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OBS for NYC CP first measurable minor snowfall? 11A Fri 12/20-11A 12/21, embedded with surrounding area periodic minor accumulative snow

wdrag

By wdrag,
in New York City Metro

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donsutherland1
donsutherland1

Four photos from a wonderful way to start the winter solstice. As @MJO812 has noted, all snow is good snow.

wdrag
wdrag

No guarantees on what will happen. Modeling showa a pair of closely following short waves diving southeast toward the mid Atlantic coast, sharpening the mid level trough.  While too far offshore for a

Nibor
Nibor

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MJO812

MJO812

Posted
Posted
7 minutes ago, Bxstormwatcher360 said:

We are the only ones harping on that trend, they might be playing catchup in a few. Precip now entering eastern l.i off the ocean.

Hopefully but this still looks like our first snowfall of the season. 

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jm1220

jm1220

Posted
Posted
9 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

There is bust potential with every storm. I prayed last night.

Take a couple days off and go to Boston. They’ll probably get a few inches and like you said, you hang out and post in the NE forum more anyway. Maybe put in an application for the Boston PD. 

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Rjay

Rjay

Posted
Posted
1 hour ago, Bxstormwatcher360 said:

Another tick west for both the nam and gfs 6z suites. Nyc east gets into the main precip shield for a bit now,followed by the ivt. Also of note is the precip running up the delmarva coast currently.:snowing:

Looks great 

 

snod-imp.us_ne.png

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Rjay

Rjay

Posted
Posted
4 minutes ago, Bxstormwatcher360 said:

Its all good..a cup of coffee will fix that. But yeah this look will not be the final result,theres no snow where the ivt would be modeled either. :unsure:

 

1 minute ago, MJO812 said:

Models never busted ? We will watch. 

Are you guys cousins?

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MJO812

MJO812

Posted
Posted
12 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

Might actually be better in Philly for this vs NYC if the trend is right for the IVT stuff. If I get more than a coating I’ll be thrilled. That CT shaft hole doesn’t want to move. 

Agree but let's hope the usual trend with the norluns are true that they end up more north .

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Bxstormwatcher360

Bxstormwatcher360

Posted
Posted
9 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Maybe or we might just smart posters who know what's going on with the models 

I mean its nowcasting time anyway, if you look up rn..its a frighin snow sky. Its dark n grey and it feels like a storm is coming. I just watch it evolve!!. Today i can actually enjoy some snow right before christmas. No need for debbie downers of which there are many on here. :gun_bandana:

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NorthShoreWx

NorthShoreWx

Posted
Posted
2 hours ago, Bxstormwatcher360 said:

 

Your right but i mentioned that with l.i in mind. The easterly fetch is bringing in the mousture for eastern areas which wasnt mentioned at all.

The much maligned 3k NAM has been showing that light precip on an easterly flow for 2 days.

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