Joker January

[ariof]

1 hour ago, wx2fish said:

MHT and CON are -1 to -2 too. Last couple of days evened out the departures after BOS was running a couple degrees colder relative to normal. Maybe call it seasonably cold locally.

To put the last couple Jans in perspective...MHT is running 10F colder than Jan 2023 and 6F colder than Jan 2024. Avg high temp mtd this Jan is 32.3F and the Avg T in Jan 2023 was 34.7F! So the highs this month are running colder than the avg T in 2023. Funny thing is that month as torched as Jan 2023 and Jan 2024 were both had considerably more snow mtd. 

BOS has stayed below 50˚ this month so far and no model has it anywhere much above 40˚ the rest of the month. Would be the first <50˚ Jan since 2009 and first month since 2015 (Feb '15 and Feb '13). Mean days >50˚ is 4 and mean monthly high temp is 56˚. So while it hasn't been frigid it has not been warm either.

Assuming it doesn't go above 47˚ or below 10˚ the rest of the month (the GFS doesn't suggest this, the Euro thinks it might toy with 10˚) the range of 37˚ will be the fifth lowest range for Jan on record, behind 2001 (12˚–44˚), 2009 (6˚–40˚), 1955 (10˚–45˚) and 2023 (23˚–58˚).

This is also why while it has been dry the ski areas are doing great because it's been cold with low dewpoints which is great for snowmaking (and they don't really like it down below 0˚ because of evaporation and stuff freezing real quick).

[tavwtby]

11 hours ago, kdxken said:

What kind of heater?

It is a Dreo PTC Fan Heater, considerably by a long shot better than the oil radiator or the milk house heaters I have used. My office is only about 200 square feet, and it is toasty in here.

[OceanStWx]

Just now, dendrite said:

George washington had a June 28 freeze around his sycamore in 1774 so I should hold off on the peppers until at least June 10. 

I can see him now, installing the ice block on the window sill in late April.

[CoastalWx]

4 minutes ago, OceanStWx said:

I want to know what the dewpoint was over Kevin's great great great grandfather's wheat field. 

We have an idea from the Great Dews of 1822 when excerpts from Jebediah Wood revealed hay stuck to legs and balls stuck to thy knickers was mentioned in the daily journals. 

[Prismshine Productions]

seeing a page of bitching and talking past climo instead of the models tells me all I need to know about the 6z suite...

[weatherwiz]

3 minutes ago, dendrite said:

George washington had a June 28 freeze around his sycamore in 1774 so I should hold off on the peppers until at least June 10. 

Maybe if he didn't chop down all those cherry trees we wouldn't of had as much CO2 in the atmosphere when the Industrial period boomed in the 1800's. 

[CoastalWx]

I will say I don't recall as much ice on the local pond since I suppose end of 2017 early 2018. Last year was a week of ice that was skatable...maybe even less. 

[Prismshine Productions]

Meanwhile:

[CoastalWx]

2 minutes ago, Prismshine Productions said:

seeing a page of bitching and talking past climo instead of the models tells me all I need to know about the 6z suite...

Next sort of "threat" is Wednesday. 

[dendrite]

2 minutes ago, Prismshine Productions said:

Meanwhile:

That map is trash. 

[FlashFreeze]

pretty impressive, I don’t know if I’ll ever see that again.

[CoastalWx]

This NW flow finally seems to have some embedded s/w's that might actually produce. We've been missing that and part of it (still is an issue) IMO are the effing cutoffs in CA. Just can't get s/w's to really dig when the flow downstream of the cutoff prevents anything from digging. 

[wx2fish]

6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I will say I don't recall as much ice on the local pond since I suppose end of 2017 early 2018. Last year was a week of ice that was skatable...maybe even less. 

Excellent year for ice. The real snowy periods  can be crappy for skating/ice fishing. Produces alot of slush under snow no matter how cold it is. 

[CoastalWx]

3 minutes ago, wx2fish said:

Excellent year for ice. The real snowy periods  can be crappy for skating/ice fishing. Produces alot of slush under snow no matter how cold it is. 

After the rain last weekend and then snow on top, definitely not as skate worthy now. Definitely more for ice fishing.

[Prismshine Productions]

surprised nobody mentioned the overnight Euro, most of the long range guidance has something around Groundhog Day... GFS has the 2nd both the Euro and Canadian are eyeing the 3rd

[HIPPYVALLEY]

parts of Florida were colder than Anchorage Alaska this morning.

[Kitz Craver]

6 minutes ago, Prismshine Productions said:

surprised nobody mentioned the overnight Euro, most of the long range guidance has something around Groundhog Day... GFS has the 2nd both the Euro and Canadian are eyeing the 3rd

Just so far out, hard to get too invested 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

D12 clowns. Yea boyeeee…

[CoastalWx]

9 minutes ago, Prismshine Productions said:

surprised nobody mentioned the overnight Euro, most of the long range guidance has something around Groundhog Day... GFS has the 2nd both the Euro and Canadian are eyeing the 3rd

We did in the Feb thread, but too far out to get detailed. Could easily not happen.

[alex]

A little light snow/flurries this morning

[codfishsnowman]

20 hours ago, Patrick-02540 said:

https://x.com/i/status/1882093031412941296

Alligator in Florida absolutely loving the snow. 

Those poor animals must be so screwed up. 

[SJonesWX]

1 hour ago, Great Snow 1717 said:

My home faces to the SW and I am already noticing a bit of "sun angle issues". For example Tuesday and Wednesday, despite the cold there was melting of the snow and ice on the driveway. 

not for nothing, but snow and ice will melt from the sun-exposed parts of your driveway any day of the year, including Dec 21.

[UnitedWx]

59 minutes ago, dendrite said:

None of these things suck as much as the Bruins. 

Don't forget the summer Bruins... they ain't looking any better than last season

[UnitedWx]

37 minutes ago, Prismshine Productions said:

seeing a page of bitching and talking past climo instead of the models tells me all I need to know about the 6z suite...

Open the blinds this coming Monday and take a peek, nothing of note before mid next week

[weatherwiz]

1 minute ago, UnitedWx said:

Don't forget the summer Bruins... they ain't looking any better than last season

Maybe they've been holding practices the last few days on the ponds and like Scott said, with some rain last week and snow on top...not good for skating. But the Bruins can't seem to skate either...Lohrei looked drunk last night and there were a few others who couldn't stay on their feet. 

[klw]

1 hour ago, Prismshine Productions said:

surprised nobody mentioned the overnight Euro, most of the long range guidance has something around Groundhog Day... GFS has the 2nd both the Euro and Canadian are eyeing the 3rd

There has been some mention of it in the February thread as the threat is not in January.

[qg_omega]

[Kitz Craver]

Sun, Mon, Tues all in the 40’s buh-by snow

[DavisStraight]

1 hour ago, CoastalWx said:

I will say I don't recall as much ice on the local pond since I suppose end of 2017 early 2018. Last year was a week of ice that was skatable...maybe even less. 

Saw a lot of ice fisherman and kids playing hockey on the ponds this week in my travels, seems like when I was a kid we did that every year but who knows, that was a long time ago.

[Great Snow 1717]

1 hour ago, SJonesWX said:

not for nothing, but snow and ice will melt from the sun-exposed parts of your driveway any day of the year, including Dec 21.

....but more so now than on 12/21..