OBS for NYC CP first measurable minor snowfall? 11A Fri 12/20-11A 12/21, embedded with surrounding area periodic minor accumulative snow

[MJO812]

8 minutes ago, Bxstormwatcher360 said:

There's bust potential with this forecast. Who gets the ct river valley screwzone is the real question? 

There is bust potential with every storm. I prayed last night.

[Bxstormwatcher360]

Just now, MJO812 said:

I like how the 6z models shifted slightly more west. 

We are the only ones harping on that trend, they might be playing catchup in a few. Precip now entering eastern l.i off the ocean.

[sussexcountyobs]

Starting to get some light snow showers falling in Dumont, NJ right now in Bergen county. 

[MJO812]

7 minutes ago, Bxstormwatcher360 said:

We are the only ones harping on that trend, they might be playing catchup in a few. Precip now entering eastern l.i off the ocean.

Hopefully but this still looks like our first snowfall of the season. 

[Bxstormwatcher360]

5 minutes ago, sussexcountyobs said:

Starting to get some light snow showers falling in Dumont, NJ right now in Bergen county. 

The atmosphere is juiced already,whatever echos pop up produce falling precip it seems. Thank the atlantic ocean for that. 

[jm1220]

9 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

There is bust potential with every storm. I prayed last night.

Take a couple days off and go to Boston. They’ll probably get a few inches and like you said, you hang out and post in the NE forum more anyway. Maybe put in an application for the Boston PD. 

[North and West]

There is bust potential with every storm. I prayed last night.

to the snowman guy?


.

[Bxstormwatcher360]

Just now, North and West said:

to the snowman guy?


.

Snowman is actually the raingod on this forum so i doubt he prayed to him. 

[Rjay]

1 hour ago, Bxstormwatcher360 said:

Another tick west for both the nam and gfs 6z suites. Nyc east gets into the main precip shield for a bit now,followed by the ivt. Also of note is the precip running up the delmarva coast currently.

Looks great 

 

[jm1220]

Might actually be better in Philly for this vs NYC if the trend is right for the IVT stuff. If I get more than a coating I’ll be thrilled. That CT shaft hole doesn’t want to move. 

[Bxstormwatcher360]

4 minutes ago, Rjay said:

Looks great 

 

Thats the 0z..your only 6 hours off amigo. 

[Rjay]

3 minutes ago, Bxstormwatcher360 said:

Thats the 0z..your only 6 hours off amigo. 

I'm sorry you are correct

 

 

[Bxstormwatcher360]

4 minutes ago, Rjay said:

I'm sorry you are correct

 

 

Its all good..a cup of coffee will fix that. But yeah this look will not be the final result,theres no snow where the ivt would be modeled either. 

[MJO812]

17 minutes ago, Rjay said:

Looks great 

 

Models never busted ? We will watch. 

[Rjay]

4 minutes ago, Bxstormwatcher360 said:

Its all good..a cup of coffee will fix that. But yeah this look will not be the final result,theres no snow where the ivt would be modeled either. 

 

1 minute ago, MJO812 said:

Models never busted ? We will watch. 

Are you guys cousins?

[MJO812]

12 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

Might actually be better in Philly for this vs NYC if the trend is right for the IVT stuff. If I get more than a coating I’ll be thrilled. That CT shaft hole doesn’t want to move. 

Agree but let's hope the usual trend with the norluns are true that they end up more north .

[MJO812]

1 minute ago, Rjay said:

 

Are you guys cousins?

Maybe or we might just smart posters who know what's going on with the models 

[Bxstormwatcher360]

Just now, Rjay said:

 

Are you guys cousins?

Maybe but i am a winter born human being,so i root for snow any day of the week in winter. which obviously doesnt happen much. 

[Bxstormwatcher360]

9 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Maybe or we might just smart posters who know what's going on with the models 

I mean its nowcasting time anyway, if you look up rn..its a frighin snow sky. Its dark n grey and it feels like a storm is coming. I just watch it evolve!!. Today i can actually enjoy some snow right before christmas. No need for debbie downers of which there are many on here. 

[Snowlover11]

dustings for all

[MJO812]

Feels and smells like snow outside

[Bxstormwatcher360]

The radar is starting to really pick up now. Alot of low level moisture with the onshore flow. Some good banding should start to develop soon.

[TJW014]

Radar is filling in over me. Just a light drizzle at the moment. Definitely has that "it's going to snow" feel in the air.

Currently sitting at 45, but should be gradually dropping as the day progresses.

[Bxstormwatcher360]

34/26f here at the cave. Snow smell in the air. 

[MJO812]

Sref!

[Bxstormwatcher360]

2 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Sref!

Shhhh don't tell nobody!!..they still playing catch up.

[NorthShoreWx]

2 hours ago, Bxstormwatcher360 said:

 

Your right but i mentioned that with l.i in mind. The easterly fetch is bringing in the mousture for eastern areas which wasnt mentioned at all.

The much maligned 3k NAM has been showing that light precip on an easterly flow for 2 days.

[MJO812]

Nam !

[Bxstormwatcher360]

2 minutes ago, NorthShoreWx said:

The much maligned 3k NAM has been showing that for 2 days.

The nam so far is winning. Fwiw. Lol

[NorthShoreWx]

1 minute ago, Bxstormwatcher360 said:

The nam so far is winning. Fwiw. Lol

I wouldn't go that far, but it is still useful.