Region Wide Christmas Eve Clipper Potential

[WxWatcher007]

There’s been a varying signal for some system to move into New England around Christmas for several days. The signal is better defined inside 84 hours now, with a clipper now likely to cross the region Christmas Eve rather than Christmas. 

The trend has been a slightly sharper system, with the possibility of region wide light snow. The best qpf looks focused in CNE and NNE. 

 

 

With an excellent antecedent airmass (Euro colder than GFS) and a little moisture, many could see measurable snow right before the Christmas holiday. Perhaps enough for an official white Christmas. 

Discuss. 

[Damage In Tolland]

Ensembles have solid probs of 1-2” in SNE . Timing seems to have sped up some with it coming in the wee hours of Monday night into Tuesday.

[wokeupthisam]

They call it a Clipper… clipper, faster than lightning,

Few storms you see, are faster than he,

And we know the Clipper’s just a vort in the dry air,

Flying by here, on it’s way to the sea

Snow lovers hope each Clipper they see,

Will stall and grab moisture, when it reaches the sea

But that trick’s a rare one, and much more likely

No one will see, more than a coating to three.

[rclab]

  On 12/21/2024 at 1:15 PM, wokeupthisam said:

They call it a Clipper… clipper, faster than lightning,

Few storms you see, are faster than he,

And we know the Clipper’s just a vort in the dry air,

Flying by here, on it’s way to the sea

Snow lovers hope each Clipper they see,

Will stall and grab moisture, when it reaches the sea

But that trick’s a rare one, and much more likely

No one will see, more than a coating to three.

Expand  

Poetic license approved, nicely done. As always…..

 

[HoarfrostHubb]

  On 12/21/2024 at 1:06 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

Ensembles have solid probs of 1-2” in SNE . Timing seems to have sped up some with it coming in the wee hours of Monday night into Tuesday.

Expand  

Nice little refresher

[WinterWolf]

  On 12/21/2024 at 1:15 PM, wokeupthisam said:

They call it a Clipper… clipper, faster than lightning,

Few storms you see, are faster than he,

And we know the Clipper’s just a vort in the dry air,

Flying by here, on it’s way to the sea

Snow lovers hope each Clipper they see,

Will stall and grab moisture, when it reaches the sea

But that trick’s a rare one, and much more likely

No one will see, more than a coating to three.

Expand  

“More than a coating of 1-3” might have flowed a bit better in that last line; but excellent nonetheless. 

[dendrite]

  On 12/21/2024 at 1:15 PM, wokeupthisam said:

They call it a Clipper… clipper, faster than lightning,

Few storms you see, are faster than he,

And we know the Clipper’s just a vort in the dry air,

Flying by here, on it’s way to the sea

Snow lovers hope each Clipper they see,

Will stall and grab moisture, when it reaches the sea

But that trick’s a rare one, and much more likely

No one will see, more than a coating to three.

Expand  

[dendrite]

Looks more like a NNE event given the track and forcing…would like to see it come south more. It’s more of a glorified quick cold front in SNE on the gfs and ec right now.

[Damage In Tolland]

  On 12/21/2024 at 2:05 PM, dendrite said:

Looks more like a NNE event given the track and forcing…would like to see it come south more. It’s more of a glorified quick cold front in SNE on the gfs and ec right now.

Expand  

Check ensembles 

[dendrite]

  On 12/21/2024 at 2:08 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

Check ensembles 

Expand  

It’s like 72hrs out. You’re way south of the best snows.

[Damage In Tolland]

  On 12/21/2024 at 2:10 PM, dendrite said:

It’s like 72hrs out. You’re way south of the best snows.

Expand  

Yeah no one saying SNE is in best snow area. Just saying 1-2” is very possible 

[dendrite]

  On 12/21/2024 at 2:32 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

Yeah no one saying SNE is in best snow area. Just saying 1-2” is very possible 

Expand  

I’ll take under 2” except maybe the Berks. You’ll probably have to ratio your way to 1” EOR, but hopefully there’s at least a wintry appeal for all on Xmas eve. 

