]

9 minutes ago, Terpeast said:

Biblical east coast storm. The elite class of em. 1996, first 2010 storm, and 2016

True story...for that first 2010 storm (Feb. 5-6), I purposely picked up some Becks beer (yeah, I know, not the best) to enjoy during that event!  Becks for the BECS!!! 

[SnowenOutThere]

1 hour ago, NorthArlington101 said:

Unfortunately this is all due to one member that shows a BECS - that’s the only snowy member for the 4th. Still plenty of time, though, ho ho ho. 

And you’re not gonna post that member for us to see?

[NorthArlington101]

3 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said:

And you’re not gonna post that member for us to see?

[ravensrule]

1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said:

PSU fringed. It can’t be real. 

[Kevin Reilly]

49 minutes ago, Terpeast said:

Biblical east coast storm. The elite class of em. 1996, first 2010 storm, and 2016

Does February 11th 1983 count?

[Kevin Reilly]

8 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

It’s a little too far south this is coming 75 miles further north. 

[wasnow215]

22 minutes ago, Kevin Reilly said:

Does February 11th 1983 count?

Yes!-I was living in inland South Jersey then and that was epic!

[TSSN+]

Merry Christmas you filthy snow deranged animals 

[Benjamn3]

31 minutes ago, Kevin Reilly said:

It’s a little too far south this is coming 75 miles further north. 

Naaaa knock it about 75 miles to the South West

[WEATHER53]

2 hours ago, Chris78 said:

Looks like a good track. Just marginal temps.

200 hours out so it won't looks that way in 6 hours anyway lol.

It’s an Atlanta traversed low. If that holds it looking like an A and not all the jumping around that non productive Bs go thru

[bncho]

3 hours ago, Chris78 said:

Looks like a good track. Just marginal temps.

200 hours out so it won't looks that way in 6 hours anyway lol.

Pivotal says there'll be mainly snow. Also, be glad - 200hrs out is MUCH better than 384hrs.

[adelphi_sky]

12 hours ago, LeesburgWx said:

DT started barking now: we know what that means

The guy who cried WOOF!

[87storms]

GFS lost the January 3rd system and looks more like the Euro now.  We'll see how things pan out thereafter.  Might take a few a days to reload the pattern after this next mild stretch, which lines up with the current ensembles and trough-y look by January 8ish.

[Ralph Wiggum]

16 minutes ago, 87storms said:

GFS lost the January 3rd system and looks more like the Euro now.  We'll see how things pan out thereafter.  Might take a few a days to reload the pattern after this next mild stretch, which lines up with the current ensembles and trough-y look by January 8ish.

GFS is loading up....good pattern showing on ops now as well.  Buckle up.

[CAPE]

20 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

GFS is loading up....good pattern showing on ops now as well.  Buckle up.

Snowstorm on the 8th then the avocado drops.

[Ralph Wiggum]

46 minutes ago, CAPE said:

Snowstorm on the 8th then the avocado drops.

Imagine that....snowpack followed by the deep freeze. This evolution makes sense wrt the progression. 

[Eskimo Joe]

3 hours ago, bncho said:

Genuine Question:
What's a BECS?

Biblical East Coast Snowstorm. Essentially a Top 5 snowfall for your location.

[dailylurker]

11 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

Biblical East Coast Snowstorm. Essentially a Top 5 snowfall for your location.

The elite 

GOAT Storm= February 2010 and 1928 Knickerbocker storm

 

[Eskimo Joe]

1 minute ago, dailylurker said:

The elite 

GOAT Storm= February 2010 and 1928 Knickerbocker storm

 

My order:

1.) Blizzard of 1996

2.) Blizzard of 1993

3.) December 2009

4.) Feb 2010 #2

5.) Feb 2020 #1

[Maestrobjwa]

2 minutes ago, dailylurker said:

The elite 

GOAT Storm= February 2010 and 1928 Knickerbocker storm

 

*1922 Knickerbocker storm 

[dailylurker]

Just now, Maestrobjwa said:

*1922 Knickerbocker storm 

Thanks lol. I was close lol. That was an epic storm. My county AA county got nuked by that storm. I can't imagine. 

[bncho]

It's good that we have a good pattern upcoming for January. It stops everybody from fighting. We aren't arguing about superficial things. We're having a friendly discussion of what were the best snowstorms. If we get lucky we could get a MECS!
 

Euro AI shows something like a Mid-Atlantic slider. Temperatures shouldn't be an issue.

[bncho]

3 minutes ago, dailylurker said:

Thanks lol. I was close lol. That was an epic storm. My county AA county got nuked by that storm. I can't imagine. 

The only time DCA got above 17.8 inches. That's how it was truly epic.

[Eskimo Joe]