Joker January

[ice1972]

I’d like to also add “atmospheric river” to the list of terms the media overuses recently….

[Damage In Tolland]

Euro has a nice 4-8 “ type storm on Jan 6

[WinterWolf]

18 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

 

This would send orange juice to $10 a gallon. Teens right to the gulf coast would be wild.  Bye-bye crops and plumbing. 

Has teens right to the southern tip of Fla in that depiction…that’s impressive.  I’m sure it will moderate as we close in. But that’s some deep cold in that snapshot. 

[Snowcrazed71]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

Euro has a nice 4-8 “ type storm on Jan 6

I'd be happy to start with that. That's the day after I get back from Florida. It'll get things moving and going in the right direction. And then everything after that would just feel like a good old fashioned winter. I just hope none of us will eat our words at the end of January.

[cut]

2 hours ago, weatherwiz said:

A friend of mine and I were down in New Haven once and we wanted to get some pizza to go from I think it was Sally's...there was a 9 hour wait. Would have been so worth it though. 

Modern is great as well

[WxWatcher007]

4 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

Wow, I had no idea any part of that State had ever gotten that cold. 

Great Blizzard/Cold Snap of 1899. I think it’s the greatest winter wx event in CONUS history. 

https://www.weather.gov/media/bro/research/pdf/Great_Arctic_Outbreak_1899.pdf

 

[NorEastermass128]

23 minutes ago, dendrite said:

We need to break the FL state record of -2°. Some new weenie site in the far northern panhandle will do it someday.

-2F in Florida, yet DAW struggles to fall much below 28F.

[dendrite]

Just your typical -12F dew for Miami on the goofus. Lots of beer that run on South Beach. 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Take that Greta. 

[Modfan2]

Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Take that Greta. 

How dare you! lol 

[dendrite]

10 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

Great Blizzard/Cold Snap of 1899. I think it’s the greatest winter wx event in CONUS history. 

https://www.weather.gov/media/bro/research/pdf/Great_Arctic_Outbreak_1899.pdf

 

Idk about greatest. For sure T5. I’d put 1993 above it.

[brooklynwx99]

very good agreement between the three major ensembles on a MECS pattern developing... all have a -EPO, -NAO, rising PNA, a 50/50 ULL, and an elongated TPV. all have an amplifying trough over the Plains to take advantage of the setup. not really sure if it's the wave on the 6-7th or the 8-9th... ensembles have the trough really blowing up for the latter timeframe. regardless, we're getting into the timeframe where this isn't really fantasy anymore

[Hoth]

5 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Just your typical -12F dew for Miami on the goofus. Lots of beer that run on South Beach. 

I can just see the warning ticker now. "The National Weather Service has issued a falling iguana warning for Dade and Broward counties..."

[moneypitmike]

37 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

 

This would send orange juice to $10 a gallon. Teens right to the gulf coast would be wild.  Bye-bye crops and plumbing. 

Had they scheduled a global warming conference in Miami for that day?

 

Meanwhile, different world at Pit2.  Several inches of snow on the ground and temp currently at 33.  Glad I'll be gone before it melts.

[78Blizzard]

Well, that third of an inch of rain coupled with the 42F temp. didn't kill the pack too much.  Still a good 3" with no grass showing anywhere.  But I expect it will be all gone by the first of the week. 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

6 minutes ago, Modfan2 said:

How dare you! lol 

She’s gonna get ran over by a predator on a sled during this very cold and very snowy January. 

[CoastalWx]

2 minutes ago, moneypitmike said:

Had they scheduled a global warming conference in Miami for that day?

 

Meanwhile, different world at Pit2.  Several inches of snow on the ground and temp currently at 33.  Glad I'll be gone before it melts.

What do you there? Eat a lobster roll and stare at the ice floating down the Kennebec?

[CoastalWx]

3 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said:

Well, that third of an inch of rain coupled with the 42F temp. didn't kill the pack too much.  Still a good 3" with no grass showing anywhere.  But I expect it will be all gone by the first of the week. 

Will be mostly gone by tomorrow aftn

[dendrite]

Dews in the 50s Monday. Get that last lawn cutting in.

[40/70 Benchmark]

12 hours ago, Roger Smith said:

Be optimistic for NYE-NYD potential and watch Jan 13-15 for "big one" as there is a very large energy peak around Jan 14. One medium event possibly in between.

I believe there is 20-30 per cent more forcing potential than models are capable of picking up on 5-15 days ahead. 

 

 

 

91-101cm on the level up an down I95?

Roger that-

[Typhoon Tip]

16 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Idk about greatest. For sure T5. I’d put 1993 above it.

