Region Wide Christmas Eve Clipper Potential

[Damage In Tolland]

7 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Looks paltry for SNE. It has a little more QPF than other guidance but we’re still talking under a tenth. 

That’s plenty to squeeze out an inch or so of arctic  fluff 

[ORH_wxman]

18 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

That’s plenty to squeeze out an inch or so of arctic  fluff 

I guess maybe. I don’t really make a distinction between a coating and an inch at 20 or 25 to 1 ratios…other than statistics on the seasonal snow totals. It could easily just dry out and be a couple hundredths. 
 

If we were getting widespread 0.1-0.2” QPF it would be more interesting. 

[dryslot]

I'd rather have something more meaty then sublimating fluff.

[Damage In Tolland]

1 minute ago, dryslot said:

I'd rather have something more meaty then sublimating fluff.

We’re trying to get you folks with bare ground a white Christmas 

[CoastalWx]

We patchy coating for Christmas. 

[dryslot]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

We’re trying to get you folks with bare ground a white Christmas 

Thanks, I will see some, Looks like a .10-.20 of fluff, Couple inches for now.

[CoastalWx]

3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

We’re trying to get you folks with bare ground a white Christmas 

Looks like a non event 

[Damage In Tolland]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

Looks like a non event 

Enjoy your last second miracle 

[Hazey]

Some subtle signs up here that I may put the inverted trough fraud five myth to the test. Models hinting with a weenie band of heavy snow close to me on Christmas Eve/Day. Don’t really need it. Just some flakes in the air will be fine.

[CoastalWx]

3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Enjoy your last second miracle 

Come on Kev.  Maybe a dusting? 

[40/70 Benchmark]

13 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

We patchy coating for Christmas. 

We 7/10 split Xmas in classic Methuen style...too far north, then south.

[Damage In Tolland]

12 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Come on Kev.  Maybe a dusting? 

Honestly man. I don’t see why this doesn’t give most an inch in Euro , Reggie, Icon , HRRR right 

[40/70 Benchmark]

11 minutes ago, Hazey said:

Some subtle signs up here that I may put the inverted trough fraud five myth to the test. Models hinting with a weenie band of heavy snow close to me on Christmas Eve/Day. Don’t really need it. Just some flakes in the air will be fine.

That particular phenomenon is more viable at your latitude.

[dryslot]

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, dryslot said:

I'd take that...at least an inch, maybe 2" with good ratios...

[HoarfrostHubb]

3 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Hold me tight.  

[dryslot]

2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I'd take that...at least an inch, maybe 2" with good ratios...

This should be pretty high ratio, Kuchie map is probably a better fit for this.

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, dryslot said:

This should be pretty high ratio, Kuchie map is probably a better fit for this.

Keep in mind that I'm not expecting that yet....just speaking of that model run. I won't be surprised if its a flurry or broken overcast.

[moneypitmike]

8 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Festivus for Pit2.

[das]

32 minutes ago, dryslot said:

I'd rather have something more meaty then sublimating fluff.

This. My 4.1 inches of fluff is now 2 inches even though it has been cloudy all day with diamond dust falling for hours. Hopefully the clipper produces up here a little bit. 

[Great Snow 1717]

17 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

We 7/10 split Xmas in classic Methuen style...too far north, then south.

if Winter was like  golf we'd be doing great because it is going to be another under par month for snowfall...

[dryslot]

1 minute ago, das said:

This. My 4.1 inches of fluff is now 2 inches even though it has been cloudy all day with diamond dust falling for hours. Hopefully the clipper produces up here a little bit. 

Can clean it up with a leaf blower.

[mcap77]

I would take and inch or two here. Nothing wrong with a refresher in time for Xmas morning. It's been a good December here. Consistent snow cover since Thanksgiving! 

[DavisStraight]

1 hour ago, Hazey said:

Some subtle signs up here that I may put the inverted trough fraud five myth to the test. Models hinting with a weenie band of heavy snow close to me on Christmas Eve/Day. Don’t really need it. Just some flakes in the air will be fine.

Take every inch you can get

[DavisStraight]

An inch or two with cold air is ten times better than the last few Christmases.

[mreaves]

1 hour ago, dryslot said:

Can clean it up with a leaf blower.

Or with a son using a snow scoop. 

[dryslot]

Little more qpf on the 18z GFS and a bit for some south too.

[Ginx snewx]

3 hours ago, ORH_wxman said:

I guess maybe. I don’t really make a distinction between a coating and an inch at 20 or 25 to 1 ratios…other than statistics on the seasonal snow totals. It could easily just dry out and be a couple hundredths. 
 

If we were getting widespread 0.1-0.2” QPF it would be more interesting. 

Not a bad sounding for an hour thump. Probably an inch. Doesn't look dry. 18Z GFS

[CoastalWx]

6 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Not a bad sounding for an hour thump. Probably an inch. Doesn't look dry. 18Z GFS

Very little lift though. Maybe someone gets lucky on SW flow for half inch to inch? 

[moneypitmike]

3 hours ago, DavisStraight said:

Anything with cold air is ten times better than the last few Christmases.