OBS for NYC CP first measurable minor snowfall? 11A Fri 12/20-11A 12/21, embedded with surrounding area periodic minor accumulative snow

[MJO812]

  On 12/20/2024 at 11:38 AM, Bxstormwatcher360 said:

There's bust potential with this forecast. Who gets the ct river valley screwzone is the real question? 

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There is bust potential with every storm. I prayed last night.

[Bxstormwatcher360]

  On 12/20/2024 at 11:42 AM, MJO812 said:

I like how the 6z models shifted slightly more west. 

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We are the only ones harping on that trend, they might be playing catchup in a few. Precip now entering eastern l.i off the ocean.

[sussexcountyobs]

Starting to get some light snow showers falling in Dumont, NJ right now in Bergen county. 

[MJO812]

  On 12/20/2024 at 11:47 AM, Bxstormwatcher360 said:

We are the only ones harping on that trend, they might be playing catchup in a few. Precip now entering eastern l.i off the ocean.

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Hopefully but this still looks like our first snowfall of the season. 

[Bxstormwatcher360]

  On 12/20/2024 at 11:48 AM, sussexcountyobs said:

Starting to get some light snow showers falling in Dumont, NJ right now in Bergen county. 

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The atmosphere is juiced already,whatever echos pop up produce falling precip it seems. Thank the atlantic ocean for that. 

[jm1220]

  On 12/20/2024 at 11:47 AM, MJO812 said:

There is bust potential with every storm. I prayed last night.

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Take a couple days off and go to Boston. They’ll probably get a few inches and like you said, you hang out and post in the NE forum more anyway. Maybe put in an application for the Boston PD. 

[North and West]

  On 12/20/2024 at 11:47 AM, MJO812 said:

There is bust potential with every storm. I prayed last night.

to the snowman guy?


.

[Bxstormwatcher360]

  On 12/20/2024 at 12:04 PM, North and West said:

to the snowman guy?


.

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Snowman is actually the raingod on this forum so i doubt he prayed to him. 

[Rjay]

  On 12/20/2024 at 10:13 AM, Bxstormwatcher360 said:

Another tick west for both the nam and gfs 6z suites. Nyc east gets into the main precip shield for a bit now,followed by the ivt. Also of note is the precip running up the delmarva coast currently.

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Looks great 

 

[jm1220]

Might actually be better in Philly for this vs NYC if the trend is right for the IVT stuff. If I get more than a coating I’ll be thrilled. That CT shaft hole doesn’t want to move. 

[Bxstormwatcher360]

  On 12/20/2024 at 12:11 PM, Rjay said:

Looks great 

 

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Thats the 0z..your only 6 hours off amigo. 

[Rjay]

  On 12/20/2024 at 12:17 PM, Bxstormwatcher360 said:

Thats the 0z..your only 6 hours off amigo. 

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I'm sorry you are correct

 

 

[Bxstormwatcher360]

  On 12/20/2024 at 12:21 PM, Rjay said:

I'm sorry you are correct

 

 

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Its all good..a cup of coffee will fix that. But yeah this look will not be the final result,theres no snow where the ivt would be modeled either. 

[MJO812]

  On 12/20/2024 at 12:11 PM, Rjay said:

Looks great 

 

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Models never busted ? We will watch. 

[Rjay]

  On 12/20/2024 at 12:27 PM, Bxstormwatcher360 said:

Its all good..a cup of coffee will fix that. But yeah this look will not be the final result,theres no snow where the ivt would be modeled either. 

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  On 12/20/2024 at 12:29 PM, MJO812 said:

Models never busted ? We will watch. 

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Are you guys cousins?

[MJO812]

  On 12/20/2024 at 12:17 PM, jm1220 said:

Might actually be better in Philly for this vs NYC if the trend is right for the IVT stuff. If I get more than a coating I’ll be thrilled. That CT shaft hole doesn’t want to move. 

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Agree but let's hope the usual trend with the norluns are true that they end up more north .

[MJO812]

  On 12/20/2024 at 12:31 PM, Rjay said:

 

Are you guys cousins?

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Maybe or we might just smart posters who know what's going on with the models 

[Bxstormwatcher360]

  On 12/20/2024 at 12:31 PM, Rjay said:

 

Are you guys cousins?

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Maybe but i am a winter born human being,so i root for snow any day of the week in winter. which obviously doesnt happen much. 

[Bxstormwatcher360]

  On 12/20/2024 at 12:33 PM, MJO812 said:

Maybe or we might just smart posters who know what's going on with the models 

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I mean its nowcasting time anyway, if you look up rn..its a frighin snow sky. Its dark n grey and it feels like a storm is coming. I just watch it evolve!!. Today i can actually enjoy some snow right before christmas. No need for debbie downers of which there are many on here. 

[Snowlover11]

dustings for all

[MJO812]

Feels and smells like snow outside

[Bxstormwatcher360]

The radar is starting to really pick up now. Alot of low level moisture with the onshore flow. Some good banding should start to develop soon.

[TJW014]

Radar is filling in over me. Just a light drizzle at the moment. Definitely has that "it's going to snow" feel in the air.

Currently sitting at 45, but should be gradually dropping as the day progresses.

[Bxstormwatcher360]

34/26f here at the cave. Snow smell in the air. 

[MJO812]

Sref!

[Bxstormwatcher360]

  On 12/20/2024 at 1:43 PM, MJO812 said:

Sref!

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Shhhh don't tell nobody!!..they still playing catch up.

[NorthShoreWx]

  On 12/20/2024 at 11:24 AM, Bxstormwatcher360 said:

 

Your right but i mentioned that with l.i in mind. The easterly fetch is bringing in the mousture for eastern areas which wasnt mentioned at all.

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The much maligned 3k NAM has been showing that light precip on an easterly flow for 2 days.

[MJO812]

Nam !

[Bxstormwatcher360]

  On 12/20/2024 at 1:47 PM, NorthShoreWx said:

The much maligned 3k NAM has been showing that for 2 days.

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The nam so far is winning. Fwiw. Lol

[NorthShoreWx]

  On 12/20/2024 at 1:50 PM, Bxstormwatcher360 said:

The nam so far is winning. Fwiw. Lol

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I wouldn't go that far, but it is still useful.