Weather Will Posted Saturday at 04:57 PM Share Posted Saturday at 04:57 PM Will January 2025 deliver?!!!! WB 0Z 20th EPS extended for January 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted Saturday at 05:08 PM Share Posted Saturday at 05:08 PM Looong range GFS cooks up a storm on my personal target days (Jan 4-6) that verbatim slides south and doesn’t seem too far from making the New Years storm an option too. Rooting for an active first week of 2025. 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted Saturday at 05:52 PM Share Posted Saturday at 05:52 PM well defined trend on the GEFS to develop the AK ridge sooner and remove the trough from the SW 14 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted Saturday at 05:52 PM Share Posted Saturday at 05:52 PM Miller B bomb just misses right after NY but the followup system around the 6th just misses a full phase beast. Going to be fun tracking soon! 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted Saturday at 05:55 PM Share Posted Saturday at 05:55 PM Nina meets Nino. Active NS and juicy STJ, little reflection of a SER to keep things from sliding: 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted Saturday at 05:58 PM Share Posted Saturday at 05:58 PM It's nice to see this phasing at 336 on the latest GFS. Ralph beat me to it a little but I was on the way! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted Saturday at 06:00 PM Share Posted Saturday at 06:00 PM PDO is now “only” -1 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted Saturday at 06:04 PM Share Posted Saturday at 06:04 PM 3 minutes ago, Terpeast said: PDO is now “only” -1 “only” -1 is MUCH better than “only” -3. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted Saturday at 06:06 PM Share Posted Saturday at 06:06 PM 12z GFS reminds me a lil bit of the Jan 3, 2022 event. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowLover22 Posted Saturday at 06:20 PM Share Posted Saturday at 06:20 PM 20 minutes ago, Terpeast said: PDO is now “only” -1 I was hoping we get there by Jan 1st so this is better than I expected. I know PSU said getting above that number puts the better analogs in play. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted Saturday at 06:30 PM Share Posted Saturday at 06:30 PM EPS is actually trending better, somehow 14 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted Saturday at 06:36 PM Share Posted Saturday at 06:36 PM 4 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: EPS is actually trending better, somehow Somebody should create a thread for the Jan 4-6, 2025 blizzard right now. We can manifest it into existence. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted Saturday at 06:38 PM Share Posted Saturday at 06:38 PM 2 minutes ago, bncho said: Somebody should create a thread for the Jan 4-6, 2025 blizzard right now. We can manifest it into existence. You can thank me for that. You can call this the "Wayne Dyer Storm" 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted Saturday at 06:43 PM Share Posted Saturday at 06:43 PM 12 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: EPS is actually trending better, somehow Trough axis shifting West, to be less off the shore. Not bad 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted Saturday at 07:14 PM Share Posted Saturday at 07:14 PM 29 minutes ago, cbmclean said: Trough axis shifting West, to be less off the shore. Not bad 29 minutes ago, cbmclean said: Trough axis shifting West, to be less off the shore. Not bad Lets hope that trend keeps shifting west a few more hundred miles. . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted Saturday at 08:23 PM Share Posted Saturday at 08:23 PM Nina meets Nino. Active NS and juicy STJ, little reflection of a SER to keep things from sliding:I need snow to meet grass or none of this matters 3 1 5 5 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted Saturday at 08:28 PM Share Posted Saturday at 08:28 PM 2 hours ago, Terpeast said: PDO is now “only” -1 That was my threshold that would make a better outcome “possible”. If you look at all the anomalous snowy cold enso years some are slightly negative, but none are in that -2 or -3 range we were hanging out in. At the time I said it I didn’t think there was much chance we would get anywhere near neutral by January but here we are. 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted Saturday at 08:44 PM Share Posted Saturday at 08:44 PM 2 hours ago, cbmclean said: Trough axis shifting West, to be less off the shore. Not bad That is what we lacked yesterday the storm track was too far east for us. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted Saturday at 08:51 PM Share Posted Saturday at 08:51 PM 26 minutes ago, Ji said: I need snow to meet grass or none of this matters And no blade shall be visible. LIght snow is acceptable in December. In January, we up the ante. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted Saturday at 08:54 PM Share Posted Saturday at 08:54 PM MJO rmm forecasts seem to be trending away from an immediate reload in 4, extending time outside of the warm phases to about 3 weeks instead of 2. I’ll check the hollmover charts later, too 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted Saturday at 09:02 PM Author Share Posted Saturday at 09:02 PM I know this is a control run, but the latest WB EPS extended run is the best I have seen all winter so far.... not only for the amount over us but that we are not on the southern edge. 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted Saturday at 09:12 PM Share Posted Saturday at 09:12 PM 10 minutes ago, Weather Will said: I know this is a control run, but the latest WB EPS extended run is the best I have seen all winter so far.... not only for the amount over us but that we are not on the southern edge. 1996 redux incoming lol. 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted Saturday at 09:25 PM Share Posted Saturday at 09:25 PM 19 minutes ago, Weather Will said: I know this is a control run, but the latest WB EPS extended run is the best I have seen all winter so far.... not only for the amount over us but that we are not on the southern edge. That’s more than double the amount of the annual record for Savannah, GA. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted Saturday at 09:48 PM Share Posted Saturday at 09:48 PM 22 minutes ago, WVclimo said: That’s more than double the amount of the annual record for Savannah, GA. But, how much for Short Pump? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted Saturday at 09:56 PM Share Posted Saturday at 09:56 PM 53 minutes ago, Weather Will said: I know this is a control run, but the latest WB EPS extended run is the best I have seen all winter so far.... not only for the amount over us but that we are not on the southern edge. Soooo…. When was the last time this type of map worked out??? 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted Saturday at 10:25 PM Share Posted Saturday at 10:25 PM funny thing is JB went warm and snowless this winter and this winter actually has a chance to produce something 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted Saturday at 10:25 PM Share Posted Saturday at 10:25 PM 29 minutes ago, Kevin Reilly said: Soooo…. When was the last time this type of map worked out??? 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted Saturday at 10:54 PM Share Posted Saturday at 10:54 PM 1 hour ago, Weather Will said: I know this is a control run, but the latest WB EPS extended run is the best I have seen all winter so far.... not only for the amount over us but that we are not on the southern edge. Better chance GA/SC see snow before we do lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted Saturday at 11:23 PM Share Posted Saturday at 11:23 PM 18z says “you will wait”. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hstorm Posted Saturday at 11:37 PM Share Posted Saturday at 11:37 PM 1 hour ago, Ji said: 2014 BC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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