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OBS for NYC CP first measurable minor snowfall? 11A Fri 12/20-11A 12/21, embedded with surrounding area periodic minor accumulative snow

wdrag

By wdrag,
in New York City Metro

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donsutherland1
donsutherland1

Four photos from a wonderful way to start the winter solstice. As @MJO812 has noted, all snow is good snow.

wdrag
wdrag

No guarantees on what will happen. Modeling showa a pair of closely following short waves diving southeast toward the mid Atlantic coast, sharpening the mid level trough.  While too far offshore for a

Nibor
Nibor

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BoulderWX

BoulderWX

Posted
Posted
  On 12/19/2024 at 2:43 PM, Allsnow said:

Best shot for the coast is a period of light snow early Saturday morning from the decaying Ivt. It won’t be much of anything to write home about 

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Everyone or most everyone who has read through the thread knows this “isn’t much to write home about,” however it would be nice to see flakes and for some, the ground whitened up on the weekend before Christmas. 

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NEG NAO

NEG NAO

Posted
Posted
  On 12/19/2024 at 3:11 PM, snywx said:

Looks like a general 2–3” for the interior & mood flakes for the coast. Not much has really changed from yesterday. 12z NAM came back to earth and the RGEM shows it well now 

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I would define the coast in this situation south and east of the Raritan River in NJ and southern facing shores of LI and Staten Island. Inland all areas north and west of there........mood flakes area is mixed with rain

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snywx

snywx

Posted
Posted
  On 12/19/2024 at 3:16 PM, NEG NAO said:

I would define the coast in this situation south and east of the Raritan River in NJ and southern facing shores of LI and Staten Island. Inland all areas north and west of there........

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I do think there will be some surprises with this. These IVT setups can easily over produce. Wouldn’t surprise me to see some 4” amounts especially in elevated areas. 

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SnowGoose69

SnowGoose69

Posted
Posted
  On 12/19/2024 at 11:22 AM, snowman19 said:

The NAM should have been discontinued years ago. I can’t believe NWS still bothers using it, it’s horrendous and hasn’t been updated in years. It’s as outdated and embarrassing as the NOGAPS

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The HRRR is supposed to overtake it but the HRRR has had its own issues from 36-48 which is why they’ve not extended it past that yet and the switch over has been delayed until further notice 

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winterwx21

winterwx21

Posted
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  On 12/19/2024 at 2:43 PM, Allsnow said:

Best shot for the coast is a period of light snow early Saturday morning from the decaying Ivt. It won’t be much of anything to write home about 

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Yep. As I said last night, I'm hoping our area can get an inch out of this. It might not be that much though. A dusting to an inch is a good forecast for our area right now.I'm taking a ride out to Hunterdon County Saturday morning, and I'm looking forward to seeing some nice snowy scenes. There should at least be a coating on the ground. 

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Allsnow

Allsnow

Posted
Posted
  On 12/19/2024 at 4:59 PM, winterwx21 said:

Yep. As I said last night, I'm hoping our area can get an inch out of this. It might not be that much though. A dusting to an inch is a good forecast for our area right now. I'm taking a ride out to Hunterdon County Saturday morning, and I'm looking forward to seeing some nice snowy scenes. There should at least be a coating on the ground. 

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Enjoy! 

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