[Damage In Tolland]

  On 12/21/2024 at 2:35 PM, dendrite said:

I’ll take under 2” except maybe the Berks. You’ll probably have to ratio your way to 1” EOR, but hopefully there’s at least a wintry appeal for all on Xmas eve. 

Expand  

The snow OTG now for all won’t go anywhere. It’s been a long long time of regional white Xmas. As our president DJT says.. many, many years 

[dryslot]

Looks like 1-3" up here, Maybe we can cover the bare ground.

[WxWatcher007]

  On 12/21/2024 at 2:05 PM, dendrite said:

Looks more like a NNE event given the track and forcing…would like to see it come south more. It’s more of a glorified quick cold front in SNE on the gfs and ec right now.

Expand  

Track has seemed pretty consistent the last few days but maybe we can get a modest south/more juicy trend going.

[DJln491]

  On 12/21/2024 at 2:53 PM, WxWatcher007 said:

Track has seemed pretty consistent the last few days but maybe we can get a modest south/more juicy trend going.

Expand  

maybe some last minute model chaos to shake things up

[PWMan]

  On 12/21/2024 at 2:53 PM, WxWatcher007 said:

Track has seemed pretty consistent the last few days but maybe we can get a modest south/more juicy trend going.

Expand  

No thanks. SNE has theirs. 

The guidance on this has been consistent, including both the track and the lack of moisture. I'm just hoping for some mood flakes and maybe a coating.

[wx2fish]

Nam looks very uninspiring. Would be nice if we could get this up to a 1/10" or more leq for all, but thay might be tough. 

[WxWatcher007]

  On 12/21/2024 at 2:58 PM, PWMan said:

No thanks. SNE has theirs. 

The guidance on this has been consistent, including both the track and the lack of moisture. I'm just hoping for some mood flakes and maybe a coating.

Expand  

Let’s all get in on the fun for once lol. It’s a shame this couldn’t pop off the Delmarva and blow up to give us all something more significant. 

[dryslot]

Trajectory of this one thru the delmarva would yield 0 snow up here as it heads ENE, Pretty dry clipper with not a whole lot of moisture to work with.

[Torch Tiger]

mostly dry frontal passage as Wiz mentioned days ago

[wx2fish]

  On 12/21/2024 at 3:01 PM, wx2fish said:

Nam looks very uninspiring. Would be nice if we could get this up to a 1/10" or more leq for all, but thay might be tough. 

Expand  

I'd sign for the rgem though

[WinterWolf]

  On 12/21/2024 at 3:21 PM, wx2fish said:

I'd sign for the rgem though

Expand  

Probably more for CNE/NNE though right? 

[dryslot]

Nothing south of CNE on that run.

[WinterWolf]

  On 12/21/2024 at 3:35 PM, dryslot said:

Nothing south of CNE on that run.

Expand  

Yup…figured that. 

[WxWatcher007]

  On 12/21/2024 at 3:32 PM, WinterWolf said:

Probably more for CNE/NNE though right? 

Expand  

 

  On 12/21/2024 at 3:35 PM, dryslot said:

Nothing south of CNE on that run.

Expand  

Yeah pretty dry for us. We’d need this a little more south to be confident of something halfway decent here. 

[wx2fish]

  On 12/21/2024 at 3:32 PM, WinterWolf said:

Probably more for CNE/NNE though right? 

Expand  

Yeah, looking at it from my locale in SNH 

[mahk_webstah]

  On 12/21/2024 at 3:09 PM, dryslot said:

Trajectory of this one thru the delmarva would yield 0 snow up here as it heads ENE, Pretty dry clipper with not a whole lot of moisture to work with.

Expand  

I thought this was a northern New England deal?

[dryslot]

  On 12/21/2024 at 3:49 PM, mahk_webstah said:

I thought this was a northern New England deal?

Expand  

It is.

[Damage In Tolland]

  On 12/21/2024 at 3:49 PM, mahk_webstah said:

I thought this was a northern New England deal?

Expand  

For highest amounts it is . Whole region snows though