1993 was too far inland imho - .. i'm butting in here.  not sure what we're talking about.  haha ... 

but if we're discussing impact relativity.  1993 was really more of burst of heavy snow that was comparatively rapidly recoverable along the 95 corridor/coastal plain east of the apps cordillera.  the snow did not collocate so well with population density/geography, as well as that 1899 appears to have accomplished.  

part of my bringing this up is because 1993 always pissed me off.  that was 10 days of d-drip bliss only to have the best heroin land along the roof top of the Appalachian chain?   f* that    i was down here in acton ma, about 30 mi w of boston as the crow flies,  and we got 13" crusted over with 1/2" of sleet.   i realize the specter of the storm and it's particular vitals, et al, were quite possible goat ... but it didn't seem from phl to bos like that was really our storm.  

[dendrite]

Yeah I don’t care about the megalopolis. He referenced CONUS and for March I thought 93 was more impressive as a storm. But we’re nitpicking here.

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, dendrite said:

Yeah I don’t care about the megalopolis. He referenced CONUS and for March I thought 93 was more impressive as a storm. But we’re nitpicking here.

Best front ender ever lol

[Henry's Weather]

6 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

1993 was too far inland imho - .. i'm butting in here.  not sure what we're talking about.  haha ... 

but if we're discussing impact relativity.  1993 was really more of burst of heavy snow that was comparatively rapidly recoverable along the 95 corridor/coastal plain east of the eastern cordillera.  the snow did not collocate so well with population density/geography, as well as that 1899 appears to have accomplished.  

part of my bringing this up is because 1993 always pissed me off.  that was 10 days of d-drip bliss only to have the best heroin land along the roof top of the Appalachian chain?   f* that    i was down here in acton ma, about 30 mi w of boston as the crow flies,  and we got 13" crusted over with 1/2" of sleet.   i realize the specter of the storm and it's particular vitals, et al, were quite possible goat ... but it didn't seem from phl to bos like that was really our storm.  

Every weenie has a storm which teaches them to emotionslly disengage from modeling output - mine was March 14, 2017. Not in the same league, but 6 inches of pure crust is highly disappointing after a D5 14” EPS mean prog.

[dendrite]

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Best front ender ever lol

Hard to ever top those handful of hours at BOS that evening. Then there was the severe weather coming out of the GOM with coastal flooding into FL. Record snows in the SE. The huge swath of 1-3ft. Mar 93 was like a global scale storm than synoptic. I’m sure 1899 was similar given the extent of the snow and cold obs. 

[wx2fish]

6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Best front ender ever lol

METAR KBOS 132300Z 06047G62KT 0SM +TSSN -BLSN OVC/// M01/M01

[Henry's Weather]

8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Best front ender ever lol

That’s what she said…

[CoastalWx]

18 minutes ago, wx2fish said:

METAR KBOS 132300Z 06047G62KT 0SM +TSSN -BLSN OVC/// M01/M01

Mannest of man obs ever. Peak wind I think was like 72kts shortly after 

[DavisStraight]

37 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

1993 was too far inland imho - .. i'm butting in here.  not sure what we're talking about.  haha ... 

but if we're discussing impact relativity.  1993 was really more of burst of heavy snow that was comparatively rapidly recoverable along the 95 corridor/coastal plain east of the apps cordillera.  the snow did not collocate so well with population density/geography, as well as that 1899 appears to have accomplished.  

part of my bringing this up is because 1993 always pissed me off.  that was 10 days of d-drip bliss only to have the best heroin land along the roof top of the Appalachian chain?   f* that    i was down here in acton ma, about 30 mi w of boston as the crow flies,  and we got 13" crusted over with 1/2" of sleet.   i realize the specter of the storm and it's particular vitals, et al, were quite possible goat ... but it didn't seem from phl to bos like that was really our storm.  

If I remember correctly, they were forecasting that storm to miss to our south at first, ended up going to far west for the good stuff in the end but I think that was the theme for that year.

[Typhoon Tip]

1993 was a triple stream phase. 

in fact, the geometric wave space was arguably in phase from the latitude of the arctic circle of the nw territories, to the nadir of the trough as it was spawning the zygote circulation over the western gom.

i like to metaphorically compare it to a 'rogue wave' event in the atmosphere.  that's that thing that occurs in the open ocean, when surrounding waves suddenly decrease in space significance, while this one towering giant lurches up that is sometimes 3 or even 4 times the height of the previous mean trough to crest wave heights of the surrounding sea surface.  this is thought to be what took down ships around bermuda, as the g-string current would cause huge wave crests when northeast gales are in that region - favoring the genesis of rogue waves.  edmond fitzgerald etc

anyway, the atmosphere's a fluid medium that obeys fluid mechanics ... which is wave physical.   maybe it's not so much a metaphor